Austere-Balalaika — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$261

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 07-02 06:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 100% +$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$944	482	482	+0	open	—	04-24 08:33
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	3	$899	464	464	+0	open	—	07-02 06:39
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	2	$603	307	307	+0	open	—	04-08 04:33
tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	1	$472	502	0	+502	open	—	04-24 08:39
Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)	1	$465	483	0	+483	Cagliari Calcio	+$18	05-09 03:23
Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	1	$452	466	0	+466	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	+$14	05-08 06:57
lal lev sev 2026 04 23 spread home 2pt5	1	$445	473	0	+473	open	—	04-23 04:36
j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	1	$302	311	0	+311	open	—	04-08 07:18
Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)	2	$64	919	0	+919	open	—	05-14 04:28
Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)	2	$48	950	0	+950	open	—	05-15 04:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$13	103	103	+0	open	—	06-08 04:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 06:39:46	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x88e01a…
07-02 06:39:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	460	97¢	$446	0xe03fb9…
07-02 05:38:38	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	464	97¢	$450	0x24b4d7…
06-08 04:20:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	6¢	$6	0x62e3cb…
06-08 04:15:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	6¢	$6	0x27444a…
05-15 04:26:23	Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)	Çaykur Rizespor	BUY	460	5¢	$23	0xe18538…
05-15 04:26:09	Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)	Çaykur Rizespor	BUY	490	5¢	$24	0x79b7d9…
05-14 04:28:16	Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Najmah Saudi Club	BUY	445	7¢	$31	0x2064cf…
05-14 04:27:41	Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Najmah Saudi Club	BUY	474	7¢	$33	0x9296ad…
05-09 03:23:33	Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)	Cagliari Calcio	BUY	483	96¢	$465	0x575c7a…
05-08 06:57:34	Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	BUY	466	97¢	$452	0xea37b8…
04-24 08:39:54	tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Rams Başakşehir FK	BUY	502	94¢	$472	0x96c58e…
04-24 08:33:26	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	482	98¢	$472	0x5aae27…
04-24 08:04:14	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	482	98¢	$472	0x1b401f…
04-23 04:36:18	lal lev sev 2026 04 23 spread home 2pt5	Sevilla FC	BUY	473	94¢	$445	0x256f3c…
04-08 07:18:53	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Tochigi SC	BUY	311	97¢	$302	0x4c5877…
04-08 04:33:53	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	No	SELL	307	98¢	$301	0x269a87…
04-08 03:15:07	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	No	BUY	307	98¢	$301	0x7e3ce7…