Verifiable-Sneeze — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

372

Trades

569

lifetime

Volume

$5.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-20 10:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 98% -$11

Sports

18% 37% -$76

Other

14% 77% -$5

Politics

9% 42% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	27	$180	120	120	+0	Yes	$0	03-12 21:11
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	19	$170	110	100	+10	No	+$1	03-20 03:06
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	14	$98	52	52	+0	No	$0	03-17 19:20
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	7	$85	45	45	+0	No	+$1	02-01 13:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$74	49	49	+0	No	+$0	02-28 22:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$68	61	61	+0	Yes	$0	02-13 08:33
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	9	$64	33	33	+0	No	$0	03-16 01:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$60	38	38	+0	Yes	$0	02-03 21:35
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$52	38	38	+0	Yes	+$0	02-28 00:45
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	7	$52	48	5	+43	No	+$1	02-01 03:17
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$50	26	26	+0	No	$0	02-22 04:46
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$46	24	24	+0	No	$0	03-03 03:36
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$42	22	22	+0	No	$0	02-28 05:54
bitcoin up or down march 5 10am et	2	$40	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	03-05 16:02
bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	2	$36	18	18	+0	Down	+$0	03-09 16:02
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$36	18	18	+0	No	$0	02-22 19:52
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread away 1pt5	4	$36	40	0	+40	Spurs	-$36	06-06 02:57
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	4	$32	23	23	+0	No	$0	02-14 20:22
bitcoin up or down march 11 1pm et	2	$30	18	18	+0	Up	-$4	03-11 17:55
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$30	15	15	+0	No	$0	03-16 20:55
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$28	18	18	+0	No	$0	03-05 16:30
mwoh swe ita 2026 02 11	3	$26	17	10	+7	Sweden	$0	02-11 21:05
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	5	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	02-27 10:16
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$26	28	28	+0	No	-$1	06-08 08:36
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-10 02:55
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-11 12:45
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11am et	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	-$2	03-24 15:57
bitcoin up or down march 11 11pm et	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	03-12 03:51
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	03-09 14:19
bitcoin up or down march 6 6am et	1	$19	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	03-06 11:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 10:45:01	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0x040b22…
08-20 08:41:52	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x161807…
07-08 01:57:05	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x88e797…
07-08 01:39:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xd2c319…
07-08 01:04:43	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 spread away 2pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x115538…
07-08 01:04:40	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 spread away 2pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xe257df…
07-08 01:04:40	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 spread away 2pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x038db6…
07-06 17:47:02	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x487458…
07-05 22:11:13	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x63d3d0…
07-05 17:05:52	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x442270…
07-05 01:15:56	mlb cws cle 2026 07 04 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5a2e58…
06-30 01:19:08	mlb mia col 2026 06 29	Colorado Rockies	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x95b560…
06-29 23:50:04	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x377b74…
06-29 02:04:11	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 28 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xcb92af…
06-29 00:41:01	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	Boston Red Sox	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x47e902…
06-28 21:18:49	mlb chc mil 2026 06 28	Chicago Cubs	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x202532…
06-27 19:11:25	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 27 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0xcd23e1…
06-27 01:06:26	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x8ebad1…
06-19 22:01:07	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x12381a…
06-18 19:19:17	mlb tor bos 2026 06 18 spread away 1pt5	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x88aca5…
06-17 23:02:26	mlb tor bos 2026 06 17	Boston Red Sox	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x72eb7f…
06-17 18:23:38	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Miami Marlins	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2f6421…
06-16 23:54:10	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x4477be…
06-15 02:58:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0x594a0c…
06-13 19:05:46	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x282a50…
06-13 17:25:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0xe1d03d…
06-13 15:43:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xad51a2…
06-13 11:11:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0xa143ae…
06-13 08:32:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x745c4c…
06-12 00:03:06	wnba nyl atl 2026 06 11 spread home 3pt5	Atlanta Dream	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x2f7854…
06-11 17:29:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf408c6…
06-08 08:36:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xe9bc08…
06-08 08:08:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x34f9e2…
06-08 01:30:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0x6a41d5…
06-07 19:47:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	19	45¢	$8	0xf0d60c…
06-06 17:23:48	wnba sea min 2026 06 06 total 162pt5	Over	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x8f9ae8…
06-06 17:23:46	wnba sea min 2026 06 06 total 162pt5	Over	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xbd21a7…
06-06 17:23:45	wnba sea min 2026 06 06 total 162pt5	Over	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xc306c1…
06-06 02:57:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread away 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb4a6e6…
06-06 02:57:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread away 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x56876f…
06-06 02:57:12	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread away 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x59ba82…
06-06 02:57:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread away 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x2e50c4…
06-06 02:39:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe4f069…
06-06 02:20:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 212pt5	Over	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x31c122…
06-05 20:17:03	mlb sf chc 2026 06 05 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4ab774…
06-04 21:35:01	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$8	0xa4ad9a…
06-04 01:35:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 11pt5	Knicks	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x54e044…
06-03 22:54:46	mlb bal bos 2026 06 03	Boston Red Sox	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xa9d228…
06-02 19:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x13864a…
06-02 16:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf68ce8…
06-01 01:35:13	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	12	39¢	$4	0xcdaa61…
05-31 20:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa9311a…
05-31 19:06:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa07ca5…
05-30 16:07:51	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?	No	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x6b0cae…
05-30 11:01:51	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x23cc81…
05-30 03:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2b6ad8…
05-29 21:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7b456f…
05-29 03:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0xf2baa4…
05-28 22:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xce173c…
05-28 21:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7a5a81…
05-28 19:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3457a7…
05-27 16:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x95bb05…
05-27 03:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x030dc0…
05-26 08:47:31	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xa2b552…
05-25 19:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc9cfbd…
05-20 07:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd028b2…
05-19 16:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x75ec23…
05-19 11:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3914b7…
05-19 03:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xeb85aa…
05-18 21:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xd39b71…
05-18 11:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x718ac8…
05-18 07:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8b8fa1…
05-18 02:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe45461…
05-18 01:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe71c0f…
05-17 21:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x5afd30…
05-17 10:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5cb563…
05-17 03:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x05ff69…
05-16 11:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x74bcaa…
05-16 10:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2420be…
05-16 09:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0196c3…
05-15 22:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc0aa93…
05-15 17:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb9ff6e…
05-15 12:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xed4a44…
05-15 09:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x19cabb…
05-15 07:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85b02f…
05-15 05:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8139d6…
05-15 03:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xec6fc8…
05-15 01:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1b1cf6…
05-15 00:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf2f6ee…
05-14 19:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xcfb097…
05-14 16:05:58	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1397d0…
05-14 11:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd23cf5…
05-14 04:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x878683…
05-14 03:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc7efb1…
05-13 23:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x10d64d…
04-29 11:19:26	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xf0622c…
04-29 11:00:32	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x444f26…
04-26 13:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x46f095…
04-26 04:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xdc4634…
04-26 03:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x73b0b4…