Realized P&L
-$27
Unrealized P&L
-$188
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
414
lifetime
Volume
$7.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$128
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 06-10 02:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
55% 0% $-4
Crypto
41%
Other
4% 0% $-23
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +2,805 $54 $35 $-19 06-09 17:52
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +105 $126 24¢ $26 $-100 06-09 01:20
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No +104 $12 10¢ $10 $-3 06-09 20:07
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +48 $10 17¢ $8 $-2 06-04 20:42
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +250 $20 $8 $-12 05-31 22:22
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +206 $30 $7 $-23 05-31 23:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +223 $10 $6 $-4 06-07 19:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +600 $6 $6 $-0 06-07 21:42
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +125 $10 $5 $-5 05-31 22:23
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +5,250 $6 $5 $-1 06-09 01:04
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +520 $11 $4 $-7 06-04 20:12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +71 $5 $4 $-1 06-04 20:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -107 $10 $-3 $-13 06-05 16:58