Foolhardy-Floor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$835

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.0%

Resolved

446

Trades

2,233

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 07-01 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

58% 15% -$569

Politics

29% 12% -$164

Tech

9% 6% -$55

Sports

2% 14% -$21

Crypto

1% 17% -$25

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	8	$800	409	409	+0	No	$0	05-24 09:33
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	8	$444	300	300	+0	Yes	-$8	06-09 10:33
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	15	$384	240	240	+0	No	$0	06-23 04:36
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	8	$368	195	270	-75	open	—	06-02 09:00
will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	9	$304	187	187	+0	Yes	-$4	06-09 08:11
will mohammed bin salman sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950077	4	$265	150	150	+0	No	-$1	06-13 05:00
will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	3	$263	140	140	+0	No	-$3	06-13 11:36
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	9	$251	152	152	+0	No	$0	06-09 09:21
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	3	$234	140	140	+0	Yes	-$1	06-15 02:19
joao cancelo 20260609175357532	5	$232	135	135	+0	Yes	-$1	06-13 04:26
will pete hegseth sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950070	2	$228	120	120	+0	No	+$0	06-13 07:33
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	2	$200	109	109	+0	open	—	06-02 05:44
Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by more than 5%?	6	$191	101	101	+0	No	-$1	06-09 05:07
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	3	$189	100	100	+0	No	-$1	06-09 11:46
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	11	$174	330	220	+110	No	+$6	05-29 06:41
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?	4	$172	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 08:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	8	$163	112	112	+0	No	-$1	06-13 06:05
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	3	$157	130	79	+51	Yes	+$5	06-22 12:45
warren zaire emery 20260609174813083	2	$145	80	80	+0	No	-$1	06-13 04:50
will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	3	$135	100	100	+0	No	-$5	06-10 10:35
Will PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May?	6	$127	70	70	+0	Yes	-$1	06-11 05:02
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	4	$122	71	71	+0	open	—	06-02 08:53
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	15	$122	160	160	+0	No	$0	06-09 03:08
Will Statler Wright win Saddle Bronc Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	9	$117	510	610	-100	No	+$4	05-09 13:17
Will Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth be below 0%?	9	$113	341	241	+100	No	-$19	05-19 10:01
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$112	200	200	+0	Yes	-$4	04-28 14:35
will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	2	$110	66	66	+0	No	+$0	06-13 11:35
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be below 2%?	9	$106	220	220	+0	No	-$1	05-19 08:07
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	12	$106	291	291	+0	open	—	05-19 14:27
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 22?	5	$104	64	64	+0	No	-$1	06-22 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 16:29:16	will the announcers say referee 5 times during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034677	No	BUY	139	13¢	$18	0xe8bc63…
07-01 16:26:16	will the announcers say referee 5 times during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034677	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x588328…
07-01 12:52:41	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x2f453f…
07-01 12:51:55	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x7118b8…
06-30 06:32:44	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	No	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xdf18f4…
06-30 05:29:25	will the announcers say messi during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343720	No	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xff9ee2…
06-30 05:21:29	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x98d8f9…
06-30 05:21:29	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x2a67b5…
06-30 05:21:29	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x2807da…
06-30 05:14:53	will the announcers say messi during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343720	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xe713cc…
06-29 13:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	77	19¢	$15	0x449e91…
06-29 13:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	68	20¢	$14	0x75467a…
06-29 13:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0x7d75cd…
06-29 13:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x7c5c05…
06-29 13:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x939173…
06-29 13:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xaf9c54…
06-29 13:56:38	will cap reach 0pt20 before 2027	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x1dc57c…
06-29 13:56:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0xafc938…
06-29 13:55:29	will cap reach 0pt20 before 2027	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xc5653d…
06-29 13:55:19	will cap reach 0pt20 before 2027	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xe78893…
06-29 13:53:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$39	0xa6ac1e…
06-29 13:47:52	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x1f5e5a…
06-29 13:46:28	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2aba63…
06-28 04:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xd8e20f…
06-28 03:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?	No	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0x7d8aad…
06-28 03:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 28?	No	SELL	41	39¢	$16	0x7d879e…
06-28 03:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 28?	No	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0x835277…
06-28 03:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 28?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x697008…
06-28 03:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 28?	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x32efc2…
