Short-Term-Insert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

658

lifetime

Volume

$948

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-15 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 20% +$4

Other

14% — —

Politics

8% 0% $-0

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	43	$35	31	31	+0	open	—	03-23 10:20
btc updown 5m 1774087200	13	$28	23	16	+7	open	—	03-21 10:05
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 3pm et	6	$27	19	18	+0	open	—	03-16 19:15
btc updown 15m 1773687600	8	$27	19	16	+3	open	—	03-16 19:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	23	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	05-26 16:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	22	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	05-06 03:25
ethereum up or down march 16 2026 3pm et	10	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-16 20:00
btc updown 5m 1773732000	10	$18	12	9	+3	open	—	03-17 07:26
nba hou phi 2026 01 22	9	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	01-21 05:17
eth updown 15m 1773687600	7	$16	15	7	+9	open	—	03-16 19:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	16	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	05-26 16:51
eth updown 15m 1773756000	6	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	03-17 14:15
btc updown 5m 1774029600	7	$13	132	6	+126	open	—	03-20 18:05
btc updown 15m 1773692100	6	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-16 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$10	05-06 19:25
btc updown 5m 1774448400	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	03-25 14:25
eth updown 15m 1773731700	5	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-17 07:27
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	8	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-23 12:59
btc updown 5m 1775482200	2	$9	9	8	+1	open	—	04-06 13:35
btc updown 5m 1775488500	2	$9	9	8	+1	open	—	04-06 15:20
btc updown 15m 1773690300	5	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-16 19:56
nba phx atl 2026 01 23	4	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	01-23 13:34
ethereum up or down march 17 2026 3am et	5	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 07:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	10	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 18:20
btc updown 5m 1775544000	2	$9	8	8	+1	open	—	04-07 06:45
eth updown 5m 1773689700	6	$9	852	0	+852	open	—	03-16 19:41
nba hou det 2026 01 23	4	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	01-23 14:35
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	03-25 13:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-28 15:33
nhl min mon 2026 01 20	9	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	01-20 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 11:52:30	btc updown 5m 1781524200	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe02dd5…
06-15 11:24:07	btc updown 5m 1781522400	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6f5a56…
06-15 11:24:06	btc updown 5m 1781522400	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9ba430…
06-15 11:24:04	btc updown 5m 1781522400	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc920e5…
06-15 11:06:52	btc updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x622643…
06-15 11:06:51	btc updown 5m 1781521500	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf1149a…
06-15 08:08:43	btc updown 5m 1781510700	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd79f68…
06-15 08:08:42	btc updown 5m 1781510700	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb7096e…
06-15 07:59:19	btc updown 5m 1781510100	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xae49a2…
06-15 07:56:37	btc updown 5m 1781510100	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1c1776…
06-15 07:56:36	btc updown 5m 1781510100	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa5b2f4…
06-15 07:53:57	btc updown 5m 1781509800	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x47e239…
06-09 18:01:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x23ccd0…
06-09 17:20:25	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xbfd164…
06-09 17:16:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcc6b34…
06-08 07:25:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xb528b1…
06-08 07:25:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbfabe0…
06-05 19:46:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x4ec069…
06-05 19:45:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc07b01…
06-05 19:44:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xf7db73…
06-05 19:43:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6022d9…
05-29 08:20:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x7c35ed…
05-28 15:35:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8f0cf5…
05-28 15:33:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x9a1bd4…
05-28 15:31:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xce4838…
05-28 15:26:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xba1005…
05-28 15:23:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xabd872…
05-28 15:22:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xaff81d…
05-28 15:21:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x04d579…
05-28 15:19:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x264e78…
05-28 15:03:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe943f8…
05-28 05:26:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x249b55…
05-28 05:21:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8d2242…
05-26 19:53:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x3fbf8b…
05-26 19:52:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x851827…
05-26 19:13:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3cc609…
05-26 16:54:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x31c01e…
05-26 16:52:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3ce295…
05-26 16:51:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x1ca60e…
05-26 16:50:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0b5c2b…
05-26 16:49:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xba2c81…
05-26 16:49:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xf5f0c2…
05-26 16:48:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x4089d5…
05-26 16:48:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcb5fb1…
05-26 16:48:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7c0349…
05-26 16:47:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa402fc…
05-26 16:45:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x1b4ff2…
05-26 16:44:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc47536…
05-26 16:04:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x342ac6…
05-26 16:03:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5f89a6…
05-26 15:54:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x37dc87…
05-26 15:53:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9f874b…
05-26 14:08:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x705057…
05-26 14:05:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe3b304…
05-26 14:04:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9df327…
05-26 14:02:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x9c80c5…
05-26 14:00:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x899628…
05-26 13:47:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x798455…
05-26 13:46:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4874e1…
05-26 13:44:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xce64a6…
05-26 09:01:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x233cc7…
05-26 08:41:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x548a6c…
05-26 08:41:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe37129…
05-26 08:37:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x4dfeef…
05-26 08:32:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x591824…
05-26 06:04:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xace380…
05-26 06:03:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbe6aed…
05-26 05:56:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x9f6abf…
05-26 05:55:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x41e4a4…
05-26 05:49:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x1b7600…
05-26 05:48:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x88c4b4…
05-26 05:40:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x0b9634…
05-26 05:34:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xb38c90…
05-26 05:34:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x63bd74…
05-26 05:33:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x49cc30…
05-26 05:33:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x5a3437…
05-26 05:32:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x79816c…
05-26 05:28:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x56e7e2…
05-26 05:27:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xce526a…
05-24 18:09:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x2fc5ad…
05-24 18:08:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x9e1523…
05-24 18:08:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9ca4ca…
05-24 18:07:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x005155…
05-24 15:12:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x5dea12…
05-24 15:11:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x25c0c7…
05-24 14:59:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x298aa6…
05-24 14:58:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x78a0fb…
05-06 20:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbfc4ff…
05-06 20:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0571d4…
05-06 20:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf4f278…
05-06 20:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe2d6e8…
05-06 19:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc4267b…
05-06 19:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x110615…
05-06 19:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0bde45…
05-06 19:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x12d049…
05-06 19:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xef2aac…
05-06 19:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x079e25…
05-06 19:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6888c3…
05-06 19:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfef679…
05-06 03:25:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x313bfe…