Selfish-Immigration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$269

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.3%

Resolved

3,250

Trades

3,633

lifetime

Volume

$18.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-23 03:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 216 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 90% -$254

Other

2% 63% -$9

Sports

0% 36% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	5	$25	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	06-17 00:02
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	4	$24	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	06-17 03:02
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	4	$23	29	4	+25	No	-$23	06-17 18:04
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	4	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-17 06:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:55 UTC	2	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	06-04 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:05 UTC	2	$18	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	06-03 20:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:40 UTC	2	$18	9	9	+0	Down	$0	06-04 06:44
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:05 UTC	2	$18	9	9	+0	Down	$0	06-04 07:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:10 UTC	2	$18	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	06-04 07:14
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$17	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	06-02 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$16	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	06-01 02:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:40 UTC	3	$16	10	10	+0	Up	-$2	06-03 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:25 UTC	2	$16	10	10	+0	Up	-$3	06-04 03:29
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$15	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	06-03 16:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 20:15 UTC	1	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	06-17 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 01:15 UTC	1	$15	16	0	+16	Down	+$1	06-18 01:19
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:45 UTC	1	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	06-17 19:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 14:20 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	-$3	06-29 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 06:05 UTC	1	$14	15	0	+15	Up	-$14	03-22 06:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 05:05 UTC	1	$14	15	0	+15	Down	+$0	03-22 05:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 04:45 UTC	2	$14	14	0	+14	Up	+$0	03-22 04:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 04:05 UTC	1	$14	14	0	+14	Up	+$0	03-22 04:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 03:55 UTC	5	$14	14	0	+14	Up	+$0	03-22 03:59
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 03:30 UTC	1	$13	14	0	+14	Down	+$0	03-22 03:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:55 UTC	2	$13	7	7	+0	Down	-$1	04-21 17:59
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 02:30 UTC	1	$13	14	0	+14	Down	+$1	03-22 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 01:05 UTC	1	$13	13	0	+13	Down	+$1	03-22 01:09
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	4	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	06-16 21:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 00:10 UTC	1	$13	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	03-22 00:14
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	-$1	06-02 23:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 03:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x247898…
10-22 20:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xbabb33…
10-22 18:59:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb2be94…
10-22 16:59:14	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe962ad…
10-22 12:59:08	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x98d4ee…
10-22 09:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbce5f4…
10-22 08:59:08	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3383d3…
10-22 05:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb6903c…
10-22 04:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdb5b7c…
10-22 03:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xaaaf0e…
10-22 02:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x194b9e…
10-22 00:44:08	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x73a256…
10-21 21:59:05	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfd02d9…
10-21 21:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd22be4…
10-21 21:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x1b7b0c…
10-21 19:59:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd0d4cd…
10-21 15:59:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x663759…
10-21 15:44:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x317985…
10-21 14:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x93f991…
10-21 12:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1f68db…
10-21 10:59:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x50fc5c…
10-21 09:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa6b6a8…
10-21 06:14:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xcdc4d4…
10-21 05:59:05	BNB Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc0b21f…
10-21 03:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd24c72…
10-21 02:29:14	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8c4405…
10-20 20:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x47e3f6…
10-20 17:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8d67d5…
10-20 16:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa192a2…
10-20 10:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x89d2f4…
10-20 04:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x47909a…
10-19 23:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa221fd…
10-19 22:59:27	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc23fec…
10-19 22:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8e14f9…
10-19 22:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5308a3…
10-19 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x6e1c75…
10-19 20:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xfe91b7…
10-19 20:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x0af092…
10-19 20:29:14	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x92b5e6…
10-19 14:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1fbd19…
10-19 12:59:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc76276…
10-19 10:59:53	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x490e6c…
10-19 09:59:47	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x31dfef…
10-19 07:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf37830…
10-18 18:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5e9a4e…
10-18 17:59:33	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf6a6a6…
10-18 16:59:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc0af78…
10-18 16:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x592370…
10-18 12:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x41c67d…
10-18 11:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x539b8c…
10-18 09:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x38caa4…
10-18 08:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5811a5…
10-18 08:14:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x325d4c…
10-18 07:14:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x91f854…
10-18 03:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xa4709d…
10-17 10:57:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf1b8e2…
10-17 09:14:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8b3d5a…
10-17 06:59:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x12d6b2…
10-17 06:59:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd7cd0d…
10-17 06:43:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x88b40d…
10-17 06:27:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xbcff10…
10-17 05:57:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x03f661…
10-17 04:59:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4f6e94…
10-17 04:29:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x05d544…
10-17 04:12:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4e48ae…
10-17 03:14:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x672dd8…
10-17 02:44:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x86fc9d…
10-17 01:42:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x743bf7…
10-17 01:27:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc1a8c3…
10-17 01:12:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0af263…
10-17 00:12:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x226dd6…
10-16 23:14:57	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x142a9a…
10-16 23:14:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa589d4…
10-16 23:14:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x5cca54…
10-16 22:44:56	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x630eb5…
10-16 22:44:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa823ad…
10-16 22:43:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2124f3…
10-16 22:28:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa75106…
10-16 21:44:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe79b97…
10-16 14:44:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb36345…
10-16 07:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb60e2b…
10-15 16:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x374ac8…
10-15 15:29:04	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x85f1c9…
10-15 15:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1ac51a…
10-15 14:29:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xc35447…
10-15 10:44:28	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7a92ef…
10-15 09:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf3bc82…
10-15 09:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xaffca4…
10-15 09:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x658f3f…
10-15 08:59:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf7d432…
10-15 04:12:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7e8d54…
10-15 02:59:55	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x96065d…
10-15 02:12:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x86cbd5…
10-15 00:59:50	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x58571b…
10-15 00:28:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe63b82…
10-14 23:57:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0c7726…
10-14 20:59:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8d09a9…
10-14 20:29:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x635b1c…
10-14 18:29:03	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x218a06…
10-14 16:14:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfa24fd…