Realized P&L
-$300
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
34.3%
Resolved
150
Trades
248
lifetime
Volume
$1.16K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$139
6 positions
First seen
2026-07-10
last 10-14 16:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
67% 25% -$281
Politics
24% 0% -$2
Sports
8% 33% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +196 $100 34¢ $66 -$34 09-12 21:02
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +151 $34 43¢ $65 +$31 09-05 15:05
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +62 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 07-20 16:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25 $2 11¢ $3 +$1 10-06 16:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +33 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 07-22 19:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +55 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-17 14:39