Gray-Water — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$435

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

539

Trades

5,550

lifetime

Volume

$77.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-24 16:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 69% +$435

Politics

8% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 711 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	3	$936	473	473	+0	open	—	04-11 02:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$913	465	465	+0	open	—	03-30 05:46
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$881	685	685	+0	open	—	05-15 07:24
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$688	370	370	+0	open	—	04-30 13:51
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	2	$613	331	331	+0	open	—	04-11 14:04
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$540	400	400	+0	open	—	03-30 01:12
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	9	$480	400	400	+0	open	—	03-29 06:34
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$448	1,453	327	+1,126	open	—	05-17 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	14	$387	411	0	+411	Up	$-27	05-05 02:44
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$374	197	197	+0	open	—	05-14 11:09
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$347	548	548	+0	open	—	05-15 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	17	$323	420	0	+420	Up	+$37	05-10 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	23	$322	572	0	+572	open	—	05-14 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	8	$302	550	0	+550	Down	+$48	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	22	$294	450	0	+450	Down	$-204	05-10 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	7	$250	270	0	+270	open	—	05-14 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	35	$249	404	0	+404	Down	$-85	05-10 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	12	$245	299	0	+299	Up	$-6	05-05 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	13	$240	300	0	+300	Up	$-30	05-06 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	11	$239	330	0	+330	open	—	05-14 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	13	$235	270	0	+270	Down	+$5	05-06 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	17	$231	300	0	+300	Down	$-81	05-12 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	28	$225	510	0	+510	Down	$-45	05-04 23:44
Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$224	116	116	+0	open	—	05-14 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	10	$220	240	0	+240	Up	+$20	05-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	20	$219	390	0	+390	Up	$-39	05-13 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	20	$219	360	0	+360	open	—	05-14 15:59
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$216	256	256	+0	open	—	05-14 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	11	$215	300	0	+300	Down	$-5	05-12 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	8	$214	240	0	+240	Down	$-4	05-05 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 16:24:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xaa0ce4…
05-17 02:50:03	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,126	3¢	$29	0x576d23…
05-16 02:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xca49af…
05-16 02:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x0dbcf5…
05-16 02:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	47	57¢	$27	0xee78e8…
05-16 02:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xfbac2f…
05-16 02:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb662ea…
05-16 02:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xa75419…
05-16 02:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x115d9d…
05-16 02:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0xa38024…
05-16 02:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$19	0x0c2dd2…
05-16 02:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x33fc7f…
05-16 02:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	47	30¢	$14	0x846a92…
05-16 02:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0xbe3594…
05-16 02:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xcf1253…
05-16 02:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x5d6dd4…
05-16 02:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x23e1ea…
05-16 02:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x95a656…
05-16 02:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x189235…
05-16 02:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xf42359…
05-16 02:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xfafa7f…
05-15 14:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x0118f7…
05-15 14:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xd6a94b…
05-15 14:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x2b3034…
05-15 14:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xc1ab89…
05-15 14:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x0b09b4…
05-15 11:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x772848…
05-15 07:24:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x858d94…
05-15 07:24:20	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	194	13¢	$26	0x2dccae…
05-15 07:24:04	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	548	14¢	$76	0x5165c4…
05-15 06:50:19	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	219	50¢	$109	0xc40028…
05-15 06:49:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x327073…
05-15 06:49:15	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3ce012…
05-15 06:49:08	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	27	50¢	$13	0xb8f618…
05-15 06:49:01	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	293	49¢	$145	0x9be11f…
05-15 06:48:52	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	189	49¢	$92	0x377cf5…
05-15 06:47:59	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x0520dc…
05-15 06:43:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	213	62¢	$132	0x648e2a…
05-15 06:42:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	14	62¢	$9	0x7bd7c3…
05-15 06:42:23	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	490	58¢	$285	0xd58cf1…
05-15 06:13:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0xc440c6…
05-15 06:13:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xacf035…
05-15 06:12:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	220	97¢	$213	0xe913aa…
05-15 06:12:42	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	176	97¢	$171	0xf660da…
05-15 06:12:24	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	68	97¢	$65	0x90c9f9…
05-15 06:12:17	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0x376379…
05-14 17:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x883a5f…
05-14 17:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xca2b2c…
05-14 17:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x8ff976…
05-14 17:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x9cc046…
05-14 17:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7bd16c…
05-14 17:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x12ac7e…
05-14 17:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x0716ab…
05-14 17:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x41e023…
05-14 17:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xbe7f02…
05-14 17:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x790b3a…
05-14 17:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xf83395…
05-14 17:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x900efe…
05-14 17:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x5707d0…
05-14 17:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x56999b…
05-14 17:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x722f46…
05-14 17:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x8fa1af…
05-14 17:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x57b582…
05-14 17:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xf14292…
05-14 17:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xdd183c…
05-14 17:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x3a3cc8…
05-14 17:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x5fab1d…
05-14 17:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xc9b224…
05-14 17:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xa898b4…
05-14 17:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x6947be…
05-14 17:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x87c060…
05-14 17:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xdbe019…
05-14 17:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x29e2cd…
05-14 17:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xb382d3…
05-14 17:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x379421…
05-14 17:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xc5a0e0…
05-14 17:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xc5c22e…
05-14 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x08abd4…
05-14 17:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x0202cf…
05-14 17:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xf1826d…
05-14 17:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x03d1d2…
05-14 17:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x7cdda2…
05-14 17:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x2f1c48…
05-14 17:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x90401b…
05-14 17:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x1808c8…
05-14 17:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xc69df7…
05-14 17:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x4cbcf4…
05-14 17:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x11f447…
05-14 17:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf591d9…
05-14 17:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xda0bbc…
05-14 17:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0a8dd1…
05-14 17:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xffb697…
05-14 17:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xd75fab…
05-14 17:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xcc211f…
05-14 17:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x72a83e…
05-14 17:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x846c39…
05-14 17:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfd47ca…
05-14 17:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xa29130…
05-14 17:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x9edd52…
05-14 17:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x1762fb…