Beneficial-Shackle 0x64f845…56db66 Create alert
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$80
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
981
Trades
1,359
lifetime
Volume
$1.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$49
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 11-10 15:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Other
85% 55% -$58
Politics
13% 43% -$15
Crypto
2% 39% -$3
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Sports
0% 0% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? Yes +9 $2 44¢ $4 +$2 10-22 09:32
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? Yes +7 $2 42¢ $3 +$1 09-30 23:29
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? Yes +3 $2 96¢ $3 +$1 11-09 16:45
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +3 $1 92¢ $2 +$1 10-29 11:39
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +9 $2 26¢ $2 +$0 10-08 01:18
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? Yes +3 $1 85¢ $2 +$1 10-26 18:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? Yes +3 $1 60¢ $2 +$1 11-02 04:10
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 70¢ $2 +$1 11-01 17:04
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? Yes +6 $2 27¢ $2 $0 11-04 14:27
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate at the January meeting? Yes +3 $1 60¢ $2 +$1 11-09 08:45
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 84¢ $2 +$1 11-01 11:19
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? Yes +2 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-09 06:27
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026? Yes +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 10-11 23:31
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +2 $1 87¢ $1 +$0 10-09 21:59
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +2 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 11-01 18:26
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the March meeting? Yes +2 $1 57¢ $1 +$0 11-04 01:58
Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? Yes +4 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 10-15 10:35
Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? Yes +2 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-29 09:39
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 11-01 11:42
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting? Yes +2 $1 67¢ $1 +$0 11-01 18:55
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 11-09 01:56
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30? Yes +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 11-01 05:37
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +12 $2 9¢ $1 -$1 10-16 21:53
Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027? Yes +2 $1 51¢ $1 +$0 11-05 14:09
Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 10-11 15:59
Will "N****s in Paris" be played at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 +$0 11-10 09:19
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 10-07 18:19
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 3.5 Under +2 $1 56¢ $1 $0 11-10 15:14
Will Oxford City win on 2026-11-10? Yes +2 $1 56¢ $1 $0 11-10 14:15
Will Jayden Daniels have 2,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +3 $1 37¢ $1 $0 11-09 14:26