Earnest-Peacock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.39K

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

385

Trades

800

lifetime

Volume

$69.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 09-19 11:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Other

66% 61% -$119

Politics

26% 67% -$3,501

Crypto

7% 70% +$181

Sports

1% 67% +$34

Tech

0% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
OKX IPO in 2026?	Yes		-255	-$13	5¢	$-12	+$1	08-25 13:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes		+143	$10	0¢	$0	-$10	09-19 02:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	20	$6.0K	4,900	4,900	+0	Yes	-$1,491	04-08 04:30
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.7K	9,332	0	+9,332	Yes	-$33	03-18 02:28
highest temperature in seoul on march 5 2026 6c	3	$2.2K	2,239	0	+2,239	No	+$24	03-05 01:52
highest temperature in seoul on march 30 2026 20corhigher	3	$2.1K	2,147	0	+2,147	No	+$25	03-30 04:09
highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 9c	1	$1.8K	1,778	0	+1,778	No	+$5	03-02 04:47
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 7c	7	$1.5K	1,590	0	+1,590	No	+$51	03-26 01:35
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 15c	2	$1.3K	666	666	+0	No	+$3	04-01 05:39
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	No	+$16	02-25 01:36
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	10	$1.2K	1,252	0	+1,252	Yes	-$1,175	02-27 01:25
highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 13c	3	$1.2K	1,186	0	+1,186	No	+$20	03-20 05:04
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	2	$1.1K	1,314	0	+1,314	Gen.G	-$8	03-17 14:23
highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 6c	6	$1.0K	1,045	0	+1,045	No	+$15	03-10 02:38
highest temperature in seoul on march 3 2026 8c	2	$1.0K	511	511	+0	No	+$5	03-03 04:33
highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 13corhigher	1	$996	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$4	03-19 01:50
highest temperature in seoul on march 1 2026 13c	1	$986	989	0	+989	No	+$3	03-01 05:43
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	3	$980	1,004	0	+1,004	No	+$24	02-19 08:49
highest temperature in seoul on february 25 2026 10c	13	$976	1,055	570	+485	Yes	-$470	02-25 07:28
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 4c	1	$976	980	0	+980	No	+$4	03-10 15:43
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$946	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$54	02-19 01:32
highest temperature in seoul on february 28 2026 10c	3	$924	927	0	+927	No	+$4	02-28 02:55
hood up or down on february 12 2026	2	$908	934	0	+934	Down	+$26	02-12 15:24
will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et	1	$903	918	0	+918	No	+$15	02-21 08:19
will solana reach 120 in february 2026	11	$859	482	482	+0	No	+$75	02-18 14:18
highest temperature in seoul on march 1 2026 11c	5	$839	849	0	+849	No	+$10	03-01 06:14
hood up or down on february 11 2026	11	$735	759	0	+759	Down	+$24	02-11 14:34
highest temperature in seoul on february 25 2026 14corhigher	2	$713	718	0	+718	No	+$5	02-25 05:59
will silver si hit high 160 by end of february 597 366 984 937	3	$683	385	385	+0	No	+$81	02-18 14:18
will solana reach 140 in february 2026	4	$672	353	353	+0	No	+$25	02-18 14:19
highest temperature in seoul on march 7 2026 0corbelow	1	$659	666	0	+666	No	+$7	03-06 05:43
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 13corhigher	10	$582	601	0	+601	No	+$18	03-17 04:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 11:08:51	lol ig1 jdg 2026 09 19	JD Gaming	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf260fc…
09-19 02:33:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xd3810e…
09-19 02:33:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	BUY	750	1¢	$6	0x76e744…
09-17 12:00:52	lol tes ig1 2026 09 17	Invictus Gaming	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x881aac…
09-17 11:32:39	lol tes ig1 2026 09 17	Invictus Gaming	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xabf2d4…
09-12 12:37:01	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	SELL	21	50¢	$11	0x372296…
09-12 11:42:40	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	SELL	73	26¢	$19	0xdd0f9a…
09-12 11:42:09	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x61a893…
09-12 11:42:07	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x89b9de…
09-12 11:42:07	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x07acb8…
09-03 07:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x8ae0ce…
09-03 06:49:04	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x471031…
08-30 11:34:04	lol jdg we 2026 08 30	JD Gaming	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa1ce21…
08-27 02:37:28	nvda up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x7830a6…
08-25 13:08:31	OKX IPO in 2026?	Yes	SELL	255	5¢	$13	0x818fd6…
07-15 18:56:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb885d9…
07-15 07:22:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3d842f…
07-14 19:07:20	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc54641…
07-14 19:01:49	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	424	38¢	$160	0x579439…
07-14 18:57:11	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xccf14e…
07-14 18:57:11	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xa282ef…
07-14 18:56:41	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xc9ea0d…
07-14 18:55:46	Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x576063…
07-14 18:55:32	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x388097…
07-14 18:45:46	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x942728…
07-14 08:56:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x0f4b74…
07-09 21:39:52	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	46	28¢	$13	0xa26a0d…
07-09 20:01:47	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x9bbd4f…
07-09 20:01:38	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x38d5c6…
07-09 19:55:20	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xde56df…
07-09 09:45:17	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf5c320…
