Warlike-Mound — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$222

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

1,123

Trades

18,081

lifetime

Volume

$55.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 08-08 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 78% +$222

Other

5% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 994 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will team vitality make a roster change before september 20260623151753357	29	$202	1,373	1,373	+0	open	—	08-08 11:08
will trump be said 10 times during the next episode of the storytime with the second lady podcast 20260625203401067	34	$196	1,362	1,357	+5	open	—	07-03 13:54
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	8	$181	541	541	+0	open	—	07-13 11:44
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	9	$159	482	482	+0	open	—	07-17 23:27
will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	8	$136	121	121	+0	open	—	08-05 09:34
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	18	$134	123	162	-39	open	—	06-12 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$108	9,905	5	+9,900	Down	$-98	05-08 12:00
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	13	$105	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	07-05 22:32
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	36	$101	118	118	+0	open	—	06-20 00:14
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	15	$96	144	144	+0	open	—	06-26 14:54
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	29	$84	1,185	1,185	+0	open	—	07-07 15:19
will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	21	$73	407	407	+0	open	—	07-10 19:01
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	6	$71	81	167	-86	open	—	07-05 17:25
starmer out by july 31 2026	2	$65	296	296	+0	open	—	06-20 20:00
will mallory aurichio be evicted in big brother season 28 week 1 20260710020428906	16	$63	1,070	1,070	+0	open	—	07-15 00:40
btc updown 5m 1780570200	25	$63	65	60	+5	open	—	06-04 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	15	$61	70	5	+65	open	—	06-03 16:13
Will Brittany Mahomes be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	14	$56	1,662	1,662	+0	open	—	07-03 16:56
btc updown 5m 1780754700	22	$54	60	50	+10	open	—	06-06 14:09
will rick devens be evicted in big brother season 28 week 1 20260710020428911	20	$54	1,553	1,553	+0	open	—	07-15 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	21	$54	55	50	+5	open	—	05-27 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	21	$53	55	50	+5	open	—	05-29 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	21	$53	55	50	+5	open	—	05-26 10:34
btc updown 5m 1780700400	21	$52	55	50	+5	open	—	06-05 23:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	10	$52	60	140	-80	open	—	06-16 23:29
btc updown 5m 1780694700	20	$51	55	45	+10	open	—	06-05 21:30
will genptg make a roster change before september 20260629161235502	16	$51	329	238	+91	open	—	08-04 03:37
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	34	$50	1,005	1,005	+0	open	—	07-23 18:11
btc updown 5m 1780686600	19	$48	55	40	+15	open	—	06-05 19:12
btc updown 5m 1780682100	19	$48	50	45	+5	open	—	06-05 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 23:45:58	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x99d2aa…
08-08 23:45:58	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1164ae…
08-08 23:45:57	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc01b5f…
08-08 23:45:57	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5064ab…
08-08 11:08:12	will team vitality make a roster change before september 20260623151753357	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x9e619c…
08-07 23:35:46	Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x4a2495…
08-07 22:10:42	Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xce9690…
08-07 22:08:09	will lisa murkowski vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821975	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0x15c2f1…
08-07 22:07:37	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x2ee3e1…
08-07 22:07:07	will john curtis vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821984	No	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0x418879…
08-07 22:06:37	will rand paul vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821978	No	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x80ebd6…
08-07 19:47:43	will lisa murkowski vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821975	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x450bfb…
08-07 19:47:24	will rand paul vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821978	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xd5bf09…
08-07 19:47:12	will john curtis vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821984	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x4e9fe2…
08-07 19:30:55	will lisa murkowski vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821975	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x0e4c3d…
08-07 18:58:42	will john curtis vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821984	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x2b7dab…
08-07 18:54:19	will lisa murkowski vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821975	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x76121a…
08-07 18:49:58	will rand paul vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821978	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xb2b2da…
08-07 18:44:19	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xa62130…
08-07 18:10:16	Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	32	10¢	$3	0x84c81a…
08-06 18:53:42	Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x4f3d43…
08-06 07:39:57	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	290	1¢	$4	0x011c7a…
08-06 07:30:27	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x37210f…
08-06 06:15:06	Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xbfd278…
08-05 18:43:59	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xc9512d…
08-05 17:50:59	Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xc73071…
08-05 14:21:30	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x16361e…
08-05 13:40:14	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xd98d5d…
08-05 13:30:35	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xfa42cb…
08-05 11:12:23	Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x425db0…
08-05 10:25:29	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x2e00d4…
