Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

183

Trades

1,628

lifetime

Volume

$226.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-04 01:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Politics

46% 24% -$8,898

Crypto

28% 75% -$321

Other

16% 38% -$3,306

Sports

8% 35% +$1,022

Tech

1% 100% +$570

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	19	$19.2K	18,710	18,710	+0	Yes	-$3,047	11-02 23:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	103	$15.0K	15,851	21,581	-5,730	Yes	-$6,816	01-30 03:26
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	82	$12.2K	9,091	7,732	+1,360	Yes	+$1,526	07-12 18:52
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	38	$12.0K	22,240	22,308	-68	No	-$6,145	01-30 00:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	20	$10.5K	6,820	6,820	+0	Yes	+$623	07-29 17:55
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	34	$8.8K	3,255	15,933	-12,678	No	+$4,939	01-16 21:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	17	$7.7K	6,700	5,200	+1,500	Yes	+$3,225	06-16 03:42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	7	$6.4K	5,000	2,862	+2,138	Yes	+$864	11-04 00:52
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	37	$5.1K	8,328	8,328	+0	No	-$1,029	01-15 00:03
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$4.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$1,146	02-02 20:39
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	16	$4.2K	3,170	2,170	+1,000	Yes	+$1,012	08-05 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	42	$4.2K	4,597	1,182	+3,415	Up	-$613	08-03 02:04
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	4	$4.0K	4,773	0	+4,773	No	-$3,959	08-05 23:05
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	2	$3.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	-$150	11-03 20:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	54	$3.2K	3,100	3,100	+0	Yes	+$570	07-30 22:20
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	5	$3.1K	2,900	2,900	+0	No	-$341	11-04 01:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 01:45 UTC	38	$3.1K	3,510	1,013	+2,496	Down	-$325	08-03 01:49
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	18	$3.1K	2,500	2,476	+24	No	-$172	01-15 01:23
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	14	$2.7K	7,779	1,500	+6,279	No	-$2,227	02-03 17:39
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	9	$2.5K	2,318	2,318	+0	Yes	-$288	01-24 01:27
starmer out by june 22 2026	8	$2.4K	2,343	1,232	+1,111	Yes	+$301	06-22 01:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 01:55 UTC	22	$2.2K	2,430	0	+2,430	Up	+$230	08-03 01:58
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	10	$2.1K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$57	07-21 05:32
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	22	$2.1K	3,140	0	+3,140	Yes	+$1,038	06-19 22:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	7	$2.0K	2,600	0	+2,600	Yes	+$605	11-04 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:15 UTC	20	$2.0K	2,105	577	+1,528	Up	-$289	08-02 03:19
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	3	$2.0K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	-$14	10-22 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 19:45 UTC	9	$2.0K	1,137	1,137	+0	Up	+$73	07-22 19:49
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	15	$1.9K	6,172	8,000	-1,828	No	+$256	01-18 03:02
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	7	$1.9K	3,024	0	+3,024	Yes	+$1,110	05-19 17:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 01:18:06	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	500	72¢	$360	0x68ab49…
11-04 01:06:10	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	11¢	$212	0x59bc3a…
11-04 00:53:16	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	84¢	$45	0x8e9590…
11-04 00:53:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x9aad3f…
11-04 00:53:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0x7c5881…
11-04 00:53:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x6e2e60…
11-04 00:53:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	84¢	$37	0x5f07a4…
11-04 00:53:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	84¢	$185	0x231062…
11-04 00:52:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	778	90¢	$701	0xb3389a…
11-04 00:51:28	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x7bd4c1…
11-04 00:51:09	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	623	90¢	$561	0x16315c…
11-04 00:51:06	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x99f291…
11-04 00:51:01	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	692	90¢	$623	0xfe5d2a…
11-04 00:49:36	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	59¢	$296	0xf36be1…
11-04 00:45:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	724	90¢	$652	0x979e2a…
11-04 00:28:52	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	40¢	$70	0x52dc63…
11-04 00:28:49	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	857	40¢	$343	0xff1dab…
11-04 00:25:48	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x52fd7d…
11-04 00:25:01	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x8d623f…
11-04 00:22:57	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xa58f99…
11-04 00:20:13	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0x5445a1…
11-03 20:14:52	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	60¢	$1,800	0x5b9a43…
11-03 05:49:39	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,050	49¢	$514	0x1dd043…
11-03 05:45:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	60¢	$483	0xf7f840…
11-03 05:45:30	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	60¢	$422	0x256c60…
11-03 05:42:31	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	65¢	$1,950	0x1bd4c1…
11-03 05:41:04	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,100	75¢	$1,575	0x5b941f…
