Worried-Sanctuary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

113

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-26 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

44% 96% +$1

Politics

37% 100% +$8

Crypto

14% 96% -$1

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	6	$131	68	68	+0	No	+$0	09-01 03:51
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	2	$92	46	46	+0	No	+$0	08-14 17:15
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$89	49	49	+0	No	+$1	10-26 15:44
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	2	$77	42	42	+0	No	+$1	10-19 22:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	10-03 04:41
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$47	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	08-05 06:51
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	1	$46	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	09-09 18:53
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?	1	$46	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	09-03 16:38
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	08-15 12:07
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	09-22 12:11
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	09-15 22:44
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-31 12:37
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	08-22 17:18
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-27 16:49
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 16:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	08-31 14:19
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	08-17 17:55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	2	$21	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-27 15:20
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-01 06:05
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-29 01:53
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-30 10:09
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	08-31 14:59
will google have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	03-31 09:15
will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-29 04:57
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-30 09:42
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$11	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-17 23:22
will solana reach 130 in february 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-24 15:24
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	07-30 22:59
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	3	$6	95	95	+0	No	+$6	10-25 22:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-01 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:44:50	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0x99f61c…
10-25 22:55:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x40314a…
10-25 22:55:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0xba5ce5…
10-23 01:52:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0x978f94…
10-22 06:30:05	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	49	91¢	$44	0xfa8ed2…
10-19 22:22:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	42	92¢	$39	0x7b3639…
10-19 17:05:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0x3044d3…
10-17 23:22:47	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0b3a52…
10-10 15:28:31	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3e7d6…
10-04 16:41:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x572440…
10-03 04:41:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xbdbbeb…
10-02 04:22:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x84efa8…
10-01 06:05:47	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xca88c7…
10-01 01:54:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xabca15…
09-29 19:23:56	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb97179…
09-29 01:53:05	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc746af…
09-26 22:16:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x58c449…
09-25 15:14:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d8d4f…
09-22 12:11:07	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xc790ec…
09-15 22:44:34	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x1edf41…
09-14 10:37:25	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96165a…
09-09 18:53:21	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x897f8c…
09-03 16:38:09	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x74f2d0…
09-01 03:51:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x8dddf2…
08-31 14:59:43	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfe5193…
08-31 14:19:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x55cd34…
08-28 06:12:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xc22458…
08-27 15:20:55	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x50d681…
08-26 23:32:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5caca…
08-26 15:55:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd30feb…
08-25 18:04:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x0822af…
08-25 17:54:46	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x052ce0…
08-24 16:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x942cec…
08-24 08:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	174	0¢	$0	0xc531f5…
08-24 08:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	124	0¢	$0	0x58c47b…
08-24 02:46:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x9fecd9…
08-22 17:18:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x130031…
08-20 07:25:30	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7603ed…
08-18 04:02:04	Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x502fb0…
08-18 02:31:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc2e9ca…
08-17 17:55:45	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x1439f0…
08-17 17:21:27	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc7bd5…
08-17 11:00:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xfbc155…
08-17 07:46:09	will ethereum reach 2500 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1e3e2f…
08-16 21:45:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xb007dd…
08-16 21:11:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6ed28f…
08-16 21:05:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x73df4f…
08-16 20:34:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xa7d896…
08-16 09:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x6b3329…
08-16 09:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xcdbc9b…
08-16 09:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc72054…
08-16 09:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbdbd5d…
08-16 09:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xef61bc…
08-16 09:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xd12185…
08-16 09:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x855176…
08-16 09:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6086e7…
08-16 09:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x4c8232…
08-16 09:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4718ec…
08-16 09:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x37831d…
08-16 09:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0691d1…
08-16 09:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xc03c1b…
08-16 09:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe12697…
08-16 09:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xc8ed26…
08-16 09:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe6edc1…
08-16 09:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb5e4a3…
08-16 09:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3b05be…
08-16 09:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcaa772…
08-16 09:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xb8f8e5…
08-16 09:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x142592…
08-16 09:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x84d9cf…
08-16 09:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x7c8b58…
08-16 09:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa404d6…
08-16 09:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xddfcd9…
08-16 09:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x62231d…
08-16 09:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x100c7b…
08-16 09:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb88097…
08-16 09:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x612982…
08-16 09:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe0e56a…
08-16 08:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5a5c03…
08-16 08:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xf99cc3…
08-16 08:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc74e95…
08-16 08:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x1215ac…
08-16 08:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x82afc5…
08-16 08:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x59f4c9…
08-16 08:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x4d454c…
08-16 08:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2e02d9…
08-16 08:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe695f8…
08-16 08:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x42f804…
08-16 08:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5d81c8…
08-16 08:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5a50e2…
08-16 08:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x31d69b…
08-16 08:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x212576…
08-15 12:07:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xd6226b…
08-14 17:15:15	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x530cb2…
08-09 20:50:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x4ce7a5…
08-09 14:32:09	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0bd4c3…
08-05 06:51:54	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x775a28…
07-31 12:37:27	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xdff654…
07-30 22:59:03	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x307f4a…
07-28 16:02:43	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x49833f…