Insignificant-Grass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$694

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

9,358

Trades

13,965

lifetime

Volume

$157.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 13:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% -$685

Other

0% 25% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+60	$1	2¢	$1	+$0	09-17 08:35
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes		+36	$1	3¢	$1	$0	10-12 10:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down january 28 3pm et	4	$513	263	263	+0	Down	+$13	01-28 21:48
ethereum up or down january 28 4pm et	2	$512	263	263	+0	Up	+$14	01-28 22:19
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 23:15 UTC	14	$495	521	0	+521	Down	+$26	02-22 23:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 17:00 UTC	148	$451	324	322	+2	Down	-$8	03-02 17:11
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 22:15 UTC	5	$427	450	0	+450	Up	+$23	02-22 22:22
ethereum up or down january 31 7pm et	2	$423	493	0	+493	Up	-$160	02-01 00:58
xrp up or down january 30 2pm et	2	$419	457	0	+457	Down	-$226	01-30 19:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 06:15 UTC	3	$415	439	0	+439	Up	+$24	02-19 06:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 12:45 UTC	1	$411	433	0	+433	Up	-$411	02-28 12:52
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 12:30 UTC	1	$403	428	0	+428	Down	+$26	02-22 12:38
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 20:00 UTC	1	$403	428	0	+428	Down	+$26	02-17 20:07
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 06:00 UTC	2	$394	418	0	+418	Up	+$24	02-19 06:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC	1	$387	412	0	+412	Up	+$25	02-28 12:43
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 19:45 UTC	1	$384	408	0	+408	Up	+$24	02-17 19:56
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 05:45 UTC	1	$374	398	0	+398	Up	+$23	02-19 05:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 12:15 UTC	1	$373	393	0	+393	Up	+$20	02-28 12:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 19:30 UTC	1	$365	389	0	+389	Up	+$23	02-17 19:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 12:00 UTC	1	$364	389	0	+389	Down	+$24	02-22 12:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 05:30 UTC	1	$356	379	0	+379	Up	+$23	02-19 05:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 12:00 UTC	9	$355	374	0	+374	Up	+$19	02-28 12:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 11:45 UTC	1	$348	370	0	+370	Up	+$22	02-22 11:57
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 19:15 UTC	1	$347	370	0	+370	Down	+$23	02-17 19:26
ethereum up or down january 24 1am et	1	$346	368	0	+368	Up	+$22	01-24 06:52
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 22:30 UTC	4	$342	360	0	+360	Up	+$18	02-22 22:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 05:15 UTC	1	$339	361	0	+361	Down	+$22	02-19 05:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 11:45 UTC	7	$338	356	0	+356	Down	+$18	02-28 11:55
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 11:30 UTC	1	$331	352	0	+352	Up	+$21	02-22 11:37
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 19:00 UTC	1	$329	352	0	+352	Up	+$24	02-17 19:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 05:00 UTC	1	$323	344	0	+344	Up	+$21	02-19 05:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 11:30 UTC	1	$321	339	0	+339	Down	+$18	02-28 11:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 13:46:55	cs2 fxw7 sig1 2026 10 30 game2 round handicap fxw7 12pt5	Fluxo W7M	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x07b363…
10-30 12:32:42	Barrow AFC vs. Forest Green Rovers FC: Forest Green Rovers FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x696413…
10-30 10:22:15	afcq eg zim 2026 11 12 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x9b9f47…
10-30 10:22:01	afcq eg zim 2026 11 12 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xdf4a19…
10-30 10:19:18	afcq eg zim 2026 11 12 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x00f153…
10-30 10:19:03	afcq eg zim 2026 11 12 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x4c6b72…
10-23 12:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa81403…
10-23 10:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x902a0f…
10-23 08:47:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd86aff…
10-23 06:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x35ebef…
10-23 05:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe8abdd…
10-23 04:19:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xca583c…
10-23 04:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbf8b66…
10-23 03:47:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x737eb8…
10-23 02:01:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xee118d…
10-22 16:46:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xbe7e7f…
10-22 15:48:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xad78a8…
10-22 15:30:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5086b3…
10-22 14:30:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcd2b88…
10-22 12:15:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x672b72…
10-22 02:00:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x83995c…
10-22 01:45:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0f79bd…
10-22 00:30:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5dd669…
10-21 22:47:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x794e9e…
10-21 22:00:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6d16f2…
10-21 20:47:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x07a4c6…
10-21 19:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb632b7…
10-21 19:00:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd17989…
10-21 18:33:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbaa0df…
10-21 18:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x71530d…
10-21 16:30:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf4f749…
10-21 14:01:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3a2129…
10-21 10:15:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4f37c9…
10-21 03:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x516445…
10-21 02:48:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe389bd…
10-21 02:45:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x547e3e…
10-21 02:01:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa3319f…
10-21 01:15:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4438c0…
10-21 00:00:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x17aa3b…
10-20 17:00:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xab9835…
10-20 14:46:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x32f605…
10-20 14:46:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x28ad63…
10-20 14:46:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x71e552…
10-20 14:45:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xad5a4d…
10-20 12:31:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5cd650…
10-20 05:33:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb4ec6c…
10-20 05:16:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf172b3…
10-20 03:17:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9b4e4a…
10-20 00:01:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xff7ad0…
10-19 13:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3662d0…
10-19 10:30:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0e4ebf…
10-19 10:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd3c0c4…
10-19 09:04:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x030a20…
10-19 08:01:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3d7422…
10-19 07:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x5a2c52…
10-19 04:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x40b56d…
10-19 04:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x265f5e…
10-19 02:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x4b3b37…
10-19 01:30:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa13fd1…
10-19 01:30:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x47ca1c…
10-19 01:17:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8f9c24…
10-19 00:45:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x852f64…
10-18 21:02:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf1ed4e…
10-18 14:46:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6c7a69…
10-18 13:49:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa7b0c3…
10-18 11:17:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x49a41e…
10-18 08:03:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0dd057…
10-18 03:15:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xc43c2f…
10-18 02:33:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd1e07f…
10-18 00:48:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xde6936…
10-17 23:16:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5ebed7…
10-17 23:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xca41b8…
10-17 22:45:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1ea314…
10-17 20:34:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd019bb…
10-17 19:48:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3dd06e…
10-17 19:00:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa1d27a…
10-17 18:45:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xbea693…
10-17 18:02:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x43fdbf…
10-17 17:46:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xff4e81…
10-17 17:02:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xdb4f85…
10-17 16:46:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x065d40…
10-17 15:15:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xfa1f90…
10-17 14:31:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x262a68…
10-17 14:17:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x186f7a…
10-17 13:46:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb6b63a…
10-17 11:33:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf96826…
10-17 11:30:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x32c239…
10-17 10:33:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0b628b…
10-17 10:16:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x082c3e…
10-17 08:48:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x6a0754…
10-17 04:45:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x792427…
10-17 04:31:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb34385…
10-17 04:00:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa6db52…
10-17 03:33:32	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x81e55e…
10-17 03:32:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc49f95…
10-17 03:18:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1fc13e…
10-17 02:01:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xdec562…
10-17 00:00:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3a6f23…
10-16 18:51:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x03af24…
10-16 18:46:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x7fec21…