Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

-$232

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

Trades

351

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$124

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-24 03:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

93% 26% +$2,170

Other

7% 0% -$979

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No		+1,250	$200	6¢	$80	-$120	07-07 18:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+520	$156	8¢	$44	-$112	07-24 03:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$5.5K	9,418	9,418	+0	Yes	+$3,011	02-28 06:35
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	24	$3.3K	1,900	1,900	+0	No	+$305	03-03 20:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$623	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$525	02-28 15:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	15	$580	5,340	0	+5,340	No	-$580	03-11 16:28
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	154	$433	6,300	6,300	+0	No	-$407	02-07 01:45
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	28	$350	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	+$150	02-18 22:36
us forces enter iran by march 7	3	$321	2,275	850	+1,425	No	+$19	03-05 11:55
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$301	6,000	972	+5,028	No	-$299	02-14 06:56
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	7	$272	5,607	0	+5,607	No	-$272	02-20 19:45
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	8	$217	1,683	0	+1,683	No	-$217	01-15 17:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$200	1,820	0	+1,820	No	-$200	03-22 12:32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1	$200	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	07-07 18:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$199	1,420	0	+1,420	No	-$199	04-14 08:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$156	520	0	+520	open	—	07-24 03:59
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	12	$114	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$14	01-23 21:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	5	$106	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$103	01-31 16:18
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$99	760	0	+760	No	-$99	04-25 15:44
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	15	$89	1,660	0	+1,660	No	-$89	03-07 17:23
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	25	$87	6,800	6,800	+0	No	-$73	02-12 03:19
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	8	$77	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$43	01-25 00:16
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	14	$72	14,400	0	+14,400	No	-$72	02-16 02:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$70	350	0	+350	No	-$70	01-10 08:06
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$46	930	0	+930	No	-$46	01-31 19:18
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$23	500	500	+0	No	-$7	02-28 06:35
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$21	1,750	0	+1,750	No	-$21	02-26 16:51
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	5	$13	750	0	+750	No	-$13	01-15 17:29
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	5	$10	1,700	0	+1,700	No	-$10	02-17 08:59
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	1	$10	1,111	0	+1,111	No	-$10	02-02 09:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 03:59:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	520	30¢	$156	0x021e4c…
07-07 18:23:11	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	16¢	$200	0xbbc27a…
04-25 15:44:34	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	760	13¢	$99	0x0b4878…
04-14 08:59:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,420	14¢	$199	0x0f5a11…
03-22 12:32:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	37	11¢	$4	0x9fc999…
03-22 11:47:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	383	11¢	$42	0x3b2617…
03-22 11:43:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,400	11¢	$154	0x11082c…
03-11 16:28:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,336	5¢	$65	0xaa8dad…
03-11 16:25:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x9335ff…
03-11 16:23:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0x4478d8…
03-11 16:22:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x265ff0…
03-11 16:18:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	572	5¢	$28	0xd2bf04…
03-11 16:18:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0xa297b2…
03-10 04:47:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	643	5¢	$35	0x6750d2…
03-10 04:24:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,207	5¢	$65	0xe5f735…
03-07 17:23:45	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x26f87c…
03-05 11:55:57	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,425	7¢	$100	0x16f5e5…
03-05 05:25:53	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	850	20¢	$170	0x12611e…
03-04 09:28:07	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	850	6¢	$51	0xdcea6e…
03-03 20:28:53	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x55daf6…
03-03 20:28:51	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	76	95¢	$72	0xa83c95…
03-03 20:28:47	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	161	95¢	$153	0xcdfa3a…
03-03 20:28:39	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0x317ae3…
03-03 20:28:29	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$45	0x842302…
03-03 20:28:13	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0xc3ea1f…
03-03 20:28:01	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0xc28026…
03-03 20:27:49	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0xc5e2e0…
03-03 20:27:49	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x85fa2b…
03-03 20:27:49	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x755899…
