Major-Passing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$204

Unrealized P&L

+$909

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

749

lifetime

Volume

$181.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$242

Open exposure

$6.03K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-21 23:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

66% 100% +$47

Crypto

19% 100% +$26

Politics

14% 100% +$115

Sports

1% 100% +$17

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+5,064	$4,351	100¢	$5.0K	+$691	06-21 00:57
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	+617	$500	100¢	$616	+$116	06-14 13:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	+372	$266	99¢	$368	+$102	06-18 01:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$4.5K	2,337	2,337	+0	open	—	05-23 17:14
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 140 164	5	$4.4K	2,238	2,238	+0	open	—	03-09 14:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$4.4K	5,064	0	+5,064	open	—	06-21 00:57
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	14	$4.3K	2,454	2,454	+0	open	—	05-28 14:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$4.1K	2,211	2,211	+0	open	—	05-22 01:17
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	2	$4.0K	2,048	2,048	+0	open	—	03-10 15:50
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	8	$3.6K	1,950	1,950	+0	open	—	03-27 15:01
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	9	$3.4K	1,912	1,912	+0	open	—	04-30 13:51
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	3	$3.2K	3,535	0	+3,535	open	—	06-18 13:06
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	5	$3.1K	1,753	1,753	+0	open	—	05-20 22:25
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	4	$3.1K	1,588	1,588	+0	open	—	03-10 15:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	6	$3.0K	1,624	1,624	+0	open	—	05-27 20:26
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	8	$3.0K	1,803	1,803	+0	open	—	04-30 13:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$2.8K	3,342	0	+3,342	open	—	05-24 07:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	6	$2.3K	2,160	500	+1,660	open	—	04-29 21:53
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	5	$2.3K	2,627	0	+2,627	open	—	05-28 17:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	3	$2.3K	1,275	1,275	+0	open	—	06-21 00:57
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	11	$2.2K	2,741	0	+2,741	open	—	03-24 18:15
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 215 239	1	$2.1K	2,139	0	+2,139	open	—	01-24 01:26
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 215 239	7	$2.1K	1,067	1,067	+0	open	—	01-17 16:44
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	33	$2.0K	1,028	1,028	+0	open	—	03-03 04:38
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	2	$2.0K	2,113	0	+2,113	open	—	02-10 15:01
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 460 479	2	$2.0K	2,006	0	+2,006	open	—	01-27 00:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	2	$1.9K	2,315	0	+2,315	open	—	06-15 12:36
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	5	$1.9K	1,056	1,056	+0	open	—	02-23 08:49
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	13	$1.9K	1,009	1,009	+0	open	—	03-03 02:57
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 300 319	2	$1.8K	914	914	+0	open	—	02-17 17:05
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 90 114	18	$1.7K	962	962	+0	open	—	02-28 00:08
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 115 139	3	$1.7K	883	883	+0	open	—	02-16 12:52
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 340 359	5	$1.7K	864	864	+0	open	—	02-27 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 23:18:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	196	71¢	$139	0x791999…
06-21 00:57:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,969	94¢	$1,851	0xc4ec4a…
06-21 00:57:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,275	99¢	$1,262	0xb14523…
06-21 00:57:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	595	99¢	$590	0xe001b8…
06-21 00:55:47	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	121	82¢	$99	0xf6bd8c…
06-21 00:52:16	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xef804e…
06-21 00:35:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x4064ea…
06-21 00:35:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xbbefac…
06-18 21:29:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0x747b01…
06-18 20:48:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0x0d0441…
06-18 13:06:14	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	2,485	93¢	$2,314	0xf336d6…
06-18 01:04:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0xd6c5e9…
06-18 01:04:17	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x13039b…
06-17 21:08:31	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	284	71¢	$200	0xc8a4fa…
06-17 19:30:56	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	684	93¢	$633	0x29811f…
06-17 16:58:17	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	432	69¢	$300	0x8e2969…
06-17 15:59:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	375	80¢	$300	0xaa2c9d…
06-16 00:19:09	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	381	79¢	$300	0x855d0c…
06-15 19:25:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0x821a86…
06-15 12:36:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	BUY	1,059	85¢	$900	0x2cb5b6…
06-15 12:33:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	BUY	1,256	80¢	$1,000	0x312638…
06-14 13:46:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	246	81¢	$200	0xdc5cd8…
06-14 13:46:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0x0e027e…
06-14 13:43:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,190	84¢	$1,000	0xd48260…
06-13 20:39:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xd1066f…
06-13 20:25:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	261	77¢	$200	0xc2683b…
06-13 15:52:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	175	91¢	$159	0x3cc916…
06-13 15:36:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xfb8607…
