Beneficial-Shackle 0x64f845…56db66 Create alert
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$70
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved
999
Trades
1,382
lifetime
Volume
$1.62K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$44
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 11-13 17:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
85% 55% -$59
Politics
13% 43% -$14
Crypto
2% 42% -$1
Tech
0% 67% +$6
Sports
0% 0% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? Yes +9 $2 40¢ $4 +$2 10-22 09:32
Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? Yes +4 $1 72¢ $3 +$2 10-15 10:35
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate at the January meeting? Yes +3 $1 94¢ $3 +$2 11-09 08:45
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +9 $2 26¢ $2 +$0 10-08 01:18
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 83¢ $2 +$1 11-01 17:04
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30? Yes +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 11-01 11:42
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$1 11-01 11:19
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? Yes +3 $1 61¢ $2 +$1 10-26 18:32
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026? Yes +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 10-11 23:31
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +12 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 10-16 21:53
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +2 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 11-01 18:26
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? Yes +6 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 11-04 14:27
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +2 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 10-09 21:59
Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? Yes +2 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 10-29 09:39
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the March meeting? Yes +2 $1 57¢ $1 +$0 11-04 01:58
Will Jensen Huang publicly testify before Congress by March 31, 2027? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 11-13 10:39
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +4 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 10-21 05:22
Will Jayden Daniels have 2,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +3 $1 45¢ $1 +$0 11-09 14:26
Will "N****s in Paris" be played at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? Yes +3 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 11-10 09:19
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +2 $1 71¢ $1 +$0 10-19 15:33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 11-09 01:56
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30? Yes +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 11-01 05:37
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.97% in November? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 11-13 11:21
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting? Yes +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 11-01 18:55
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1 $1 71¢ $1 +$0 10-07 18:19
Montserrat vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5 Under +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 11-13 11:31
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under +2 $1 64¢ $1 $0 11-13 17:26
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-11-14? No +2 $1 57¢ $1 $0 11-13 12:53
Will Real Madrid Castilla win on 2026-11-13? No +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 11-12 09:01
Morocco vs. Niger: O/U 3.5 Under +2 $1 57¢ $1 $0 11-12 23:58