Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.37K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

150

Trades

631

lifetime

Volume

$107.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$171

Open exposure

$25

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-29 13:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 50% -$979

Other

35% 79% +$269

Politics

10% 33% -$574

Sports

0% 33% -$85

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+11	$10	94¢	$11	+$1	07-31 06:05
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+11	$10	86¢	$10	$0	10-09 11:35
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?	No	+4	$4	98¢	$4	+$0	07-20 11:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 80k on march 20	2	$9.3K	4,653	4,653	+0	No	+$0	03-19 18:44
bitcoin above 78k on march 21	20	$8.8K	4,456	4,400	+56	No	+$0	03-20 15:54
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	17	$7.7K	28,910	27,000	+1,910	No	-$565	03-31 02:43
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 27	2	$7.5K	3,795	3,695	+100	No	+$0	03-26 23:07
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	2	$6.1K	3,073	3,073	+0	Yes	-$6	04-02 02:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	3	$4.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$85	04-13 12:37
bitcoin above 76k on march 23	2	$4.2K	2,132	2,132	+0	No	+$6	03-22 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	2	$3.3K	3,301	0	+3,301	No	+$6	08-26 14:12
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	3	$3.2K	1,622	1,622	+0	No	+$0	04-01 00:11
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	1	$3.1K	3,142	0	+3,142	No	+$3	03-24 12:37
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	3	$3.1K	3,126	0	+3,126	Yes	+$39	08-25 15:16
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on april 8	1	$2.9K	2,889	0	+2,889	No	+$3	04-07 23:39
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	2	$2.9K	2,880	0	+2,880	No	+$6	04-07 12:26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	8	$2.6K	2,651	0	+2,651	No	+$10	08-24 14:55
bitcoin above 64k on march 24	4	$2.6K	1,321	1,321	+0	Yes	+$1	03-23 14:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$2.6K	10,862	10,851	+11	No	+$1	03-24 06:48
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 320 339	1	$2.5K	2,497	0	+2,497	No	+$2	04-10 00:17
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 9	1	$2.4K	2,396	0	+2,396	No	+$7	04-09 00:17
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	4	$1.9K	967	967	+0	Yes	+$4	03-24 23:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 27	1	$1.7K	1,728	0	+1,728	No	+$2	03-27 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	9	$1.7K	841	841	+0	No	+$24	09-11 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$1.6K	1,579	0	+1,579	No	+$3	08-22 14:59
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	1	$1.1K	1,117	0	+1,117	No	+$2	04-13 12:06
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	1	$892	893	0	+893	No	+$1	09-09 09:05
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	5	$856	865	0	+865	No	+$9	08-23 16:49
Will Solana reach $105 on September 3?	3	$841	513	513	-0	Yes	+$174	09-03 15:00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$800	802	0	+802	No	+$2	09-10 05:43
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$800	801	0	+801	No	+$1	09-08 11:46
will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on march 21	1	$630	630	0	+630	No	+$1	03-20 21:00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	4	$627	328	328	+0	No	+$27	08-24 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:53:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb36b75…
10-29 03:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xab8eb3…
10-29 00:54:13	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9,910	0¢	$10	0x4c1925…
10-29 00:03:31	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8beff1…
10-28 22:43:49	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9,915	0¢	$10	0x62225f…
10-28 22:43:02	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8,476	0¢	$8	0x417f59…
10-28 21:45:40	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb8837b…
10-28 20:06:37	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0xd765ae…
10-28 19:50:07	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x1ad205…
10-28 19:17:17	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1f1524…
10-28 19:15:05	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc4b345…
10-28 18:45:46	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xe0e72c…
10-28 17:41:59	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xded05d…
10-28 17:38:13	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$1	0xfc00a9…
10-28 12:38:32	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	114	0¢	$0	0x86417a…
10-27 05:01:11	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xf05a22…
10-27 03:04:24	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x227a6d…
10-25 23:44:09	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0x668f47…
10-23 13:33:53	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$193	0x95696d…
10-22 23:22:08	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xf4ff5c…
10-22 23:19:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xafc9a7…
10-20 05:21:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	65	91¢	$59	0x831094…
10-20 00:15:20	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x6028cf…
10-20 00:15:12	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0x597995…
10-19 05:33:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x5ee080…
10-16 00:57:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x4a5749…
10-15 14:20:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x0cce6f…
10-15 02:45:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xc23aaa…
10-14 15:13:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x41378e…
10-13 02:35:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x908309…
10-13 00:54:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xa99b62…
10-12 00:07:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xac9a6a…
10-10 09:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x61182a…
10-09 11:35:13	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x2863aa…
10-09 02:37:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	106	98¢	$104	0x9f5832…
10-08 14:47:32	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	296	100¢	$295	0x706a7e…
