Energetic-Disclosure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$226

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

182

Trades

773

lifetime

Volume

$48.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 44% +$232

Other

3% 58% -$378

Politics

2% 74% +$24

Sports

0% 71% -$105

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	+278	$5	1¢	$2	-$3	07-11 03:13
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+2	$2	87¢	$2	$0	05-20 23:20
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	+2	$1	88¢	$2	+$1	07-11 03:13
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-20 23:20
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	$0	05-20 23:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 6 5pm et	11	$2.0K	1,012	1,012	+0	Up	+$9	01-06 23:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 01:00 UTC	24	$1.7K	1,690	0	+1,690	Down	+$17	01-09 01:15
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 20:45 UTC	1	$1.7K	1,686	0	+1,686	Up	+$17	01-08 21:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 04:30 UTC	1	$1.7K	1,673	0	+1,673	Down	+$17	01-08 04:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 23:45 UTC	1	$1.6K	1,632	0	+1,632	Down	+$18	01-09 00:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 23:15 UTC	8	$1.6K	1,609	0	+1,609	Up	+$16	01-08 23:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 23:00 UTC	1	$1.6K	1,599	0	+1,599	Down	+$16	01-08 23:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 03:30 UTC	10	$1.4K	1,432	0	+1,432	Down	+$14	01-08 03:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 04:00 UTC	1	$1.4K	1,537	0	+1,537	Down	+$136	01-08 04:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 22:45 UTC	1	$1.4K	1,403	0	+1,403	Up	+$14	01-07 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 22:30 UTC	1	$1.4K	1,388	0	+1,388	Down	+$15	01-07 22:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 22:15 UTC	1	$1.4K	1,369	0	+1,369	Down	+$18	01-07 22:30
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 22:00 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,354	0	+1,354	Up	+$15	01-07 22:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 21:15 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,333	0	+1,333	Up	+$13	01-07 21:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 20:45 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,327	0	+1,327	Up	+$13	01-07 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 03:45 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,424	0	+1,424	Up	+$115	01-08 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 19:45 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,313	0	+1,313	Up	+$13	01-07 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 12:00 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,311	0	+1,311	Down	+$13	01-02 12:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 19:15 UTC	2	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Up	+$13	01-07 19:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 11:45 UTC	11	$1.3K	1,298	0	+1,298	Down	+$13	01-02 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 21:15 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,280	0	+1,280	Down	+$13	01-01 21:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 20:45 UTC	4	$1.3K	1,267	0	+1,267	Up	+$13	01-01 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 19:15 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,248	0	+1,248	Up	+$12	01-01 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 18:45 UTC	17	$1.2K	1,235	0	+1,235	Up	+$12	01-01 19:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 02:45 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,185	0	+1,185	Down	+$65	01-06 03:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 00:15 UTC	11	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	Down	+$11	01-09 00:30
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 19:00 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,057	0	+1,057	Down	+$11	01-07 19:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 00:00 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,042	0	+1,042	Up	+$10	01-07 00:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 23:30 UTC	10	$1.0K	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	+$10	01-06 23:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 03:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	Down	+$10	01-08 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:08:33	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	108	53¢	$57	0xcee879…
10-27 13:08:24	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9fa734…
10-27 13:07:14	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x300f21…
10-27 13:07:12	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	82	53¢	$43	0xd0dc73…
07-11 03:13:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x5b37ef…
07-11 03:13:23	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe2ea6d…
07-11 03:13:01	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x86e07c…
06-25 02:19:43	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x446af7…
06-19 03:16:52	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	Yes	BUY	193	2¢	$4	0x081132…
06-18 10:55:20	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x76cd45…
06-17 10:36:11	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	187	76¢	$142	0x3ca734…
06-17 06:01:17	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdb188e…
06-17 06:01:11	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x60869e…
06-17 06:00:29	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf784a8…
06-16 17:58:04	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x116308…
06-16 12:39:06	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	Yes	BUY	181	2¢	$4	0xc45cbd…
06-15 14:45:49	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xce7294…
06-15 10:10:49	Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Spain	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x7d20f4…
06-13 19:50:58	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	49	93¢	$45	0x1f3a87…
06-13 11:01:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	925	15¢	$142	0x998cff…
06-13 10:57:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x2712bb…
