Beneficial-Shackle 0x64f845…56db66 Create alert
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$82
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
987
Trades
1,363
lifetime
Volume
$1.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$50
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 11-11 10:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
85% 55% -$61
Politics
13% 43% -$15
Crypto
2% 39% -$3
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Sports
0% 0% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? Yes +7 $2 53¢ $4 +$2 09-30 23:29
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? Yes +9 $2 40¢ $4 +$2 10-22 09:32
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? Yes +3 $2 99¢ $3 +$1 11-09 16:45
Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? Yes +4 $1 60¢ $3 +$2 10-15 10:35
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +9 $2 26¢ $2 +$0 10-08 01:18
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +3 $1 92¢ $2 +$1 10-29 11:39
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? Yes +3 $1 90¢ $2 +$1 10-26 18:32
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 83¢ $2 +$1 11-01 17:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? Yes +3 $1 56¢ $2 +$1 11-02 04:10
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? Yes +6 $2 27¢ $2 $0 11-04 14:27
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 11-01 11:19
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026? Yes +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 10-11 23:31
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +2 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 11-01 18:26
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30? Yes +2 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 11-01 11:42
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +2 $1 87¢ $1 +$0 10-09 21:59
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the March meeting? Yes +2 $1 57¢ $1 +$0 11-04 01:58
Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? Yes +2 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-29 09:39
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 11-01 05:37
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate at the January meeting? Yes +3 $1 46¢ $1 +$0 11-09 08:45
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 11-09 01:56
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +12 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 10-16 21:53
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 11-01 18:55
Will "N****s in Paris" be played at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? Yes +3 $1 41¢ $1 +$0 11-10 09:19
Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027? Yes +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 11-05 14:09
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 10-07 18:19
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-11-12? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 $0 11-11 10:38
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-11-11? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 $0 11-10 21:49
Will Jayden Daniels have 2,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +3 $1 37¢ $1 $0 11-09 14:26
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +2 $1 60¢ $1 $0 10-19 15:33
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? Yes +2 $1 41¢ $1 $0 10-31 02:25