(anonymous) 0x63b7e8…3d4e0c
cold 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.59K
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
542
Trades
1,746
lifetime
Volume
$51.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$3.36K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
58% 87% +$1,099
Politics
28% 76% -$4,774
Sports
13% 100% +$79
Tech
1% 89% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 344 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,401 $1,390 100¢ $1.4K +$5 10-24 00:33
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +433 $425 98¢ $426 +$1 10-21 02:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +228 $208 89¢ $202 -$6 10-24 01:29
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +165 $164 98¢ $162 -$2 10-25 00:17
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 10-22 14:15
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +94 $92 97¢ $92 $0 10-21 22:20
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +90 $90 99¢ $89 $0 10-24 00:42
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $82 92¢ $82 +$1 10-23 22:48
Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +80 $79 100¢ $79 +$0 10-21 17:57
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +89 $75 80¢ $71 -$4 10-16 23:57
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +71 $70 99¢ $70 +$0 10-21 03:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +90 $58 76¢ $68 +$10 10-22 15:53
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 10-21 04:31
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? No +46 $46 100¢ $46 $0 10-24 22:22
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +46 $45 97¢ $44 -$1 10-24 20:00
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +37 $37 98¢ $36 $0 10-21 03:25
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 +$0 10-15 16:09
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +36 $34 94¢ $34 $0 10-25 14:43
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 97¢ $33 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 $0 10-20 14:30
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $31 89¢ $30 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +28 $27 99¢ $27 +$0 10-25 12:58
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 $0 10-25 17:09
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +27 $23 89¢ $24 +$1 10-14 17:08
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 $0 10-24 22:21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 $0 10-25 05:49
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +18 $18 99¢ $18 +$0 10-25 18:00
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +23 $18 78¢ $17 $0 10-26 03:32
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio? No +17 $16 100¢ $17 +$0 10-28 02:47
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +15 $14 97¢ $14 $0 10-19 14:04