Neat-Shelter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.39K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

1,605

Trades

3,824

lifetime

Volume

$38.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$18

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 10-12 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Other

58% 44% -$2,075

Sports

16% 42% -$964

Politics

15% 30% -$347

Crypto

12% 43% +$3

Tech

0% 50% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$11	98¢	$10	$0	10-07 17:56
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+8	$5	68¢	$5	+$0	10-03 09:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+8	$3	32¢	$3	$0	10-04 00:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+11	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	09-22 15:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	21	$1.9K	2,457	2,457	+0	No	+$34	07-22 00:36
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$757	1,413	500	+913	Yes	-$167	07-19 18:52
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5	2	$593	308	308	+0	Over	+$1	05-02 15:23
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	3	$582	395	395	+0	No	+$200	06-30 22:59
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	18	$547	1,132	0	+1,132	England	-$547	07-06 01:06
ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 atm1	4	$493	497	258	+239	Yes	+$31	02-24 18:38
mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	3	$423	309	309	+0	USA	+$139	02-22 16:02
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	27	$398	391	391	-0	Yes	+$80	04-23 21:31
cs2 shk furia 2026 07 24	3	$390	588	0	+588	Sharks	-$390	07-24 20:32
will ethereum dip to 1900 on july 22	5	$354	731	115	+616	No	+$285	07-22 15:24
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24?	14	$335	420	140	+281	No	+$111	08-24 13:20
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	20	$308	404	404	+0	Yes	-$67	04-29 03:19
cs2 sin2 fut 2026 07 23 game1	1	$300	470	0	+470	Sinners	-$300	07-23 13:12
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	12	$295	171	171	+0	Yes	+$38	04-16 15:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	19	$268	349	349	-0	No	-$15	04-26 22:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	30	$262	324	324	+0	No	-$6	04-21 12:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	20	$252	341	341	+0	open	—	10-10 17:31
will ethereum dip to 1900 on july 23	4	$244	490	0	+490	Yes	-$244	07-23 10:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	14	$237	239	239	-0	No	-$30	04-24 17:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	23	$233	883	0	+883	No	-$125	09-16 17:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	26	$218	307	307	-0	No	-$35	04-21 19:37
lol dk hle1 2026 08 20	3	$215	452	0	+452	Hanwha Life Esports	-$215	08-20 08:24
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	13	$209	227	227	+0	No	-$39	04-19 14:35
epl tot ars 2026 02 22 ars	3	$205	229	70	+159	Yes	+$52	02-22 16:33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	1	$202	396	0	+396	No	-$202	08-23 12:48
atp bublik molcan 2026 07 23	1	$200	333	0	+333	Alexander Bublik	+$133	07-23 14:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$198	211	211	+0	No	-$5	04-17 17:14
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$198	530	530	+0	No	+$14	07-09 15:54
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$192	700	700	+0	No	+$14	07-06 21:06
cs2 hero mglz 2026 07 24	3	$189	420	0	+420	TheMongolz	+$231	07-24 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 16:46:23	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x59b8b0…
10-12 16:46:12	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xa80fb3…
10-11 22:35:05	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	14	39¢	$6	0x2bd5d7…
10-11 22:23:42	CR Flamengo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x71f08d…
10-11 21:24:56	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7e2f4f…
10-11 21:14:01	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xf1961e…
10-11 16:14:31	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9423d0…
10-11 15:56:39	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xb54341…
10-11 15:36:04	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x645cbc…
10-11 15:33:49	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbd3242…
10-11 15:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xabf72d…
10-11 14:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9e1d5c…
10-11 14:50:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xb43d64…
10-11 14:50:33	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0xbc6fdb…
10-11 14:50:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x44345a…
10-11 14:50:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xa489ce…
10-11 14:43:30	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcb0aab…
10-11 14:43:06	cs2 vit mouz 2026 10 11	MOUZ	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3bd82d…
10-11 14:35:19	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x606836…
10-11 14:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x77791c…
10-11 14:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x9ad794…
10-11 14:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x644b43…
10-11 14:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xaf08eb…
10-11 14:12:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x2a6b83…
10-11 14:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xc10899…
10-11 14:11:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc334cb…
10-11 14:01:30	dota2 ty ts8 2026 10 11	Team Yandex	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe6a410…
10-11 13:49:45	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xdf68f9…
10-11 13:41:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x987efa…
10-11 13:40:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x7ced6f…
10-11 13:32:54	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x9a20d9…
10-11 13:32:22	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x638063…
