Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$426

Unrealized P&L

-$24

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 05-19 10:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

59% 71% -$427

Other

35% 100% +$17

Tech

4% 100% +$6

Sports

2% 67% -$6

Crypto

1% 0% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+39	$25	3¢	$1	-$24	05-19 10:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$496	703	100	+603	Yes	-$299	04-09 07:34
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$306	200	200	+0	Yes	+$10	01-27 08:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$147	212	0	+212	Yes	-$147	04-08 18:43
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	2	$120	100	100	+0	Yes	+$10	03-31 11:36
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	5	$119	61	61	+0	No	+$1	04-01 08:13
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$117	60	60	+0	No	+$1	04-03 17:17
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	3	$112	57	57	+0	No	+$2	03-30 02:35
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	2	$97	0	100	-100	No	-$3	05-05 08:59
pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	3	$95	48	48	+0	No	+$1	03-27 00:32
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	2	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$3	05-03 18:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$93	49	49	+0	No	+$3	03-29 06:58
peter mandelson charged by march 31	4	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$1	03-31 17:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	7	$64	37	37	+0	Yes	+$5	05-17 10:18
trump out as president by march 31	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-25 17:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	+$1	04-01 17:15
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	4	$43	32	32	+0	Gaethje	+$3	01-25 05:25
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	2	$41	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	02-25 09:03
Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	2	$41	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	02-21 23:50
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 19:48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	02-28 13:44
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	1	$25	39	0	+39	open	—	05-19 10:43
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$21	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	02-19 16:24
X Money released by April 10, 2026?	3	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-06 22:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-29 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 07:20 UTC	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$10	02-25 07:24
ufc son sea1 2026 01 24	1	$10	29	0	+29	O'Malley	-$10	01-25 04:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	02-08 07:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:25 UTC	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	02-28 05:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$4	47	0	+47	No	-$4	01-24 05:38
will emeka egbuka be the 2025 2026 nfl offensive rookie of the year 158	1	$0	0	60	-60	No	+$0	01-24 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 10:43:07	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xa9f990…
05-17 10:18:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x8ca674…
05-17 10:18:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xf23c5b…
05-17 10:05:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x8e3c8d…
05-17 09:59:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x4e80ae…
05-17 09:55:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf3dac9…
05-17 09:50:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x41fe2c…
05-05 08:59:20	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x20e96c…
05-04 19:49:12	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0x292fc6…
05-04 18:35:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0x63c34f…
05-03 18:26:14	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xdfa6d5…
04-09 07:34:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	603	50¢	$300	0x8dd523…
04-08 18:43:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x83c349…
04-07 19:26:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	110	88¢	$97	0x1a1154…
04-06 22:53:17	X Money released by April 10, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf21fcb…
04-06 14:48:31	X Money released by April 10, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x9c93ae…
04-06 11:58:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x526b9d…
04-06 10:26:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0x4db8b5…
04-06 10:20:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x7c45ec…
04-05 05:25:15	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xbc907e…
04-04 06:08:01	X Money released by April 10, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x84249f…
04-03 17:17:15	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x9be28d…
04-02 13:30:07	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x7012c8…
04-01 17:15:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x18a796…
04-01 08:13:37	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8553a1…
03-31 19:48:03	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x40470d…
03-31 19:44:05	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xa021e2…
03-31 17:53:41	peter mandelson charged by march 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x35d1df…
03-31 11:36:19	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x015c1e…
03-30 06:55:10	peter mandelson charged by march 31	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xe4add5…
03-30 06:25:02	peter mandelson charged by march 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f54c9…
03-30 06:16:56	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xf9ff73…
03-30 06:16:56	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x11ca6d…
03-30 05:01:32	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xc1bbe4…
03-30 02:35:16	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0xc5a7b4…
03-30 02:30:38	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x32c5b3…
03-29 19:06:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0xf50eb9…
03-29 09:40:28	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xb4324d…
03-29 06:58:34	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x1055a4…
03-27 08:27:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xdc2818…
03-27 00:32:31	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x064c27…
03-26 15:38:33	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3dc5ea…
03-25 17:45:35	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xbb1096…
03-21 08:23:35	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0xe1225e…
03-21 08:07:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x73f103…
03-21 08:03:29	peter mandelson charged by march 31	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xdf3d9f…
03-21 08:01:05	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xea88e5…
03-21 07:58:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x852385…
03-19 09:22:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x9eb9e7…
03-18 07:36:21	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa89d98…
03-18 07:31:55	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xbb48c3…
03-16 07:08:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xd14fc2…
02-28 13:44:13	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x289fad…
02-28 05:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x229e8e…
02-25 09:03:46	Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xe1af3f…
02-25 07:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x92a5b9…
02-21 23:50:16	Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x07eff1…
02-19 16:24:04	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x84d607…
02-15 17:42:33	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x5e3902…
02-15 08:39:59	Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x868b90…
02-15 08:39:29	Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x47d5f6…
02-08 07:58:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x2e55e4…
01-27 08:50:27	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0x5d2a56…
01-26 21:05:27	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x9a99e5…
01-25 05:25:10	ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	Gaethje	SELL	14	74¢	$11	0xf47e6c…
01-25 05:23:40	ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	Gaethje	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xcaebdd…
01-25 05:22:10	ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	Gaethje	SELL	17	73¢	$13	0x3f5b16…
01-25 05:20:50	ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	Gaethje	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xf68b11…
01-25 04:00:26	ufc son sea1 2026 01 24	Yadong	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xd4f3a3…
01-24 05:39:40	will emeka egbuka be the 2025 2026 nfl offensive rookie of the year 158	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$0	0x0c2a55…
01-24 05:38:36	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$2	0xa9dd86…
01-11 02:51:52	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdd51a9…
01-11 02:51:22	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x28868d…
01-11 02:48:24	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x064d15…