Guilty-Tile — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

20 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$29

$29 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-08 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Up	$-2	05-05 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Down	$-2	05-05 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-07 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Up	$-2	05-05 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Up	$-2	05-05 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-08 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-08 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-08 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Up	$-2	05-05 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-06 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-08 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-08 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-08 05:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 15:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x514c10…
05-08 14:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x5d6596…
05-08 14:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8dacc4…
05-08 08:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa975e4…
05-08 06:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xafa4c8…
05-08 05:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb669e8…
05-07 09:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x71f439…
05-07 08:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x5e4618…
05-06 08:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xadb338…
05-05 23:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa4ed2f…
05-05 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xa79dee…
05-05 08:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6de955…
05-05 07:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1c487d…
05-05 06:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x535d4a…
05-05 05:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xae6111…
05-05 05:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0bd908…
05-05 03:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x86147e…
05-05 02:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x824ad3…
05-05 01:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x39063a…
05-05 00:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x5301f2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	20	$4.42K	173	05-08 15:05
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	20	$995	79	05-08 15:00
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	19	$956	81	05-08 15:00
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	18	$8.94K	123	05-08 15:00
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	18	$1.30K	126	05-08 15:00
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	18	$824	80	05-08 15:00
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	16	$4.11K	54	05-08 08:29
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	13	$1.40K	30	05-08 15:00