Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$4.67K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
46
2,558 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$10.7K
$1.19M lifetime
Avg / trade
$465
Open exposure
$304.3K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-26 23:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
70% 75% -$92,424
Politics
30% 50% -$2,271
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +143,397 $98,061 64¢ $92.5K -$5,570 10-25 20:36
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +68,914 $50,996 71¢ $48.9K -$2,067 10-18 16:44
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +63,203 $43,860 76¢ $48.3K +$4,490 10-22 07:30
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +65,000 $44,650 64¢ $41.9K -$2,725 09-25 21:45
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +53,227 $36,960 76¢ $40.5K +$3,493 10-22 12:31
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +28,700 $15,480 41¢ $11.7K -$3,813 10-26 23:50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10,000 $8,200 92¢ $9.2K +$1,050 05-06 02:14
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $4,050 92¢ $4.6K +$550 09-18 21:39
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +5,000 $4,050 92¢ $4.6K +$525 09-18 20:36
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,000 $2,650 41¢ $2.0K -$600 10-22 20:14