Illustrious-Pad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 08-03 19:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

76% 0% $-14

Other

21% 0% $-9

Sports

3% 0% $-20

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	12	$1.4K	3,586	3,586	+0	open	—	03-31 09:00
Iran leadership change by April 30?	4	$842	718	718	+0	open	—	03-19 09:59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$772	1,561	561	+1,000	open	—	04-08 08:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	15	$594	636	636	+0	open	—	05-06 18:35
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$461	402	402	+0	open	—	03-20 04:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$304	404	404	+0	open	—	03-22 21:35
military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	8	$284	4,151	4,151	+0	open	—	03-23 15:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$235	128	128	+0	open	—	04-08 03:53
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	5	$216	260	260	+0	open	—	04-26 16:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$210	280	280	+0	open	—	03-17 22:53
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	5	$204	172	172	+0	open	—	04-15 11:43
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$201	530	530	+0	open	—	04-15 06:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$201	123	123	+0	open	—	04-09 03:55
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$196	311	179	+132	open	—	04-26 04:36
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$190	333	333	+0	open	—	03-22 18:26
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	9	$189	149	149	+0	open	—	04-16 16:55
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	5	$184	190	190	+0	open	—	04-16 13:04
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$172	131	65	+65	open	—	04-13 17:28
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	7	$171	449	449	+0	open	—	03-24 20:19
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$167	108	108	+0	open	—	04-25 08:45
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$166	106	106	+0	open	—	04-25 08:44
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	2	$141	300	300	+0	open	—	03-26 10:07
will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 17	2	$136	104	104	+0	open	—	03-17 22:30
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	2	$121	100	100	+0	open	—	04-16 10:49
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	6	$118	208	208	+0	open	—	04-16 18:38
Major US official out by May 31?	2	$115	61	61	+0	open	—	05-22 19:51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$113	68	68	+0	open	—	04-19 12:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$110	106	106	+0	open	—	04-16 18:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$108	161	161	+0	open	—	03-24 20:18
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$104	57	57	+0	open	—	04-11 17:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 19:18:48	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xac6a31…
07-29 13:19:02	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xbcefb3…
07-06 09:33:05	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	14¢	$7	0xf0720b…
06-17 18:55:08	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	23¢	$20	0x584723…
06-16 13:00:27	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	24¢	$25	0xc24062…
06-16 12:43:15	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	113	5¢	$6	0x7ff222…
06-16 12:42:36	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	377	5¢	$20	0x827abc…
06-16 04:37:07	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	10¢	$18	0xdd7007…
06-13 05:23:10	israel closes its airspace by june 13	Yes	SELL	113	1¢	$1	0xac924a…
06-13 05:22:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0xed0825…
06-11 13:05:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x864684…
06-11 13:04:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	253	1¢	$2	0xa8c243…
06-11 13:03:55	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf87c76…
06-11 01:43:43	israel closes its airspace by june 13	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x5052ce…
06-11 01:41:27	israel closes its airspace by june 11	Yes	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0xbe9799…
06-10 12:30:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xd31b66…
06-10 12:30:00	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x788383…
06-10 12:29:45	israel closes its airspace by june 13	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x3191ac…
06-10 12:29:28	israel closes its airspace by june 12	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x4265af…
06-10 12:29:16	israel closes its airspace by june 11	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x083e5e…
06-10 12:26:55	will trump praise allah again by june 30	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x5be77f…
06-04 08:26:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x0c6851…
06-02 02:18:01	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	SELL	87	19¢	$17	0xb83fa4…
06-01 11:53:03	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x141759…
06-01 11:52:49	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x50c6db…
06-01 11:49:03	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	122	14¢	$17	0x2d91ad…
06-01 11:48:33	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	109	14¢	$15	0x683091…
06-01 11:48:04	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xc8657a…
06-01 11:24:54	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0x4bfd17…
05-31 10:29:51	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xfda273…
05-31 10:28:46	Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?	No	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0xae7790…
05-31 10:23:52	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xcdc4dd…
05-31 10:20:03	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	135	1¢	$1	0x4afb4d…
05-31 10:19:26	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x7f2fe4…
05-31 10:15:14	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	14¢	$7	0x91fc38…
05-30 10:21:36	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	67	24¢	$16	0x545f73…
05-30 10:12:44	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	22¢	$16	0x7bf270…
05-30 10:07:52	Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x3a1623…
05-29 15:35:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	67¢	$29	0x6ccc4f…
05-29 10:48:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x8eab94…
05-29 10:47:40	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x0c379a…
05-29 05:50:15	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0x09e665…
05-29 05:47:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	106	9¢	$9	0xd1b6a2…
05-28 17:36:43	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x8b7cfd…
05-28 16:04:26	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	332	12¢	$40	0xf9e0dd…
05-28 11:29:37	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x034432…
05-28 11:28:13	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x8bbcec…
05-28 05:11:13	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x0758c1…
05-28 05:09:52	Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xbb912c…
05-27 06:26:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0xec8f28…
05-27 06:18:32	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x6a0028…
05-27 05:56:49	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x7972a1…
05-23 06:19:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x9792e2…
05-23 05:19:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x4679d7…
05-23 04:28:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xe1d0dd…
05-23 04:26:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x51b36a…
05-23 04:26:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x9734e3…
05-22 19:51:00	Major US official out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xbb0300…
05-09 17:39:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14,000	0¢	$14	0xce732c…
05-06 18:35:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcafb2d…
04-28 04:59:48	Major US official out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	61	88¢	$54	0x8fd80b…
04-27 13:12:50	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x9936f8…
04-26 16:40:12	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	181	5¢	$9	0x312e8e…
04-26 04:36:26	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	132	74¢	$98	0x02ef34…
04-25 13:10:52	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x971054…
04-25 08:45:02	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	108	62¢	$67	0xca0bbd…
04-25 08:44:50	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	106	63¢	$66	0xcea10b…
04-24 06:41:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x576d16…
04-20 14:04:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x0ec180…
04-20 14:00:40	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	79	8¢	$6	0xa0f140…
04-20 14:00:14	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	181	92¢	$166	0x1d8e13…
04-20 10:56:04	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	179	27¢	$48	0xf88d89…
04-20 10:54:22	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x353a83…
04-20 09:54:12	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x060329…
04-20 09:15:20	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	115	25¢	$29	0xe22db1…
04-19 13:29:14	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x834b9a…
04-19 13:29:04	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xe846e6…
04-19 13:10:18	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0xce3c2e…
04-19 13:09:20	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0xd10d3d…
04-19 13:04:34	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x724c8a…
04-19 12:05:36	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	68	92¢	$63	0x111cf5…
04-18 13:39:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	149	29¢	$43	0x30a58c…
04-17 16:35:28	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	57	17¢	$10	0xe3602d…
04-17 14:12:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0xda5c3a…
04-17 13:31:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x6bdaef…
04-17 13:30:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	136	40¢	$54	0x5e7cad…
04-17 10:52:52	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x45a6a0…
04-16 18:40:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	56¢	$60	0x3bf456…
04-16 18:38:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	45	42¢	$19	0x9950f3…
04-16 18:37:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x6dba22…
04-16 18:27:08	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8ecb79…
04-16 18:22:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xea2f7c…
04-16 18:19:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x6c1f2f…
04-16 18:17:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0xb050f3…
04-16 16:55:14	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	91¢	$66	0x8c2d6c…
04-16 15:53:22	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x508148…
04-16 15:05:46	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xcf1223…
04-16 15:05:12	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	SELL	38	37¢	$14	0x8fa8ae…
04-16 15:04:52	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x9b425c…
04-16 14:59:36	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x35cdec…