03-03 20:27:47	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x09d57c…
03-03 20:27:35	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xc4ebcd…
03-03 20:27:35	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x517ebb…
03-03 20:27:35	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x0f6c69…
03-03 20:27:35	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x04e88e…
03-03 20:27:33	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x833f5a…
03-02 19:30:29	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x83e316…
03-02 19:11:21	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	237	80¢	$189	0xa8a74c…
03-02 18:18:29	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	51	80¢	$41	0xabebad…
03-02 18:16:49	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x0948bb…
03-02 18:14:33	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	510	80¢	$408	0xef5f3c…
03-02 15:41:57	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	87	80¢	$70	0xc9222f…
03-02 15:31:53	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x6e0c88…
03-02 15:31:41	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0x7a5771…
03-02 15:31:31	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xf2ca05…
03-02 15:30:49	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x68165c…
03-02 15:20:35	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xd94d58…
03-02 15:14:45	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xb0da61…
03-02 15:11:15	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x94d0e2…
03-02 15:10:41	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xc5090f…
03-02 15:10:37	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xde4f3e…
03-02 15:10:27	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x5b453c…
03-02 15:10:15	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xc21ac7…
03-02 15:10:05	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x5ba412…
03-02 15:01:35	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x12e4a9…
03-02 14:46:45	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	157	9¢	$14	0xdc7c4e…
03-02 03:50:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	566	24¢	$133	0x40bc7f…
03-02 03:50:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	72	24¢	$17	0x659dea…
03-02 03:50:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xa17c61…
03-02 03:48:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0x5a69db…
03-02 03:48:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	156	24¢	$37	0x3bd24b…
03-02 03:48:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$9	0x0237a3…
03-02 01:28:23	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	950	95¢	$902	0xebfc08…
03-02 00:50:25	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	950	78¢	$741	0xd0be54…
03-01 07:55:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	600	30¢	$180	0x1291f0…
02-28 15:54:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	1,400	41¢	$574	0xd856c1…
02-28 06:35:23	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$8	0x98db21…
02-28 06:35:05	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	1,093	85¢	$929	0x337c56…
02-28 00:46:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x229caf…
02-27 23:29:25	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x786d95…
02-26 16:51:32	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	1,750	1¢	$21	0x4821a8…
02-20 19:45:48	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x61457d…
02-20 06:40:28	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x94325c…
02-20 06:38:56	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf7da65…
02-20 06:38:42	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	356	2¢	$9	0x0c4528…
02-20 02:32:00	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	1,700	3¢	$51	0xe1d730…
02-19 15:33:10	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	830	24¢	$199	0xa695bc…
02-18 22:36:22	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	43	20¢	$9	0x350e1f…
02-18 22:33:50	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xfbe94e…
02-18 22:29:52	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x8cae57…
02-18 22:28:06	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0xa487e9…
02-18 22:27:38	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x575b29…
02-18 22:26:34	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	191	20¢	$38	0x9fcab8…
02-18 22:23:00	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	222	20¢	$44	0x755216…
02-18 22:22:30	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x4d3d68…
02-18 22:20:52	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	250	20¢	$50	0x42b7e9…
02-18 22:18:56	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x18cb76…
02-18 22:16:50	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x04d81e…
02-18 22:15:30	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x5a7c7f…
02-18 22:15:18	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xa88820…
02-18 22:11:20	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x566457…
02-18 22:10:40	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x20f48c…
02-18 22:10:14	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x8a9524…
02-18 22:09:36	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	344	20¢	$69	0xba534f…
02-18 16:32:14	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	8,325	40¢	$3,330	0x258a65…
02-18 14:55:04	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	840	12¢	$101	0x64fc7a…
02-17 08:59:51	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	1,109	1¢	$7	0x46e371…
02-17 08:55:43	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa06ed3…
02-17 08:53:27	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc4cc61…
02-17 08:52:05	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	506	1¢	$3	0xb30be0…
02-17 08:50:15	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xcbe0a9…