06-13 10:57:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xd22689…
06-13 10:56:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0xf4d6d3…
06-13 10:56:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xe3bc95…
06-13 10:55:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x5664c6…
06-13 10:54:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x5384f7…
06-13 10:54:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xa24a26…
06-13 10:50:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$152	0xbed2fc…
06-13 09:40:30	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x43ba85…
06-13 09:40:22	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x390a68…
06-13 06:19:40	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x41b187…
06-12 14:02:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe35749…
06-12 04:33:16	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc904e5…
06-11 19:32:49	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x26c9be…
06-11 19:25:25	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x892698…
06-11 17:59:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	400	17¢	$69	0x62fe79…
06-11 11:35:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0xbce986…
06-11 11:19:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	400	5¢	$20	0x56614f…
06-11 09:57:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	33¢	$60	0x2b997d…
06-11 09:53:37	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	SELL	205	4¢	$7	0x9db7a9…
06-11 09:14:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0x083370…
06-11 09:13:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xa426e1…
06-11 09:10:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x1f107d…
06-11 08:03:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0xfe341a…
06-11 08:03:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x972b50…
06-11 07:06:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	122	4¢	$5	0x388e5f…
06-11 06:57:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	192	21¢	$40	0xc7b267…
06-11 06:53:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xafadc3…
06-11 06:52:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$11	0xf32c86…
06-11 06:26:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$11	0x362716…
06-11 06:24:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xa03820…
06-11 06:24:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	32¢	$26	0x23fd44…
06-11 06:21:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x729284…
06-11 06:14:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x3cc128…
06-11 06:10:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xa174e3…
06-11 06:09:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	32¢	$21	0xcc8f49…
06-11 06:03:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xf5089b…
06-11 06:03:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x579721…
06-11 06:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xefbd53…
06-11 05:54:22	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x4d4c6f…
06-11 05:51:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xd66cf7…
06-11 05:15:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	184	4¢	$7	0xb9a43b…
06-11 05:14:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7ec64c…
06-11 05:13:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2b58f7…
06-11 05:12:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x364ab7…
06-11 05:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	68	5¢	$4	0x33431a…
06-11 05:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xbc337f…
06-11 05:07:01	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x6947c0…
06-11 05:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0x67e724…
06-11 05:02:30	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	Yes	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x3f5c24…
06-11 05:02:24	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0x1b4ada…
06-11 04:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x33966f…
06-11 04:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x6750d2…
06-11 04:17:18	Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	360	0¢	$0	0xd47c8f…
06-11 04:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xeea4e3…
06-11 00:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x4a3ebd…
06-11 00:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x456d49…
06-10 23:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x9e626a…
06-10 23:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xb5c231…
06-10 23:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6f695f…
06-10 23:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xda5b13…
06-10 23:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x48fe9f…
06-10 23:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x8e2ca8…
06-10 23:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x9a4f9e…
06-10 22:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x5a7e10…
06-10 22:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xe064e7…
06-10 19:34:49	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xb4e5cd…
06-10 19:04:00	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x9382cb…
06-10 18:55:43	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	Yes	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x5c8d6e…
06-10 18:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x100bcf…
06-10 18:03:48	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	No	SELL	150	21¢	$32	0x2e478c…
06-10 17:51:18	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xb0fc57…
06-10 17:19:49	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x586309…
06-10 17:17:49	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	BUY	250	11¢	$28	0x6de22c…
06-10 16:52:10	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	No	BUY	150	18¢	$27	0x9e744c…
06-10 16:42:22	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3d2fd6…
06-10 16:38:22	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x4c472f…
06-10 16:37:03	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf3d340…
06-10 15:47:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x76e3b1…
06-04 17:06:15	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x29652e…