06-28 03:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 28?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x96cad2…
06-28 02:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x31712b…
06-28 02:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4ae982…
06-28 02:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xebf9ef…
06-28 02:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4bb722…
06-27 07:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xdacd84…
06-27 07:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 27?	No	SELL	500	2¢	$8	0x1ccdf2…
06-27 07:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0x72f698…
06-27 07:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xf993e9…
06-27 07:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 27?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x64ecb7…
06-27 07:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x467b58…
06-26 06:44:44	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x372984…
06-26 06:44:26	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xb67995…
06-26 06:38:43	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	SELL	92	11¢	$10	0xeae0d9…
06-26 06:36:19	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x405c57…
06-26 06:30:11	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xb2b4ba…
06-26 06:25:29	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	SELL	160	11¢	$18	0x876fef…
06-26 06:22:55	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xc15df4…
06-26 06:22:14	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	180	11¢	$20	0x0de288…
06-25 03:45:47	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	No	SELL	31	80¢	$24	0x833a17…
06-25 03:43:37	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$24	0x8b1910…
06-25 03:43:23	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	No	SELL	31	80¢	$24	0x652717…
06-25 03:43:04	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$24	0x1dce64…
06-24 10:41:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	No	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x660c59…
06-24 10:40:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	No	SELL	96	31¢	$30	0xebe490…
06-24 10:39:56	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xdeca2b…
06-23 04:36:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	240	80¢	$192	0x201541…
06-23 04:30:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1b7976…
06-23 04:22:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc7e5ad…
06-23 04:18:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa95e86…
06-23 04:17:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4e417a…
06-23 04:15:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x849ee8…
06-23 04:14:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7e76bb…
06-23 04:13:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa0c181…
06-23 04:12:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9cc87a…
06-23 04:11:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc1232e…
06-23 04:10:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xafc717…
06-23 04:10:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	119	80¢	$95	0x0e787e…
06-23 03:27:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x184c1d…
06-23 03:21:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x388e55…
06-23 03:05:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xd5de99…
06-22 12:45:44	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	14	81¢	$11	0x5bdd87…
06-22 06:24:41	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	65	68¢	$44	0x19366d…
06-22 03:54:23	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 22?	No	SELL	46	80¢	$36	0xa15088…
06-22 03:51:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 22?	No	BUY	27	82¢	$22	0x45ac25…
06-22 03:51:17	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	130	78¢	$101	0x300585…
06-22 03:51:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 22?	No	BUY	19	82¢	$15	0x632aa9…
06-22 03:48:41	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 22?	No	SELL	19	82¢	$15	0x93de15…
06-22 03:46:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 22?	No	BUY	19	82¢	$15	0x147c3b…
06-21 17:12:35	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x82c263…
06-21 16:43:58	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa01096…
06-21 15:08:52	Belgium leading at halftime?	No	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0xc31381…
06-21 15:04:14	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0x9d92b6…
06-21 15:01:29	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x6a6678…
06-21 14:50:53	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	56	32¢	$18	0xe896bb…
06-21 03:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?	No	SELL	26	79¢	$20	0x9e953b…
06-21 03:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0x3cd9a9…
06-21 03:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?	No	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0x30c05e…
06-21 03:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x312880…
06-20 14:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 20?	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x05c4c8…
06-20 14:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 20?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x102680…
06-18 03:02:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 18?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x72954a…
06-18 03:02:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 18?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xdccd30…
06-17 02:40:07	Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?	Yes	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0x21fea9…
06-17 02:39:22	Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?	Yes	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0xb42187…
06-15 02:19:30	US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	83¢	$116	0xf6c939…
06-15 02:18:27	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6aef0b…
06-15 02:18:15	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	BUY	139	84¢	$116	0xce592e…
06-14 02:11:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x05236b…
06-14 01:19:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x227733…
06-13 11:36:25	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0xee745c…