Major-Passing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$204

Unrealized P&L

+$255

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

714

lifetime

Volume

$166.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$233

Open exposure

$2.12K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-29 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

67% 100% +$47

Crypto

19% 100% +$26

Politics

13% 100% +$115

Sports

1% 100% +$17

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	+1,275	$1,000	92¢	$1.2K	+$172	05-28 14:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	+595	$500	96¢	$568	+$68	05-27 20:27
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	+361	$300	86¢	$309	+$9	05-27 20:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	+94	$66	76¢	$71	+$5	05-29 19:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$4.5K	2,337	2,337	+0	open	—	05-23 17:14
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 140 164	5	$4.4K	2,238	2,238	+0	open	—	03-09 14:23
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	14	$4.3K	2,454	2,454	+0	open	—	05-28 14:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$4.1K	2,211	2,211	+0	open	—	05-22 01:17
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	2	$4.0K	2,048	2,048	+0	open	—	03-10 15:50
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	8	$3.6K	1,950	1,950	+0	open	—	03-27 15:01
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	9	$3.4K	1,912	1,912	+0	open	—	04-30 13:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	5	$3.1K	1,753	1,753	+0	open	—	05-20 22:25
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	4	$3.1K	1,588	1,588	+0	open	—	03-10 15:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	6	$3.0K	1,624	1,624	+0	open	—	05-27 20:26
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	8	$3.0K	1,803	1,803	+0	open	—	04-30 13:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$2.8K	3,342	0	+3,342	open	—	05-24 07:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	6	$2.3K	2,160	500	+1,660	open	—	04-29 21:53
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	5	$2.3K	2,627	0	+2,627	open	—	05-28 17:15
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	11	$2.2K	2,741	0	+2,741	open	—	03-24 18:15
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 215 239	1	$2.1K	2,139	0	+2,139	open	—	01-24 01:26
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 215 239	7	$2.1K	1,067	1,067	+0	open	—	01-17 16:44
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	33	$2.0K	1,028	1,028	+0	open	—	03-03 04:38
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	2	$2.0K	2,113	0	+2,113	open	—	02-10 15:01
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 460 479	2	$2.0K	2,006	0	+2,006	open	—	01-27 00:27
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	5	$1.9K	1,056	1,056	+0	open	—	02-23 08:49
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	13	$1.9K	1,009	1,009	+0	open	—	03-03 02:57
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 300 319	2	$1.8K	914	914	+0	open	—	02-17 17:05
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 90 114	18	$1.7K	962	962	+0	open	—	02-28 00:08
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 115 139	3	$1.7K	883	883	+0	open	—	02-16 12:52
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 340 359	5	$1.7K	864	864	+0	open	—	02-27 15:31
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	2	$1.6K	1,028	1,028	+0	open	—	01-27 08:35
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$1.6K	863	863	+0	open	—	04-30 14:13
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	15	$1.6K	1,499	874	+625	open	—	03-07 12:22
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$1.5K	1,437	1,437	+0	open	—	03-10 12:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 19:19:57	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	94	70¢	$66	0xbcf53b…
05-29 12:38:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	No	SELL	235	27¢	$64	0xc82742…
05-28 17:15:20	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	1,092	94¢	$1,030	0x799201…
05-28 14:49:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	426	94¢	$400	0x7b5a60…
05-28 14:46:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	630	79¢	$500	0x3e11d5…
05-28 14:45:34	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	557	90¢	$500	0x682a5a…
05-28 14:44:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	2,454	100¢	$2,446	0x324ce5…
05-27 20:30:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	384	80¢	$307	0xb0ade4…
05-27 20:28:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0x525377…
05-27 20:27:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	645	78¢	$500	0x34d69c…
05-27 20:27:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0xf90741…
05-27 20:26:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	1,624	99¢	$1,614	0xbc9c26…
05-25 15:31:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	321	84¢	$270	0x6476f6…
05-25 13:19:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	241	99¢	$239	0xdae5ef…
05-24 07:35:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,638	87¢	$2,300	0x47bc74…
05-23 17:14:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	2,337	100¢	$2,333	0xd28c73…
05-22 01:20:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	2,337	94¢	$2,197	0x65ef9c…
05-22 01:17:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	2,211	99¢	$2,197	0xeab9d9…
05-21 00:48:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	545	93¢	$507	0x2fcd7a…
05-21 00:37:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$19	0xdd1279…
05-20 22:29:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x0f32e7…
05-20 22:27:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0xd92054…
05-20 22:26:24	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0x20ded1…
05-20 22:26:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	426	94¢	$400	0x4356c4…
05-20 22:25:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,753	98¢	$1,718	0x00a604…
05-20 21:24:21	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	464	2¢	$9	0x091270…
