Flamboyant-Modification — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

1.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

29 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$118

$118 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 15% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up		-5	$-2	62¢	$-3	$-1	05-06 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up		-5	$-3	44¢	$-2	+$0	05-06 00:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$9	0	10	-10	Down	$-1	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-05 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-05 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	open	—	05-06 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$2	0	5	-5	open	—	05-06 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$2	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$0	0	5	-5	Up	+$0	05-05 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$0	0	5	-5	Up	+$0	05-05 00:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbc770e…
05-06 00:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2eb3d5…
05-06 00:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x082010…
05-06 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x829a49…
05-05 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3b9c55…
05-05 19:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3efc9b…
05-05 18:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc174d0…
05-05 17:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6fd599…
05-05 16:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf6aa77…
05-05 15:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x51184e…
05-05 15:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x94ed1d…
05-05 15:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xf3870f…
05-05 12:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x1afb48…
05-05 12:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe983f0…
05-05 06:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xba1e01…
05-05 05:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb2ad77…
05-05 04:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x649e5c…
05-05 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd197a5…
05-05 03:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xec8d84…
05-05 03:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x629471…
05-05 03:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x5f5efb…
05-05 03:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x4a8f5c…
05-05 02:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2439c1…
05-05 02:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xfa7d3a…
05-05 01:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7a3ee6…
05-05 00:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf050f5…
05-05 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xc16716…
05-04 23:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc01344…
05-04 23:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaeb07e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	27	$5.31K	160	05-06 00:29
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	24	$11.4K	150	05-06 00:29
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	24	$546	108	05-06 00:29
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	23	$1.87K	124	05-06 00:29
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	23	$714	81	05-06 00:29
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	22	$1.85K	122	05-06 00:29
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	20	$3.23K	59	05-06 00:29
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	20	$2.09K	199	05-06 00:29