11-03 05:39:52	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5,000	77¢	$3,850	0x4f186b…
11-02 23:50:48	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	13,333	43¢	$5,760	0x6e45b7…
11-02 22:09:52	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	4,444	43¢	$1,920	0x93e44d…
11-02 22:08:33	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	2,400	43¢	$1,032	0x9d5dad…
11-02 04:36:31	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xe6f87e…
11-02 04:36:13	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	933	44¢	$408	0xa6b04a…
10-25 05:48:51	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	1,200	55¢	$660	0x039955…
10-22 17:04:09	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,400	70¢	$980	0x85fd1e…
10-22 17:02:38	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	700	53¢	$372	0x36ccc8…
10-21 03:11:08	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	820	71¢	$582	0x98e8fd…
10-12 19:48:24	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	580	71¢	$412	0x9797fa…
10-12 19:41:12	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x263baa…
10-10 17:55:18	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	700	52¢	$363	0x1321bf…
10-10 00:37:08	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	57¢	$1,142	0xb3330c…
10-09 18:17:40	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	1,200	59¢	$708	0x752b52…
10-09 18:16:34	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	60¢	$1,203	0x4cc471…
10-09 18:11:50	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	900	60¢	$539	0x27134e…
10-09 18:11:37	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,300	60¢	$780	0x9c7776…
10-07 17:41:13	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	970	58¢	$566	0x6c9cf1…
10-06 19:37:17	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4,500	61¢	$2,745	0x27d6e0…
10-06 19:23:32	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe6feb7…
10-06 19:23:32	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x2df5e2…
10-06 19:23:29	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	61¢	$1,220	0xd7c15b…
10-06 19:15:32	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	61¢	$1,828	0xf1bec4…
10-06 19:15:00	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$302	0x578261…
10-06 18:48:32	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x7da923…
08-05 23:05:26	Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	2,444	83¢	$2,028	0xb47174…
08-05 22:55:05	Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xc59763…
08-05 22:53:42	Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	57	81¢	$46	0xe833e1…
08-05 22:24:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xee2446…
08-05 22:24:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xa49681…
08-05 22:24:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x76c64a…
08-05 22:24:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x815a82…
08-05 22:24:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x7c427e…
08-05 22:24:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x7a1c6a…
08-05 22:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x2cbe35…
08-05 22:23:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x83825e…
08-05 22:23:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x5f5b03…
08-05 22:23:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x797a11…
08-05 22:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8fb472…
08-05 22:14:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xdb2202…
08-05 22:14:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x460793…
08-05 22:14:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0b7b30…
08-05 22:09:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x479b25…
08-05 22:09:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x9dbf48…
08-05 22:09:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x33cb65…
08-05 22:09:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xe5a738…
08-05 22:09:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0x6f18c1…
08-05 22:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x41b7fc…
08-05 22:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x471421…
08-05 22:09:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x7b922b…
08-05 22:07:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe619d8…
08-05 22:04:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x86cb21…
08-05 22:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2d9c9a…
08-05 22:04:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xfa9a7d…
08-05 22:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2d9101…
08-05 21:59:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:55 UTC	Up	SELL	372	6¢	$21	0x7685c1…
08-05 21:58:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x3bc1be…
08-05 21:58:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xf2f72b…
08-05 21:58:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x410c1a…
08-05 21:49:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x749198…
08-05 21:49:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x50ebf7…
08-05 21:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x795757…
08-05 21:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x54cd11…
08-05 21:46:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	62	35¢	$22	0x56d62d…
08-05 21:45:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x83311a…
08-05 21:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x609742…
08-05 21:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xa610cb…
08-05 21:43:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xc001ee…
08-05 21:43:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x7266d5…
08-05 21:43:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x6d457a…
08-05 21:43:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x14b335…
08-05 21:34:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x5889bd…