08-05 09:57:38	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x7cee4f…
08-05 09:52:09	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x210f53…
08-05 09:34:21	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xd642a1…
08-05 09:30:53	Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x9630b7…
08-05 09:17:02	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x405b0a…
08-05 08:46:09	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xfc5110…
08-05 05:55:45	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xec6e96…
08-05 05:47:38	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xcf853c…
08-05 04:05:15	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x47a610…
08-05 03:35:26	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x18bf08…
08-05 03:24:21	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xfb191e…
08-05 02:48:38	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xb79c6d…
08-05 01:51:11	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xe01a13…
08-05 01:50:42	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x6e212b…
08-05 01:11:51	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x00ad53…
08-05 01:07:12	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x0a0b96…
08-05 01:03:39	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3d2e9a…
08-05 00:51:27	will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xe4216c…
08-05 00:35:51	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x86f291…
08-05 00:33:47	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8da92c…
08-05 00:31:11	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xf2ef05…
08-05 00:15:50	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd626da…
08-05 00:12:39	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xb90f63…
08-05 00:05:44	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x4cbf4e…
08-05 00:00:45	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfee455…
08-04 23:52:20	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xb74985…
08-04 23:51:50	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc7b684…
08-04 23:40:41	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x1dc773…
08-04 23:39:51	will leonardo bonucci attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630267	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x17ec3f…
08-04 23:25:57	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x0633d9…
08-04 23:24:54	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x8f2569…
08-04 23:19:36	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x96737a…
08-04 23:13:53	will paulo dybala attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630266	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x4a2b35…
08-04 22:59:15	will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf3dd23…
08-04 22:54:12	will leonardo bonucci attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630267	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa0e578…
08-04 22:47:39	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x22e1ed…
08-04 22:46:47	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x6fc8c0…
08-04 22:41:15	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6c4dc3…
08-04 22:31:14	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	No	SELL	81	73¢	$59	0xa499b9…
08-04 22:25:51	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xd3cc06…
08-04 21:35:27	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x389bb0…
08-04 20:16:03	will advanced micro devices amd q2 data center revenue be above 6pt25b 20260725015741183	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x62ced0…
08-04 17:35:24	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xf57a9e…
08-04 17:24:45	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xf8e77e…
08-04 11:16:42	Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x2f1012…
08-04 08:37:17	StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xa12014…
08-04 08:35:02	Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xaaea2a…
08-04 08:29:06	Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xcf65ef…
08-04 03:37:47	will genptg make a roster change before september 20260629161235502	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x61ae6e…
08-04 02:50:06	will paper rex make a roster change before september 20260701211436308	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x2995a1…
08-04 02:19:35	will team vitality make a roster change before september 20260623151753357	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xad479f…
08-03 18:16:14	Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x50faed…
08-03 16:30:33	Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x0d9b93…
08-03 15:26:23	will team vitality make a roster change before september 20260623151753357	Yes	SELL	238	10¢	$24	0xcf0154…
08-03 15:24:21	will team vitality make a roster change before september 20260623151753357	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x87f401…
08-03 09:20:09	Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x986eb0…
08-03 07:16:51	will team vitality make a roster change before september 20260623151753357	Yes	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0x5827a0…
08-02 22:25:57	Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x46396f…
08-02 18:29:08	Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x02771f…
08-02 06:37:21	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xb5e705…
08-01 16:58:57	will team vitality make a roster change before september 20260623151753357	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0xf80afd…
07-31 20:02:02	will abnb reach 168 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	83	0¢	$0	0x41476e…
07-31 08:26:47	Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x166cac…
07-31 02:17:59	StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0xc609e7…
07-29 22:31:53	will team spirit make a roster change before september 20260623154636967	Yes	SELL	102	8¢	$8	0x875a78…
07-29 19:38:27	will team falcons make a roster change before september 20260623155348350	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xdf3058…
07-29 13:22:50	Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$3	0x6a1eeb…
07-28 21:58:23	will advanced micro devices amd q2 data center revenue be above 6pt25b 20260725015741183	No	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x1bd267…
07-28 19:06:31	Relay FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x2b8647…