Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$790

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 04-24 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

37% 82% +$2

Other

32% 62% +$14

Crypto

30% 40% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	4	$56	39	39	+0	No	+$7	01-21 08:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$50	37	19	+18	Yes	-$12	03-02 04:42
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	4	$42	43	43	+0	Yes	+$3	01-16 01:52
will axiom be accused of insider trading	1	$40	0	40	-40	Yes	$0	02-26 15:49
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	2	$38	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	01-25 01:57
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	3	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-08 07:19
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$34	30	30	+0	No	+$2	01-13 08:54
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	04-08 00:57
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$1	02-28 06:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-02 09:42
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	$0	03-29 08:51
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$27	75	75	+0	No	+$0	01-15 04:55
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$25	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-15 05:01
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-21 02:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$24	27	27	+0	Yes	-$1	01-12 04:34
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$24	31	31	+0	No	$0	01-13 11:04
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	03-24 07:25
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-26 06:13
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$17	11	11	+0	No	+$2	03-21 02:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$17	11	11	+0	No	+$0	04-11 11:06
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	2	$16	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	01-23 03:36
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	02-09 02:24
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	03-25 09:14
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-10 02:25
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	$0	03-21 02:47
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	2	$14	14	14	+0	Yes	-$1	01-30 13:21
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$12	13	0	+13	Yes	+$1	03-30 06:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$12	19	0	+19	Yes	+$7	03-08 08:43
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$10	0	26	-26	No	+$10	01-07 12:23
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	03-10 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 03:49:54	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0xf04c5c…
04-11 11:06:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0xb39c75…
04-08 00:57:09	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x4075bb…
03-30 10:55:00	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x590588…
03-30 06:55:42	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x101bf8…
03-29 08:51:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x9e8fbc…
03-25 09:37:27	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xa65759…
03-25 09:34:47	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xee9515…
03-25 09:14:43	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x5d4470…
03-24 07:25:55	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x997d39…
03-22 16:20:33	lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xfed2d3…
03-21 02:47:43	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x0e4a84…
03-21 02:47:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xa804c7…
03-21 02:46:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xa92e68…
03-18 14:55:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xf10384…
03-18 14:54:41	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xbd244a…
03-18 14:39:31	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x8697ab…
03-18 07:32:45	Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x8905c8…
03-13 16:31:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x6ab3b7…
03-13 15:49:23	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1adabb…
03-10 02:50:37	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd8ee74…
03-10 02:25:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x15b1d7…
03-08 08:43:39	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x1790f6…
03-08 07:19:33	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x347ab8…
03-03 18:49:15	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5dd885…
03-03 18:06:35	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xfee677…
03-03 17:57:43	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xd3567d…
03-02 09:42:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf32f40…
03-02 04:42:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa82c2e…
03-01 12:36:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1515e0…
03-01 01:03:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xf7ebc4…
02-28 15:24:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x52b352…
02-28 06:43:29	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x115f4f…
02-27 13:19:49	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xc2129a…
02-26 15:49:56	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x1d9bfa…
02-26 06:13:16	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x503d62…
02-20 12:43:12	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf66139…
02-09 02:24:05	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xd0e621…
01-30 13:21:10	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	No	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x7688bc…
01-28 07:51:59	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	No	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x27b7ef…
01-25 01:57:00	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa07060…
01-24 10:29:44	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x7b14cb…
01-23 03:36:08	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0xe0fe34…
01-21 09:31:16	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x089dba…
01-21 08:49:36	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0x12dca9…
01-17 05:55:50	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x007a43…
01-16 01:52:04	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	28	49¢	$14	0x51bd73…
01-15 05:01:24	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xc154f6…
01-15 04:55:22	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	75	18¢	$14	0xf648e7…
01-14 11:08:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x822157…
01-14 11:06:22	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	75	18¢	$14	0xad3a48…
01-13 15:22:01	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0xac89cd…
01-13 11:04:07	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0x3edf0f…
01-13 10:31:59	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0xc978c9…
01-13 08:54:57	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x2c3f9f…
01-12 09:04:48	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	SELL	22	72¢	$16	0x424d63…
01-12 08:06:24	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x7d15f2…
01-12 07:13:04	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x90fab3…
01-12 04:34:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0x1e3992…
01-11 11:00:04	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0xa1f3d5…
01-10 03:52:20	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x109da2…
01-09 14:40:42	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xf6bd86…
01-09 06:36:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0x7b7447…
01-07 12:23:35	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0x43fc3c…