05-19 21:40:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	1,062	81¢	$860	0xea22f7…
05-19 16:33:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0xb0a1ab…
05-19 16:28:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	251	91¢	$229	0xdebca1…
05-19 16:28:34	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$229	0x331ba3…
05-18 16:11:52	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0x2c0d6b…
05-18 02:08:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	246	86¢	$211	0x2365ba…
05-18 01:39:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$6	0x4a1199…
05-18 01:38:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x1c89b6…
05-18 01:35:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x68d4a9…
05-18 01:20:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	60	86¢	$52	0xb3763b…
05-18 01:13:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0xf361b9…
05-18 01:09:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	BUY	395	76¢	$300	0x601a15…
05-18 01:02:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x28921b…
05-18 00:49:02	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x10e716…
05-18 00:48:14	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x76f101…
05-18 00:48:07	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xbc3ce8…
05-15 18:41:56	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x1dd705…
05-15 13:53:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	435	69¢	$300	0xd63f6b…
05-15 13:42:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0x9fca00…
05-15 12:50:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	553	14¢	$77	0xa34d75…
05-13 23:15:17	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	214	84¢	$180	0x2aed94…
05-13 22:39:15	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x9e953c…
05-13 22:35:24	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x64e20f…
05-13 22:27:41	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x3cd6e8…
05-13 16:07:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	682	90¢	$614	0x3b076b…
05-13 16:05:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x5599bd…
05-12 16:54:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x5f99c5…
05-12 15:09:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0xf79f53…
05-12 15:09:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x81cc9e…
05-09 12:35:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	553	36¢	$200	0x4bfc3e…
05-09 12:31:27	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	243	82¢	$200	0x3d0342…
05-07 13:29:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0x5bf10b…
05-07 13:26:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0x4ede0d…
05-06 15:55:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0xab457e…
05-06 15:54:30	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xbd07c3…
05-06 15:53:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0x5dbe73…
05-05 16:44:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xfc7b51…
05-05 16:21:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0x99e7e8…
05-05 14:05:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xe38f2f…
05-05 13:43:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0xa2c6be…
05-05 13:43:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0x9bad3c…
05-04 14:30:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x4dbd6c…
05-01 00:11:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	269	84¢	$226	0x138efc…
05-01 00:08:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc042f0…
05-01 00:08:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x493332…
05-01 00:08:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0b8db5…
04-30 23:09:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0x4ca6a5…
04-30 22:22:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0xbe5fd9…
04-30 22:17:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	88	84¢	$74	0xaefea6…
04-30 22:03:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xafce08…
04-30 22:02:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	94	84¢	$79	0xffd1c1…
04-30 21:18:54	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x2b6165…
04-30 14:13:44	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	741	100¢	$738	0x427707…
04-30 13:53:18	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1,803	100¢	$1,794	0x3a2cba…
04-30 13:51:52	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1,435	99¢	$1,425	0x2d3c4b…
04-30 12:05:44	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x1fa4f2…
04-30 12:03:46	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf66809…
04-30 12:03:26	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	381	99¢	$378	0x2fea62…
04-30 11:42:22	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x6ab3f5…
04-29 22:53:58	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	373	75¢	$280	0x03b005…
04-29 22:53:40	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0xfd7973…
04-29 22:53:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$247	0xee80a3…
04-29 22:52:20	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	244	99¢	$242	0x5d07e0…
04-29 22:32:06	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	393	84¢	$330	0xb359bc…
04-29 22:31:50	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	522	67¢	$350	0xf6d356…
04-29 22:31:28	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0xd01e77…
04-29 22:31:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	382	99¢	$378	0x17e6c8…
04-29 22:30:56	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	341	99¢	$338	0x53324c…
04-29 22:30:50	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?	No	SELL	279	99¢	$277	0x1d708f…
04-29 22:23:00	Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	470	83¢	$390	0x057a0b…
04-29 22:22:30	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0x1964b5…
04-29 22:22:16	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0xfd7618…
04-29 22:21:56	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$242	0x79d862…
04-29 22:21:46	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	241	99¢	$239	0xf03460…