Grave-Jalapeño — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-05 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Crypto

41% 100% +$0

Politics

7% 0% $-4

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the drama opening weekend box office be less than 7m	2	$142	71	71	+0	open	—	04-10 08:03
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 180 199	1	$108	108	0	+108	open	—	02-03 10:59
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	1	$107	108	0	+108	open	—	01-31 07:41
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 220 239	1	$107	107	0	+107	open	—	01-27 05:19
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 21 2026	1	$107	107	0	+107	open	—	01-22 02:46
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 220 239	1	$107	107	0	+107	open	—	01-17 09:28
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$106	107	0	+107	open	—	02-15 07:14
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 20 39	1	$106	106	0	+106	open	—	02-11 07:56
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$106	106	0	+106	open	—	03-31 07:41
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 160 179	1	$106	106	0	+106	open	—	03-13 07:50
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 500 519	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	03-17 07:23
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-10 08:03
bitcoin above 78k on march 24	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	03-23 06:51
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 8	1	$104	104	0	+104	open	—	03-08 06:26
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 340 359	1	$103	103	0	+103	open	—	03-27 03:25
bitcoin above 78k on april 12	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	04-12 03:00
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	04-17 03:52
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	04-23 03:36
bitcoin above 70k on june 5 2026	1	$97	97	0	+97	open	—	06-05 03:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$97	97	0	+97	Yes	+$0	05-10 01:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	1	$96	96	0	+96	open	—	05-30 10:36
bitcoin above 60k on march 7	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	03-07 06:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	05-28 03:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$76	76	0	+76	open	—	05-13 11:01
bitcoin above 88k on january 8	1	$43	44	0	+44	open	—	01-08 11:18
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	04-06 08:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-13 10:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$4	1,900	0	+1,900	No	$-4	05-05 06:21
will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	1	$2	815	0	+815	open	—	02-11 07:56
will bitcoin dip to 64k april 6 12	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-12 03:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 03:21:16	bitcoin above 70k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xf46f6a…
05-30 10:36:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf74e22…
05-28 03:10:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x77a391…
05-13 11:01:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xd48e98…
05-13 10:43:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7c60d9…
05-10 01:22:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xfd2cc2…
05-10 01:21:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd6ceb9…
05-05 06:21:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,900	0¢	$4	0x89535d…
04-23 03:36:56	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xbf118a…
04-23 03:36:44	Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x694568…
04-23 03:36:36	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcb95f9…
04-17 03:52:52	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xa37f86…
04-17 03:52:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x667f69…
04-17 03:52:24	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb2e184…
04-12 03:00:15	bitcoin above 78k on april 12	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xa1c94a…
04-12 03:00:01	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a7b33…
04-12 02:59:47	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20fbb2…
04-12 02:59:33	will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 14	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x60014e…
04-10 08:03:39	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x4d0078…
04-10 08:03:17	will the drama opening weekend box office be less than 7m	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xd990c1…
04-06 08:17:49	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x35a9d6…
04-06 08:08:43	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 7	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xea74c7…
04-06 08:07:23	will the drama opening weekend box office be less than 7m	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x6366da…
03-31 07:41:27	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x7cae30…
03-27 03:25:53	will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc54429…
03-27 03:25:43	ethereum above 2300 on march 27	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcfe10f…
03-27 03:25:27	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 340 359	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x0b814e…
03-23 06:51:33	bitcoin above 78k on march 24	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xf9651a…
03-17 07:23:19	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 500 519	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x21a49f…
03-13 07:50:23	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 160 179	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xff0541…
03-08 06:26:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 8	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x39af0f…
03-07 06:01:07	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xb55269…
03-07 06:00:55	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 115 139	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0bc4ef…
03-07 06:00:39	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x456d25…
02-15 07:14:07	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x1fe9d6…
02-11 07:56:39	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 20 39	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x312dbc…
02-11 07:56:17	will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	Yes	BUY	815	0¢	$2	0xf70fd2…
02-03 10:59:58	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 180 199	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x710304…
01-31 07:41:20	will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0xf21129…
01-27 05:19:55	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 220 239	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x729398…
01-22 02:46:46	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 21 2026	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xa103db…
01-17 09:28:50	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 220 239	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x697093…
01-08 11:18:51	bitcoin above 88k on january 8	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xf4a789…