Grotesque-Wave — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

23.1%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$594

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 06-25 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

46% 29% $-2

Politics

42% — —

Other

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-46	$-3	2¢	$-1	+$2	05-28 05:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl sj wpg 2026 04 16	2	$69	49	49	+0	open	—	04-17 04:46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$51	569	0	+569	open	—	04-08 21:38
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$50	217	0	+217	open	—	03-23 03:00
Bruins vs. Sabres	8	$32	61	11	+50	open	—	04-29 03:13
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	3	$30	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	04-19 06:58
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	6	$27	854	0	+854	open	—	04-17 05:41
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	4	$22	542	0	+542	open	—	04-17 05:41
Kash Patel out by May 31?	5	$17	18	18	+0	open	—	05-02 04:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$13	48	48	+0	open	—	04-08 06:56
Ducks vs. Oilers	4	$11	18	7	+11	open	—	04-29 01:17
Lightning vs. Canadiens	5	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	05-02 01:36
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	03-23 03:02
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	04-15 16:24
Canadiens vs. Lightning	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-03 20:51
Lightning vs. Canadiens	3	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-26 22:01
Oilers vs. Ducks	3	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 04:18
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	2	$7	26	26	+0	open	—	04-24 03:19
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-07 03:09
Sabres vs. Bruins	2	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	05-01 00:53
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	06-25 13:01
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$6	9	9	+0	open	—	04-25 07:23
Sabres vs. Bruins	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:23
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-14 05:49
Will 6–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	04-19 06:57
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	04-19 06:57
Hurricanes vs. Senators	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-25 07:22
will trump praise allah again by april 15	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	04-08 07:07
nhl car ott 2026 04 23	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 06:25
nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	04-21 04:59
Penguins vs. Flyers	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 13:01:50	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x7ece07…
06-25 13:01:43	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x7701eb…
06-23 23:51:38	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xa39aa2…
06-23 23:49:11	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbdfbe6…
06-20 19:03:53	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x55cb1c…
06-20 19:03:46	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdaca35…
06-20 19:03:25	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb25774…
06-20 19:02:46	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x45f229…
06-20 19:02:38	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbe3d08…
06-20 19:02:32	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Netherlands	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x401b87…
06-20 19:02:23	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x545375…
06-20 17:30:41	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x222156…
06-20 17:30:34	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd85edf…
06-20 17:29:08	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0c33b0…
06-20 17:28:47	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Netherlands	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbba88a…
06-20 16:59:25	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa7ed2e…
06-20 16:58:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x54792c…
06-20 03:37:35	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbe9aa8…
06-12 22:49:03	nhl car las 2026 06 14	Hurricanes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xed2075…
06-10 00:57:28	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Golden Knights	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd8e37b…
06-07 03:10:03	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Hurricanes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x85373e…
06-07 03:09:33	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Golden Knights	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x070474…
06-07 03:09:07	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x739c4a…
06-04 18:42:16	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x3a81b1…
06-04 18:42:13	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x05261f…
05-29 22:02:03	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xc87791…
05-29 22:02:02	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x696f95…
05-28 05:02:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	6¢	$3	0x763b4e…
05-14 04:08:59	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe4dabb…
05-08 04:51:53	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc4899f…
05-07 07:23:11	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8fc534…
05-07 07:23:06	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd63763…
05-07 07:22:52	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x071876…
05-07 07:22:45	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x32458d…
05-05 05:33:48	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa08941…
05-05 05:33:44	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xcb23b4…
05-05 05:33:40	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xeca0b8…
05-05 05:33:36	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x48f0c7…
05-05 05:33:24	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbb2475…
05-05 05:33:20	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5833e0…
05-03 20:52:26	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xba82fb…
05-03 20:52:22	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd051b0…
05-03 20:52:12	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd672fa…
05-03 20:51:58	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc08719…
05-03 20:51:54	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe45922…
05-02 04:53:54	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe7c99e…
05-02 04:53:50	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Flyers	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x28914d…
05-02 04:52:46	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x450a14…
05-02 01:36:56	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5caf05…
05-02 01:23:44	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc63275…
05-02 01:13:28	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x6ba7d5…
05-02 01:13:24	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xc3248b…
05-01 04:34:40	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x53e674…
05-01 01:58:16	Stars vs. Wild	Stars	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3e9787…
05-01 01:21:02	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd2f0f1…
05-01 00:56:18	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb2df61…
05-01 00:56:14	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0d6226…
05-01 00:53:24	Sabres vs. Bruins	Sabres	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x899faf…
05-01 00:53:20	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4afd77…
05-01 00:53:12	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x160b2c…
05-01 00:53:06	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa7685f…
05-01 00:51:40	Stars vs. Wild	Stars	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfd7b47…
04-30 23:45:18	Stars vs. Wild	Stars	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb509f4…
04-30 23:45:04	Stars vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5888e0…
04-30 23:44:38	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6210e8…
04-30 23:44:32	Sabres vs. Bruins	Sabres	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb90729…
04-29 03:42:16	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xcf47cf…
04-29 03:42:10	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6de7be…
04-29 03:13:22	Bruins vs. Sabres	Bruins	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb25df9…
04-29 02:37:14	Bruins vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x09fa55…
04-29 02:35:36	Bruins vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x840df6…
04-29 01:18:50	Bruins vs. Sabres	Bruins	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3e7507…
04-29 01:18:06	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x2b6b5c…
04-29 01:17:58	Ducks vs. Oilers	Ducks	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xc1eee3…
04-29 01:17:42	Bruins vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd8d651…
04-29 01:05:12	Bruins vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5239d4…
04-29 01:03:20	Ducks vs. Oilers	Ducks	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xae1ece…
04-28 06:32:26	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0266af…
04-28 06:32:24	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x24bc4c…
04-28 06:32:04	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xda58b4…
04-28 02:42:12	Ducks vs. Oilers	Ducks	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe2a7af…
04-28 02:42:04	Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x808866…
04-28 02:41:46	Bruins vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7766a3…
04-27 04:18:32	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x218839…
04-27 02:46:38	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf98b59…
04-27 02:46:30	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x4be7a9…
04-26 22:01:22	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x42c52f…
04-26 22:00:54	Flyers vs. Penguins	Penguins	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7556e5…
04-26 22:00:44	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x96aaae…
04-26 22:00:38	Bruins vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2d8873…
04-25 07:24:10	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcc7001…
04-25 07:23:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xd0af84…
04-25 07:23:22	Avalanche vs. Kings	Avalanche	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4e3794…
04-25 07:23:16	Sabres vs. Bruins	Sabres	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x614b40…
04-25 07:23:08	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1f744a…
04-25 07:22:58	Hurricanes vs. Senators	Hurricanes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x145d97…
04-25 07:22:42	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa9bf20…
04-24 03:19:54	Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0xe6695e…
04-22 06:26:16	nhl pit phi 2026 04 22	Penguins	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa04115…
04-22 06:25:46	nhl car ott 2026 04 23	Hurricanes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x28740f…