06-13 15:33:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	91	91¢	$83	0x44f96c…
06-13 14:51:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	633	79¢	$500	0x51af3c…
06-11 19:45:48	will xrp dip to 1 in june 2026	No	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0xd937c1…
06-11 19:45:27	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0xb10e59…
06-11 19:42:09	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0xc1f4f3…
06-11 19:41:33	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x9a6b55…
06-11 19:32:10	us anti cartel operation outside of the us by june 30	No	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0xc065f1…
05-29 19:19:57	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	94	70¢	$66	0xbcf53b…
05-29 12:38:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	No	SELL	235	27¢	$64	0xc82742…
05-28 17:15:20	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	1,092	94¢	$1,030	0x799201…
05-28 14:49:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	426	94¢	$400	0x7b5a60…
05-28 14:46:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	630	79¢	$500	0x3e11d5…
05-28 14:45:34	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	557	90¢	$500	0x682a5a…
05-28 14:44:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	2,454	100¢	$2,446	0x324ce5…
05-27 20:30:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	384	80¢	$307	0xb0ade4…
05-27 20:28:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0x525377…
05-27 20:27:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	645	78¢	$500	0x34d69c…
05-27 20:27:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0xf90741…
05-27 20:26:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	1,624	99¢	$1,614	0xbc9c26…
05-25 15:31:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	321	84¢	$270	0x6476f6…
05-25 13:19:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	241	99¢	$239	0xdae5ef…
05-24 07:35:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,638	87¢	$2,300	0x47bc74…
05-23 17:14:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	2,337	100¢	$2,333	0xd28c73…
05-22 01:20:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	2,337	94¢	$2,197	0x65ef9c…
05-22 01:17:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	2,211	99¢	$2,197	0xeab9d9…
05-21 00:48:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	545	93¢	$507	0x2fcd7a…
05-21 00:37:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$19	0xdd1279…
05-20 22:29:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x0f32e7…
05-20 22:27:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0xd92054…
05-20 22:26:24	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0x20ded1…
05-20 22:26:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	426	94¢	$400	0x4356c4…
05-20 22:25:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,753	98¢	$1,718	0x00a604…
05-20 21:24:21	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	464	2¢	$9	0x091270…
05-19 21:40:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	1,062	81¢	$860	0xea22f7…
05-19 16:33:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0xb0a1ab…
05-19 16:28:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	251	91¢	$229	0xdebca1…
05-19 16:28:34	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$229	0x331ba3…
05-18 16:11:52	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0x2c0d6b…
05-18 02:08:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	246	86¢	$211	0x2365ba…
05-18 01:39:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$6	0x4a1199…
05-18 01:38:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x1c89b6…
05-18 01:35:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x68d4a9…
05-18 01:20:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	60	86¢	$52	0xb3763b…
05-18 01:13:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0xf361b9…
05-18 01:09:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	BUY	395	76¢	$300	0x601a15…
05-18 01:02:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x28921b…
05-18 00:49:02	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x10e716…
05-18 00:48:14	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x76f101…
05-18 00:48:07	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xbc3ce8…
05-15 18:41:56	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x1dd705…
05-15 13:53:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	435	69¢	$300	0xd63f6b…
05-15 13:42:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0x9fca00…
05-15 12:50:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	553	14¢	$77	0xa34d75…
05-13 23:15:17	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	214	84¢	$180	0x2aed94…
05-13 22:39:15	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x9e953c…
05-13 22:35:24	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x64e20f…
05-13 22:27:41	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x3cd6e8…
05-13 16:07:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	682	90¢	$614	0x3b076b…
05-13 16:05:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x5599bd…
05-12 16:54:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x5f99c5…
05-12 15:09:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0xf79f53…
05-12 15:09:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x81cc9e…
05-09 12:35:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	553	36¢	$200	0x4bfc3e…
05-09 12:31:27	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	243	82¢	$200	0x3d0342…
05-07 13:29:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0x5bf10b…
05-07 13:26:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0x4ede0d…
05-06 15:55:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0xab457e…
05-06 15:54:30	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xbd07c3…
05-06 15:53:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0x5dbe73…
05-05 16:44:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xfc7b51…
05-05 16:21:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0x99e7e8…
05-05 14:05:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xe38f2f…