07-09 09:35:19	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game3	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6fb7c1…
07-08 02:00:34	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08	G2 Esports	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x71a2d0…
07-07 17:51:59	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	722	1¢	$6	0xf398b6…
07-07 17:38:53	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x3d4978…
07-07 17:34:43	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	722	1¢	$5	0xdf1bb9…
07-07 17:31:53	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x59593f…
07-07 17:30:13	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	38	36¢	$14	0x8b7158…
07-07 17:30:04	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 goals lionel messi gte1	No	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0x13c05d…
07-07 16:01:23	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xbb3995…
07-07 06:25:22	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6b2092…
07-07 06:25:19	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb31157…
07-07 06:24:47	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x6d38d4…
07-07 06:24:44	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4e55ca…
07-07 06:24:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	52	76¢	$40	0x42a53a…
07-06 18:55:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x035af8…
07-05 05:45:20	lol tsw tes 2026 07 04	Team Secret Whales	SELL	94	50¢	$47	0x6cc3b4…
07-05 03:24:31	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x0ef2c5…
07-05 03:24:23	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x993aea…
07-05 03:24:19	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf25741…
07-05 03:24:07	lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05	G2 Esports	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x9f1cb3…
07-05 03:23:43	lol tsw tes 2026 07 04	Team Secret Whales	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x09fc71…
07-04 15:12:53	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xa23412…
07-04 00:14:02	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9d0066…
07-04 00:13:53	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x3ee52f…
07-03 12:00:46	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xdad9d9…
07-02 09:31:38	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf90e4b…
07-02 04:53:47	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xcd8201…
07-01 18:04:56	Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x7e87dd…
07-01 18:03:34	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x2a55f7…
06-30 17:15:07	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x666f04…
06-29 22:27:38	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x0ce243…
06-29 05:40:22	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x666cd8…
06-27 19:03:37	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x04b735…
06-27 19:03:25	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x4d5db2…
06-25 21:47:38	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	69	48¢	$33	0xc2e688…
06-24 19:10:53	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xcf0e5e…
06-23 19:16:34	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x7fc3f9…
06-23 19:16:32	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb6acb1…
06-23 02:29:50	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xb123da…
06-23 00:26:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	669	0¢	$2	0xd20b64…
06-23 00:26:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	80	28¢	$23	0xbf6432…
06-22 15:48:38	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x66b26d…
06-21 19:20:38	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xab9540…
06-21 17:19:08	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc22897…
06-21 04:39:46	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xad3654…
06-20 22:09:11	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 goals lamine yamal gte1	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb072e3…
06-20 21:58:53	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x09994f…
06-20 21:33:40	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x4d2458…
06-20 21:32:20	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x91dc5c…
06-20 04:54:59	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	SELL	22	75¢	$16	0x2a2bf3…
06-20 04:31:07	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc5834b…
06-20 04:30:20	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0xa60524…
06-20 03:38:40	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x38cee5…
06-19 15:50:28	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x52cf18…
06-19 15:50:13	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x4012bc…
06-19 11:30:35	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 goals raphinha gte1	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7c21ba…
06-19 11:29:53	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 goals vinicius junior gte2	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x450985…
06-19 11:28:20	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x917214…
06-19 04:57:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0xaa2909…
06-18 18:57:35	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xeeb187…
06-18 13:10:05	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x351d19…
06-18 12:05:31	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 goals son heungmin gte1	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x212c49…
06-18 08:02:58	Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xe2b5c3…
06-18 01:40:35	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x723830…
06-18 01:25:50	Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x23260f…
06-17 18:13:58	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc3b750…
06-17 17:55:52	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x6110c7…
06-17 17:52:05	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x31245f…
06-17 12:51:26	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xb83fec…