Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$113

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

416

Trades

627

lifetime

Volume

$1.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-21

last 10-11 13:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 44% +$16

Other

28% 21% -$128

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No		+10	$1	30¢	$3	+$2	09-25 02:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	11	$259	260	173	+88	Yes	-$81	10-11 07:12
Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	8	$49	35	35	+0	Up	+$14	09-21 06:46
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 06:45 UTC	8	$47	35	35	+0	Up	+$14	09-21 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?	10	$38	54	0	+54	No	-$38	10-11 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:05 UTC	8	$34	35	35	+0	Up	+$0	09-22 07:06
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:35 UTC	7	$32	30	30	+0	Up	+$4	09-21 08:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 06:00 UTC	9	$32	25	25	+0	Up	+$7	09-21 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:30 UTC	5	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	09-21 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	2	$29	29	29	+0	Yes	+$27	09-28 07:57
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 06:00 UTC	10	$25	20	20	+0	Down	+$5	09-21 06:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 11:45 UTC	7	$22	30	30	+0	Down	-$5	09-21 11:48
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:05 UTC	5	$22	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	09-21 08:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 08:30 UTC	4	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$6	09-21 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:15 UTC	4	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	09-21 09:16
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:15 UTC	4	$19	15	15	+0	Down	+$4	09-21 09:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:15 UTC	4	$17	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	09-21 08:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 09:15 UTC	4	$16	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	09-21 09:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:10 UTC	6	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$15	09-21 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:55 UTC	5	$15	15	15	+0	Down	$0	09-21 09:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:45 UTC	4	$14	15	15	+0	Down	$0	09-21 09:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:05 UTC	3	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	09-21 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	09-21 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:25 UTC	5	$12	25	0	+25	Up	-$12	09-21 09:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 08:15 UTC	3	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	09-21 08:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 08:15 UTC	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	09-21 08:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 09:30 UTC	3	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	09-21 09:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?	2	$10	9	9	+0	Yes	+$8	09-22 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:20 UTC	3	$10	10	10	+0	Down	$0	09-21 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 24?	2	$10	9	9	+0	No	$0	09-24 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 12:00 UTC	3	$10	10	10	+0	Up	$0	09-21 11:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 13:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xea8a26…
10-11 13:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7055c8…
10-11 07:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf4ff2c…
10-11 07:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe21f16…
10-11 07:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe0f133…
10-11 07:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x217ee5…
10-11 07:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4cf8e3…
10-11 07:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x44e156…
10-11 07:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x66fdab…
10-11 07:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x149210…
10-11 07:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x67f1ec…
10-11 07:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xcdd80e…
10-11 07:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe0a3d3…
10-11 07:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	88	80¢	$70	0xaf86b3…
10-11 03:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8c6007…
10-11 03:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x9a8c6c…
10-11 03:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xd9f463…
10-11 03:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x222fa4…
10-11 03:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x744785…
10-11 03:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0xf70ec1…
10-11 03:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0x33e194…
10-11 03:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	32	54¢	$18	0xc2dc24…
10-11 03:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	43	56¢	$24	0xee2824…
10-11 03:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x429535…
10-11 01:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xb110c8…
10-02 15:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7dfa1f…
10-02 01:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 2?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x477c9e…
10-02 01:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa598b0…
10-02 01:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xacbd55…
10-02 01:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0755af…
10-02 01:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3255fd…
10-01 11:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb07981…
09-30 10:02:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x1f57ec…
09-30 02:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4d3bc6…
09-30 02:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x5b07d6…
09-30 02:21:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa0431b…
09-30 02:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1ec14c…
09-30 02:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xf4be02…
09-30 02:16:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x9a731e…
09-30 02:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf9df33…
09-30 02:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xf85aed…
09-30 02:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x1bd874…
09-30 02:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x6bce41…
09-30 02:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x25fd55…
09-30 02:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf2ab1f…
09-29 12:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	334	0¢	$0	0x930e13…
09-29 12:19:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xedee09…
09-29 12:16:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x2d63de…
09-29 12:16:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x18f8fd…
09-29 12:15:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd1a34c…
09-29 12:14:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7502c1…
09-29 12:11:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x786ed1…
09-29 12:11:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x70becc…
09-29 11:09:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x51320a…
09-29 07:39:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6b8047…
09-29 07:35:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x260697…
09-29 07:20:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd4b55c…
09-29 07:10:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x529d6b…
09-29 07:10:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4ef21c…
09-29 07:05:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x220a5d…
09-29 06:55:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x276f29…
09-29 06:54:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9e280b…
09-29 06:50:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf49dc9…
09-29 06:35:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6d4f6c…
09-29 06:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x02e10c…
09-29 02:34:50	Solana Up or Down - September 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf274d5…
09-29 02:30:24	Solana Up or Down - September 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x71db6f…
09-29 01:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa8710e…
09-29 01:32:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x04fb98…
09-29 01:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4832de…
09-29 01:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0bbcf7…
09-29 01:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xb3510f…
09-29 01:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4cb36e…
09-29 01:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4d37e1…
09-29 01:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xcf26ac…
09-28 17:45:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x579dc7…
09-28 16:59:50	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8bb320…
09-28 16:56:56	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe08f9f…
09-28 14:25:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe7237b…
09-28 14:20:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd23ef2…
09-28 14:15:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x65cef9…
09-28 13:30:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x220ada…
09-28 13:30:56	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4d8a4e…
09-28 10:40:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfe88b1…
09-28 10:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x81d897…
09-28 10:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x10e5d5…
09-28 10:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x719864…
09-28 10:36:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7b806e…
09-28 07:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x5e804a…
09-28 02:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x92677d…
09-28 02:42:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe57c42…
09-28 02:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x80c856…
09-28 02:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb3b256…
09-28 02:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5db419…
09-28 02:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5b3a59…
09-28 02:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xeeacdc…
09-28 02:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x20c96a…
09-27 19:19:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc9a594…
09-27 14:30:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x99b084…
09-27 14:19:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x30a3e5…