Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$619

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-27 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

42% 79% +$2

Crypto

30% 82% +$2

Politics

25% 67% -$2

Tech

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-8	-$8	99¢	$-8	$0	10-22 09:51
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No		-8	-$8	97¢	$-8	+$0	10-27 15:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$0	03-30 10:00
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	4	$24	6	30	-24	No	+$0	03-09 07:41
will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	04-01 02:00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	03-04 16:07
tim walz charged by march 31	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-24 20:32
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	04-05 00:49
ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	3	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-30 22:42
venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	3	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-24 00:00
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-04 16:07
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	2	$13	0	26	-26	No	+$0	03-09 14:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	-$4	03-07 12:21
will trump issue a gold card by march 31	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-20 05:08
will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	3	$12	0	24	-24	Yes	+$0	03-22 21:32
will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-15 23:55
will affirm holdings afrm be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-11 00:44
cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-10 15:43
another gta vi trailer released by march 31	3	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-16 10:53
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	2	$12	0	24	-24	Yes	+$0	03-10 07:44
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-16 01:18
will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-09 11:18
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-12 19:42
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	3	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-08 14:09
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	4	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-09 17:58
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	5	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-18 23:34
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-13 21:14
will pure storage pstg be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-12 22:39
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	3	$12	0	24	-24	No	$0	03-28 05:50
will john cornyn win the texas republican senate primary by between 0 and 3pt00 116 815	2	$12	0	12	-12	Yes	$0	03-10 13:55
us strike on colombia by march 31	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	$0	03-28 05:47
will james mendrick win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	1	$12	0	12	-12	No	$0	03-09 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:59:18	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x5ff232…
10-22 09:51:12	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x3f663a…
09-29 00:17:44	Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x027c0c…
08-09 10:36:42	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x2eaad1…
04-05 00:49:29	Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x1d4ecc…
04-04 04:28:35	Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2327e9…
04-03 13:37:53	Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0d3bd8…
04-01 02:00:49	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x636170…
03-30 22:42:43	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe16f8e…
03-30 21:17:09	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0977c0…
03-30 10:00:36	Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xba53e7…
03-30 08:45:14	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xd0ec83…
03-28 06:18:01	Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xdeaf95…
03-28 06:00:45	Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xe4e0af…
03-28 05:51:17	will consensys ipo by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xb679e4…
03-28 05:50:39	Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x37f65d…
03-28 05:48:07	will russia join the board of peace	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xd2b85e…
03-28 05:47:21	us strike on colombia by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xe61c19…
03-28 05:46:17	will anthropic have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x2f1d5c…
03-27 12:36:25	Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xfb9183…
03-25 06:53:43	Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8a93dc…
03-25 00:31:37	Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb82fe0…
03-24 20:32:21	tim walz charged by march 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x651bae…
03-24 00:00:11	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1f1455…
03-23 18:22:33	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x44cd28…
03-22 21:32:41	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0xc15353…
03-22 20:24:47	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb77186…
03-20 05:08:39	will trump issue a gold card by march 31	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x6764ef…
03-18 23:34:39	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xbe4bbb…
03-18 23:34:35	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2e1b37…
03-18 23:34:31	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x61f560…
03-18 23:34:29	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbc26b8…
03-18 01:44:01	Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xf65029…
03-16 14:27:11	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x0f7246…
03-16 10:53:37	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x221fab…
03-16 01:18:57	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb8d935…
03-15 23:55:47	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xcabe4f…
03-14 05:49:27	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	No	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0xece119…
03-13 21:14:41	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9b0853…
03-13 21:02:47	USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x545825…
03-12 22:39:39	will pure storage pstg be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xbab83a…
03-12 20:18:41	will anthropic have the best ai model for math on march 31	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xe8d1f7…
03-12 19:42:17	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7df30e…
03-12 08:57:41	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x8b61ae…
03-11 17:06:27	will russia join the board of peace	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x2d49ca…
03-11 15:41:47	will russia join the board of peace	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x01281d…
03-11 03:47:21	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x6975b4…
03-11 00:44:07	will affirm holdings afrm be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x9ec00d…
03-10 15:43:41	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x7bb5c6…
03-10 13:55:21	will john cornyn win the texas republican senate primary by between 0 and 3pt00 116 815	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4bcf98…
03-10 10:22:37	will john cornyn win the texas republican senate primary by between 0 and 3pt00 116 815	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x641f50…
03-10 10:03:31	Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x0ba528…
03-10 07:44:35	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	No	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xf3ca77…
03-10 05:42:27	Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xbc6f92…
03-10 03:44:43	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x12dbda…
03-10 02:15:27	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	No	SELL	12	4¢	$1	0x73d060…
03-09 21:54:27	will trump issue a gold card by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x351bbb…
03-09 18:42:03	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x289f06…
03-09 17:58:01	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x1bbb8e…
03-09 16:50:29	will affirm holdings afrm be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe41a5b…
03-09 16:50:17	will james mendrick win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xe973af…
03-09 16:07:17	will russia join the board of peace	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x70106b…
03-09 15:49:07	Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x3a3a52…
03-09 15:14:25	will russia join the board of peace	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xc04350…
03-09 14:00:23	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xb8d439…
03-09 11:37:19	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x834548…
03-09 11:18:41	will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb01338…
03-09 08:35:57	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0559ef…
03-09 07:41:47	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x5bce96…
03-09 07:16:31	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x367ee6…
03-09 06:11:51	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x56630c…
03-09 02:35:47	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x652084…
03-08 23:42:29	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xcca958…
03-08 16:24:41	will pure storage pstg be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x2ca413…
03-08 14:09:09	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x745c58…
03-08 12:28:17	will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x7212f2…
03-08 11:04:05	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xe22c4d…
03-08 08:03:41	will consensys ipo by march 31 2026	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x322c65…
03-07 17:15:39	USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x2fa4a1…
03-07 12:59:31	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xfe5fd9…
03-07 12:21:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0x343f7e…
03-07 11:51:51	Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x9ec4ef…
03-07 11:37:55	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x4a59c4…
03-07 09:32:25	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x53f521…
03-07 09:14:57	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x67eda9…
03-07 08:37:53	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec3752…
03-07 08:35:17	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x836a88…
03-07 08:26:35	Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x443ce6…
03-07 05:10:27	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xec41d3…
03-07 03:29:33	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xaaeca1…
03-07 03:15:09	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xcbca6b…
03-07 03:14:49	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x54707d…
03-04 16:07:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x104b47…
03-04 16:07:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x2dd512…
03-04 08:11:19	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x9bc92c…
03-03 19:10:25	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5538a3…
03-03 02:45:43	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x61e55b…
03-03 01:21:47	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x9a8ec5…
03-02 11:58:43	nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9102de…
03-02 11:40:23	Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x941d42…