Vigilant-Hashtag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$141

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$25.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$390

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-23 00:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

66% 58% +$131

Politics

21% 25% -$3

Sports

14% 25% -$3

Crypto

0% 100% +$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	6	$3.3K	1,670	1,670	+0	No	+$1	04-15 17:55
cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	5	$3.3K	1,666	1,666	-0	No	-$3	03-28 06:57
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	4	$3.2K	1,629	1,629	+0	No	+$2	04-01 08:21
Will Jaccob Slavin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	3	$1.8K	887	887	+0	No	-$4	04-15 20:36
will trump sue powell by march 31	2	$1.7K	878	878	+0	No	-$2	03-28 10:10
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 200plus	2	$1.7K	872	872	+0	No	-$2	03-28 06:05
Will Crystal Palace finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	2	$1.7K	851	851	+0	No	-$1	04-16 00:12
will the nationalist congress party ncp win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	3	$1.7K	847	847	+0	No	+$1	04-01 07:50
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	3	$1.7K	837	837	+0	No	-$1	04-15 14:57
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$1.7K	852	852	+0	No	+$1	04-15 14:08
will elon musk be 2nd richest person on march 31	2	$1.7K	837	837	+0	No	-$3	03-28 08:01
will sp 500 spx hit 6900 high in march 2026	4	$1.5K	773	773	+0	No	+$2	03-30 02:25
col1 adp atn 2026 03 29 btts	1	$109	211	0	+211	Yes	+$101	03-29 09:50
nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	2	$34	1,596	1,596	+0	No	+$2	03-28 10:56
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?	2	$22	1,551	1,551	+0	No	+$0	03-28 04:37
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 00:01
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	$0	06-04 02:47
xrp up or down march 4 12pm et	2	$16	31	0	+31	Down	+$16	03-04 09:53
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	07-07 03:01
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	06-22 01:01
elc nor ips 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	1	$11	23	0	+23	Under	-$11	04-08 22:04
fif mon slv1 2026 03 31 btts	1	$11	23	0	+23	Yes	+$12	03-31 01:10
nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	1	$11	23	0	+23	Blue Jackets	+$12	04-06 03:06
elc nor por 2026 04 03 btts	1	$11	21	0	+21	Yes	+$11	04-02 05:02
nhl edm lak 2026 04 11	1	$10	21	0	+21	Kings	-$10	04-09 22:01
ere spa psv 2026 04 11 total 3pt5	1	$8	16	0	+16	Under	+$8	04-08 09:25
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-23 00:03
cze1 sso fmb 2026 04 04 total 2pt5	1	$8	15	0	+15	Over	+$8	04-03 23:03
kor inc san 2026 04 05 btts	1	$7	14	0	+14	Yes	+$7	04-04 23:10
scop ran dun 2026 04 04 btts	2	$4	8	0	+8	Yes	-$4	04-03 00:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 00:03:13	Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa1f7b4…
07-22 23:34:15	Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x92eeaa…
07-07 03:01:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe2768e…
07-07 02:34:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x93619e…
06-22 01:01:50	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xea63dd…
06-22 00:32:37	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x22013d…
06-04 02:47:22	Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4a43f6…
06-04 02:30:43	Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fab62…
05-19 00:01:58	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9e8fd3…
05-18 23:31:59	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x924228…
04-16 00:12:04	Will Crystal Palace finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	851	99¢	$845	0x3f0153…
04-16 00:08:54	Will Crystal Palace finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	851	99¢	$845	0x6b2a63…
04-15 20:36:00	Will Jaccob Slavin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x95f18a…
04-15 20:35:58	Will Jaccob Slavin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	No	SELL	885	99¢	$878	0x154ce3…
04-15 20:33:16	Will Jaccob Slavin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	No	BUY	887	100¢	$882	0x3a0f99…
04-15 17:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x047e85…
04-15 17:55:20	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	812	99¢	$806	0x19251d…
04-15 17:49:26	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	846	99¢	$838	0x2f022a…
04-15 16:19:58	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	817	100¢	$812	0xf169c4…
04-15 16:19:56	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2d79d0…
