Realized P&L (90d)
-$3.83K
Unrealized P&L
+$169
Hit rate
81.4%
Resolved (90d)
493
Trades (90d)
1,746
1,746 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$51.0K
$51.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$4.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
58% 86% +$982
Politics
28% 76% -$4,896
Sports
13% 100% +$79
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 344 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,401 $1,390 100¢ $1.4K +$5 10-24 00:33
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? No +610 $605 100¢ $608 +$3 10-25 03:46
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +433 $425 98¢ $425 +$0 10-21 02:17
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? No +313 $310 99¢ $310 +$0 10-23 15:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +228 $208 91¢ $208 $0 10-24 01:29
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +165 $164 99¢ $164 $0 10-25 00:17
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +159 $49 100¢ $159 +$111 10-27 19:35
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 10-22 14:15
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +94 $92 97¢ $92 $0 10-21 22:20
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +90 $90 99¢ $89 $0 10-24 00:42
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +89 $89 100¢ $89 $0 10-21 16:36
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +89 $50 100¢ $89 +$39 10-22 06:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $82 89¢ $80 -$2 10-23 22:48
Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +80 $79 100¢ $79 +$0 10-21 17:57
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +89 $75 84¢ $74 $0 10-16 23:57
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +71 $70 99¢ $70 +$0 10-21 03:12
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +69 $68 100¢ $68 +$1 10-24 06:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +90 $58 74¢ $67 +$9 10-22 15:53
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 10-21 04:31
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? No +46 $46 100¢ $46 $0 10-24 22:22
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +46 $45 98¢ $45 $0 10-24 20:00
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +37 $37 98¢ $36 $0 10-21 03:25
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 +$0 10-15 16:09
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +36 $34 93¢ $33 $0 10-25 14:43
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 97¢ $33 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 $0 10-20 14:30
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $31 91¢ $31 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +28 $27 99¢ $27 +$1 10-25 12:58
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +27 $26 99¢ $27 +$1 10-23 15:47
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +27 $23 90¢ $24 +$2 10-14 17:08