10-08 07:59:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa0ee5f…
09-29 01:42:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xd7eb65…
09-25 15:26:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	309	100¢	$308	0x9ee016…
09-22 14:59:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	800	3¢	$21	0x8f580a…
09-22 13:18:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	185	99¢	$184	0x54dc80…
09-21 20:30:18	will bitcoin reach 89k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x75f2da…
09-21 20:29:19	will bitcoin reach 89k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	465	21¢	$97	0x7763ef…
09-21 20:28:51	will bitcoin reach 89k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	35	21¢	$7	0x2b92c9…
09-21 20:28:39	will bitcoin reach 89k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	529	21¢	$110	0x57a3da…
09-21 20:26:45	will bitcoin reach 89k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x1564e4…
09-21 20:20:52	will bitcoin reach 88k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xcaabea…
09-21 20:19:48	will bitcoin reach 88k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	67	34¢	$23	0x5aa748…
09-21 20:18:52	will bitcoin reach 87k on september 21 2026	Yes	SELL	102	88¢	$90	0x6121d4…
09-21 20:05:57	will bitcoin reach 89k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0x91542c…
09-21 20:01:22	will bitcoin reach 87k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	102	67¢	$69	0x22b235…
09-19 21:22:42	Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xa614f7…
09-19 10:07:38	Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20?	Yes	BUY	44	15¢	$6	0x369884…
09-19 09:41:40	will ethereum dip to 2400 september 14 20 2026 from september 17	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4f9a55…
09-19 09:36:59	will ethereum dip to 2400 september 14 20 2026 from september 17	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xea50d4…
09-19 09:34:46	will ethereum dip to 2400 september 14 20 2026 from september 17	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x752c4b…
09-19 09:31:28	will ethereum dip to 2400 september 14 20 2026 from september 17	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xbdf2e5…
09-19 09:30:37	will ethereum dip to 2400 september 14 20 2026 from september 17	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb8c48c…
09-19 09:10:46	Will Solana reach $120 September 14-20?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x1a244e…
09-19 08:55:54	will ethereum dip to 2400 september 14 20 2026 from september 17	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xebbb5d…
09-19 04:34:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x927559…
09-19 04:34:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	197	95¢	$187	0x039724…
09-19 03:00:10	Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xdc2688…
09-19 01:50:06	Will XRP reach $1.45 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x7257fe…
09-19 01:22:21	Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20?	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0x79ba0a…
09-18 23:07:13	will ethereum reach 2700 on september 18 2026	Yes	SELL	268	4¢	$11	0xf53aea…
09-18 17:44:58	will ethereum reach 2700 on september 18 2026	Yes	BUY	2,104	0¢	$6	0x306f95…
09-18 16:17:52	Will Solana reach $120 September 14-20?	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0xdc2350…
09-18 15:36:54	will ethereum reach 2700 on september 18 2026	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x5c65d2…
09-18 15:24:33	will ethereum reach 2600 september 14 20 2026 from september 15	Yes	SELL	64	88¢	$56	0x9b28f8…
09-18 14:14:06	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20?	Yes	BUY	289	8¢	$23	0x7b3d04…
09-18 13:44:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0x743d10…
09-18 13:44:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x0cac74…
09-18 08:20:48	will ethereum reach 2500 september 14 20 2026	Yes	SELL	201	99¢	$199	0x5fd087…
09-18 07:07:01	will ethereum reach 2500 september 14 20 2026	Yes	BUY	201	95¢	$191	0x8f45b6…
09-18 05:13:19	will ethereum reach 2600 september 14 20 2026 from september 15	Yes	BUY	64	20¢	$13	0xe1e381…
09-18 04:15:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xb9025f…
09-18 03:20:16	will ethereum reach 2500 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb581cb…
09-18 03:20:15	will ethereum reach 2500 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xd9c8d6…
09-18 03:20:12	will ethereum reach 2500 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	494	6¢	$30	0x0be2a4…
09-18 03:19:33	will ethereum reach 2500 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x2a52dc…
09-17 09:17:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x752641…
09-17 09:17:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	120	92¢	$111	0x47a29e…
09-17 00:19:16	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	985	1¢	$10	0xe9070c…
09-16 23:22:43	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb5c796…
09-16 23:22:39	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x39b0a7…
09-16 20:46:09	will ethereum reach 2600 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	181	1¢	$1	0x593307…
09-16 20:44:42	will ethereum reach 2600 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	320	1¢	$3	0x57cffd…
09-16 20:43:10	will ethereum reach 2600 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	499	1¢	$4	0x9b9f76…
09-16 19:51:58	will ethereum dip to 2250 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$14	0x703a2f…
09-16 19:39:03	will ethereum dip to 2200 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	694	1¢	$5	0x3f609c…
09-16 19:34:12	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xb53a95…
09-16 19:17:42	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	760	3¢	$23	0xcbde5a…
09-16 19:17:40	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xda127e…
09-16 19:17:40	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x36082f…
09-16 19:17:31	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x6ed586…
09-16 19:17:22	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7e8f39…
09-16 19:17:15	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd86a3f…
09-16 19:17:15	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8988f5…
09-16 19:17:15	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x317acf…