10-11 13:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x1e27b3…
10-11 10:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8b3ba1…
10-11 09:43:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Ryan Peniston	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x748678…
10-11 09:25:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x18f49b…
10-11 09:07:58	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6fb687…
10-11 09:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9eed8d…
10-11 03:21:56	Boise State vs. Fresno State	Fresno State	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x47030f…
10-11 03:21:14	Boise State vs. Fresno State	Fresno State	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0xe7ea19…
10-11 03:20:48	Boise State vs. Fresno State	Fresno State	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xedeb04…
10-11 03:20:26	Boise State vs. Fresno State	Fresno State	BUY	42	13¢	$5	0x3cd6f7…
10-11 02:33:14	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0x7bf608…
10-11 02:32:36	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	29	23¢	$7	0xbca31b…
10-11 02:25:33	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x2ea0bc…
10-11 02:25:30	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb42767…
10-11 02:22:56	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x2729b8…
10-11 01:58:47	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xf5be36…
10-11 01:11:48	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)	Loopy Godínez	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6d5a67…
10-11 01:09:33	LSU vs. Kentucky	Kentucky	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0x471397…
10-11 01:00:16	LSU vs. Kentucky	Kentucky	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3903cf…
10-11 00:58:37	LSU vs. Kentucky	Kentucky	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xca1f16…
10-11 00:48:55	UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card)	Kai Kamaka III	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xdb7752…
10-11 00:19:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x715a76…
10-11 00:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb0ed9a…
10-10 23:45:36	UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Gerald Meerschaert	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x73be1c…
10-10 23:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x201727…
10-10 23:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xdfc3c5…
10-10 23:02:46	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xcd8b2d…
10-10 22:58:52	Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9602cd…
10-10 22:17:54	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x0c5d75…
10-10 20:22:12	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	FURIA Esports	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xcc12c8…
10-10 20:19:25	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	FURIA Esports	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8a7816…
10-10 20:19:01	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	FURIA Esports	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xcb3fb9…
10-10 20:12:21	Texas vs. Oklahoma	Oklahoma	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x5b1e03…
10-10 20:11:52	Texas vs. Oklahoma	Oklahoma	BUY	22	25¢	$5	0xf7f667…
10-10 20:11:22	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8c4162…
10-10 19:28:21	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe89a1a…
10-10 19:08:09	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x64be53…
10-10 19:07:39	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa32269…
10-10 19:00:09	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner	LOS	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x6ca18b…
10-10 17:33:51	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0xd5fda0…
10-10 17:33:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x410100…
10-10 17:33:21	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x9db489…
10-10 17:33:12	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	13¢	$5	0xd65951…
10-10 17:33:00	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x818172…
10-10 17:32:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0xd12b0c…
10-10 17:32:37	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xc759a9…
10-10 17:32:25	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0xb5c8fd…
10-10 17:32:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0xd54dba…
10-10 17:31:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0x814403…
10-10 17:31:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	94	16¢	$15	0x21630b…
10-10 17:30:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	231	9¢	$21	0x354d34…
10-10 17:27:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0x5d395e…
10-10 15:44:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x15f67e…
10-10 15:28:39	Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	No	BUY	83	7¢	$6	0xd65c32…
10-10 15:28:37	Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xe6a289…
10-10 15:24:45	FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0x48facb…
10-10 15:24:07	FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xbd295f…
10-10 14:13:13	Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x3ad819…
10-10 13:42:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0x268ec7…
10-10 13:38:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbd32dc…
10-10 13:35:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x7777d1…
10-10 13:35:07	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xfa470a…
10-10 13:23:55	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0x16c89e…
10-10 13:04:42	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xc07481…
10-10 12:56:58	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x37e16d…
10-10 12:51:40	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x6ccd76…
10-10 12:44:00	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x07833c…
10-10 12:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0xb9857e…