04-15 16:16:36	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	824	100¢	$821	0x30c91c…
04-15 14:57:16	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	796	100¢	$793	0x71e1cb…
04-15 14:57:14	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x141590…
04-15 14:52:14	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	837	100¢	$834	0xb8c728…
04-15 14:08:50	Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	852	98¢	$833	0x340854…
04-15 14:06:06	Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	852	98¢	$832	0x0078c2…
04-09 22:01:47	nhl edm lak 2026 04 11	Oilers	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xf2424d…
04-08 22:04:31	elc nor ips 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	23	50¢	$11	0xbb9962…
04-08 09:25:19	ere spa psv 2026 04 11 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0x10586b…
04-06 03:06:33	nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	Blue Jackets	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x91d450…
04-04 23:10:17	kor inc san 2026 04 05 btts	Yes	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x1785f3…
04-03 23:03:07	cze1 sso fmb 2026 04 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x39a680…
04-03 00:06:45	scop ran dun 2026 04 04 btts	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x09bc2d…
04-03 00:06:41	scop ran dun 2026 04 04 btts	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe361f9…
04-02 05:02:49	elc nor por 2026 04 03 btts	Yes	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0x0db87d…
04-01 08:21:15	Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	No	SELL	801	100¢	$798	0xafa2fa…
04-01 08:15:17	Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	No	BUY	801	100¢	$797	0x76a6f6…
04-01 07:50:49	will the nationalist congress party ncp win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	No	SELL	821	99¢	$816	0x9ae5c0…
04-01 07:50:47	will the nationalist congress party ncp win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x670bad…
04-01 07:43:59	will the nationalist congress party ncp win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	No	BUY	847	99¢	$841	0x533f92…
04-01 07:13:47	Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	No	SELL	828	100¢	$824	0x18947f…
04-01 07:09:55	Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	No	BUY	828	100¢	$824	0xff96e4…
03-31 01:10:37	fif mon slv1 2026 03 31 btts	Yes	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0xde6060…
03-30 02:25:30	will sp 500 spx hit 6900 high in march 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x73d4b2…
03-29 09:50:56	col1 adp atn 2026 03 29 btts	Yes	BUY	211	52¢	$109	0x73a582…
03-29 09:17:08	will sp 500 spx hit 6900 high in march 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x043c57…
03-28 10:56:31	nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,596	1¢	$18	0xda7283…
03-28 10:37:43	nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,596	1¢	$16	0x5d74fc…
03-28 10:10:35	will trump sue powell by march 31	No	SELL	878	99¢	$871	0x75a06b…
03-28 10:06:09	will trump sue powell by march 31	No	BUY	878	99¢	$873	0x1215ae…
03-28 09:13:09	will sp 500 spx hit 6900 high in march 2026	No	SELL	764	100¢	$760	0x611c77…
03-28 09:07:31	will sp 500 spx hit 6900 high in march 2026	No	BUY	764	99¢	$758	0xc6d0a4…
03-28 08:01:51	will elon musk be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	837	99¢	$828	0xc74676…
03-28 07:57:17	will elon musk be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	837	99¢	$830	0xe2c84f…
03-28 06:57:01	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	No	SELL	815	99¢	$807	0xee2a2e…
03-28 06:56:59	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0xaf2820…
03-28 06:52:01	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	No	BUY	854	99¢	$848	0x9212c9…
03-28 06:05:01	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 200plus	No	SELL	872	99¢	$865	0x453d31…
03-28 05:59:47	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 200plus	No	BUY	872	99¢	$867	0x0376da…
03-28 04:44:01	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	No	SELL	812	99¢	$803	0x2915f0…
03-28 04:39:03	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	No	BUY	812	99¢	$804	0x3f24da…
03-28 04:37:45	Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	1,551	1¢	$11	0x458623…
03-28 04:07:11	Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	1,551	1¢	$11	0x52f878…
03-04 09:53:09	xrp up or down march 4 12pm et	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x4c8583…
03-04 09:53:07	xrp up or down march 4 12pm et	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xefd478…