Buoyant-Relative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

272

Trades

2,328

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-09 18:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 98% $-3

Other

12% 96% $-8

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	8	$68	55	55	+0	open	—	03-16 05:25
sol updown 5m 1776113700	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	04-13 20:59
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	5	$56	144	144	+0	open	—	01-26 16:46
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	8	$56	36	31	+5	open	—	05-31 05:10
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	3	$55	35	35	+0	open	—	03-09 06:01
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	6	$46	149	149	+0	open	—	03-21 16:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$41	34	32	+1	open	—	02-24 05:23
internet access restored in iran by friday 972	5	$41	27	27	+0	open	—	01-22 00:53
will russia enter sofiivka by january 31	6	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	02-01 02:25
sol updown 5m 1776088200	4	$30	25	5	+20	open	—	04-13 13:54
sol updown 5m 1776077100	2	$28	30	28	+1	open	—	04-13 10:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$28	103	103	+0	open	—	03-01 12:54
sol updown 5m 1776122400	2	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	04-13 23:24
sol updown 5m 1776109500	2	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-13 19:49
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	6	$21	21	20	+1	open	—	03-21 16:15
sol updown 5m 1776129300	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	04-14 01:19
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-02 00:30
bnb updown 5m 1777040700	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 14:29
eth updown 5m 1777035300	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 12:59
eth updown 5m 1777040700	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 14:29
bnb updown 5m 1777041300	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 14:39
bnb updown 5m 1777029600	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 11:24
eth updown 5m 1777032900	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 12:19
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 02:50
bnb updown 5m 1777044000	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 15:24
bnb updown 5m 1777034400	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 12:44
sol updown 5m 1776074400	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 10:05
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	3	$19	22	22	+0	open	—	01-29 16:10
sol updown 5m 1776078300	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	04-13 11:09
sol updown 5m 1776074700	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 10:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 18:34:02	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9c31fd…
05-31 05:10:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x18ff72…
05-29 03:05:17	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	25	84¢	$22	0x339180…
05-27 20:54:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x49f339…
05-27 20:52:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x50e4a4…
05-27 13:52:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x5c67e8…
05-27 13:36:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x050b05…
05-27 13:32:18	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa54f63…
05-27 13:31:08	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2097a8…
05-27 13:19:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8c4983…
05-27 02:04:26	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x58280e…
05-27 01:54:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb7004d…
05-26 00:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x987b55…
05-23 16:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x11c9ea…
05-23 16:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe21bf9…
05-23 15:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbec44b…
05-11 13:59:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb5a2bd…
05-11 13:54:17	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0f9d86…
05-11 13:49:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa1b3f2…
05-11 10:49:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc8d17…
05-11 06:44:20	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe67283…
05-11 06:44:18	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9cbd34…
05-11 05:19:36	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b21ae…
05-11 04:34:17	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x63927c…
05-11 04:09:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2dee9e…
05-11 03:24:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfea314…
05-11 02:44:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcf9b84…
05-11 02:19:28	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd4df06…
05-11 01:54:48	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbe84a8…
05-11 01:49:24	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6d2639…
05-11 01:44:23	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x146083…
05-11 01:29:31	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38bc30…
05-11 01:29:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c0eae…
05-11 01:14:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x864ef1…
05-11 01:09:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7bebd…
05-11 00:59:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x30d635…
05-11 00:44:46	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e037d…
05-11 00:44:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72065c…
05-11 00:29:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x567c66…
05-11 00:24:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x32801e…
05-11 00:24:16	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1eec0d…
05-11 00:19:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01f243…
05-11 00:19:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c849c…
05-11 00:19:17	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa0fe3e…
05-11 00:19:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x809ca4…
05-11 00:14:24	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc3771b…
05-11 00:14:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x71d1ff…
05-10 23:59:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0cfc62…
05-10 23:34:16	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4f5f3a…
05-10 23:14:18	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a9ed2…
05-10 23:04:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ee9d0…
05-10 22:49:23	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x71a7ea…
05-10 22:49:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c78e6…
05-10 22:44:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x86f46d…
05-10 22:39:16	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcab251…
05-10 22:39:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7fd2a8…
05-10 22:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaaed71…
05-10 22:34:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x16ac29…
05-10 22:19:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6b7211…
05-10 22:09:15	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad703d…
05-10 21:54:31	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa483b7…
05-10 21:54:26	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x116060…
05-10 21:54:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xca73a1…
05-10 21:44:17	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa59957…
05-10 21:44:15	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79d7d6…
05-10 21:39:25	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbe10b4…
05-10 21:34:19	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xefbad9…
05-10 21:34:17	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x94433b…
05-10 21:29:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x81824d…
05-10 21:29:30	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d2453…
05-10 21:29:16	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0cb4d7…
05-10 21:24:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc8a832…
05-10 21:19:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf75f29…
05-10 21:14:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf79286…
05-10 21:14:29	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c2ace…
05-10 21:14:15	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x53c3c3…
05-10 21:04:16	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x947c98…
05-10 21:04:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4fc856…
05-10 20:59:19	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda5d0e…
05-10 20:59:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x509d57…
05-10 20:59:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x429837…
05-10 20:54:19	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd83e05…
05-10 20:54:16	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xee45e6…
05-10 20:54:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8c53e…
05-10 20:44:28	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7dda54…
05-10 20:44:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcfeab8…
05-10 20:34:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x074d60…
05-10 20:34:17	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf4eb4b…
05-10 20:34:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a507b…
05-10 20:14:48	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35cef4…
05-10 20:14:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17881a…
05-10 19:59:15	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x573a90…
05-10 19:29:22	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x22b094…
05-10 19:24:15	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5eef4e…
05-10 19:19:18	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x944c90…
05-10 19:19:16	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc00bc…
05-10 19:09:14	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56fef0…
05-10 18:39:15	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a7fc6…
05-10 18:24:44	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf180b2…
05-10 17:59:16	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa3cde3…