Major-Passing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.14K

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved

364

Trades

1,580

lifetime

Volume

$360.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$228

Open exposure

$13.1K

18 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-27 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

52% 76% +$7,395

Crypto

34% 90% +$9,361

Politics

12% 88% +$3,494

Tech

1% 86% +$32

Sports

0% 100% +$218

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+5,181	$4,869	95¢	$4.9K	+$53	10-27 19:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	+2,928	$2,520	97¢	$2.8K	+$329	10-12 22:59
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	+1,209	$1,000	92¢	$1.1K	+$118	10-13 19:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	+1,117	$905	94¢	$1.1K	+$151	10-06 05:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	+581	$500	98¢	$572	+$72	10-08 18:47
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	+383	$200	90¢	$345	+$145	08-17 16:23
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+326	$300	92¢	$298	-$2	10-27 18:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	+345	$300	74¢	$255	-$45	10-05 19:01
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	+244	$200	98¢	$240	+$40	10-09 18:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	+233	$200	96¢	$224	+$24	10-15 16:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+499	$311	45¢	$224	-$87	10-27 18:34
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	+274	$200	80¢	$218	+$18	10-05 15:02
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?	No	+187	$150	100¢	$186	+$36	10-07 01:56
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	+225	$200	78¢	$175	-$25	10-05 14:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+500	$125	34¢	$172	+$48	10-27 18:35
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	+440	$200	36¢	$161	-$39	10-05 15:05
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	No	+260	$200	52¢	$134	-$66	10-05 14:54
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	+0	-$373	99¢	$0	+$373	10-23 22:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	10	$9.2K	5,001	5,001	+0	No	+$711	08-21 02:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$6.8K	8,563	0	+8,563	Yes	+$1,714	07-26 01:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	13	$6.3K	3,404	3,404	+0	No	+$460	09-23 03:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	8	$4.9K	5,181	0	+5,181	open	—	10-27 19:17
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	16	$4.8K	2,638	2,638	+0	open	—	10-23 22:30
will solana dip to 90 in september 2026	9	$4.8K	2,641	2,641	+0	No	+$442	09-25 22:35
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	7	$4.6K	2,501	2,501	+0	open	—	10-23 00:53
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$4.5K	2,337	2,337	+0	Yes	+$136	05-23 17:14
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 140 164	5	$4.4K	2,238	2,238	+0	No	+$56	03-09 14:23
israel closes its airspace by july 24	3	$4.4K	4,914	0	+4,914	No	+$534	07-23 14:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$4.4K	5,064	0	+5,064	No	+$713	06-21 00:57
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	14	$4.3K	2,454	2,454	+0	No	+$618	05-28 14:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$4.1K	2,211	2,211	+0	No	+$338	05-22 01:17
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	2	$4.0K	2,048	2,048	+0	No	+$46	03-10 15:50
will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	6	$4.0K	2,187	2,187	+0	No	+$354	09-23 00:59
will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	9	$3.9K	4,271	0	+4,271	No	+$416	07-31 00:30
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	8	$3.6K	1,950	1,950	+0	No	+$315	03-27 15:01
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	9	$3.4K	1,912	1,912	+0	No	+$399	04-30 13:51
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September?	13	$3.3K	1,816	1,816	+0	No	+$305	09-30 16:31
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	3	$3.2K	3,535	0	+3,535	No	+$287	06-18 13:06
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	5	$3.1K	1,753	1,753	+0	No	+$304	05-20 22:25
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	4	$3.1K	1,588	1,588	+0	No	+$87	03-10 15:50
will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	8	$3.1K	1,612	1,612	+0	No	+$107	08-19 18:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	6	$3.0K	1,624	1,624	+0	No	+$188	05-27 20:26
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	8	$3.0K	1,803	1,803	+0	No	+$604	04-30 13:53
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?	9	$2.9K	1,594	1,594	+0	open	—	10-27 13:53
will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	22	$2.9K	1,581	1,581	+0	No	+$209	08-20 16:25
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	6	$2.9K	3,270	0	+3,270	No	+$395	07-29 21:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$2.8K	3,342	0	+3,342	No	+$542	05-24 07:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	12	$2.5K	2,928	0	+2,928	open	—	10-12 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:17:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	315	95¢	$300	0xc30753…
10-27 19:08:54	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x2cd128…
10-27 19:07:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x67774d…
10-27 19:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x7199b1…
10-27 19:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	110	95¢	$104	0x571c70…
10-27 18:42:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0x748039…
10-27 18:41:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,134	94¢	$2,000	0xd6e3db…
10-27 18:41:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	534	94¢	$500	0x2ca71d…
10-27 18:41:17	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x9d6303…
10-27 18:35:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0x92f0d1…
10-27 18:34:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	499	62¢	$311	0xff3cbd…
10-27 18:34:09	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0x0601a9…
10-27 18:25:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	536	93¢	$500	0x5a71a1…
10-27 18:21:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	BUY	243	82¢	$200	0xf213d7…
10-27 17:33:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	93¢	$464	0x7d8b7f…
10-27 13:53:57	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?	No	SELL	850	100¢	$846	0x8626a6…
10-24 14:49:17	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x084958…
10-24 14:29:02	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x6d0178…
10-24 14:09:36	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xe3a5ce…
10-24 13:50:27	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xd07c02…
10-24 13:50:02	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x80289e…
10-24 13:21:03	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	172	94¢	$162	0x2dcbbf…
10-23 22:30:51	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x695682…
10-23 22:30:50	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	171	98¢	$168	0x934a19…
10-23 22:30:48	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	171	98¢	$168	0x9b8f60…
10-23 22:30:47	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	171	98¢	$168	0x37b3c4…
10-23 20:22:38	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4e873b…
10-23 19:01:30	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	1,995	98¢	$1,965	0x4d1a38…
10-23 19:01:30	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in October?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$52	0x0b71b9…
10-23 19:01:29	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $880 in October?	No	SELL	481	99¢	$477	0xc5fdd6…
10-23 16:56:03	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	No	SELL	1,159	99¢	$1,147	0xef3667…
10-23 11:36:57	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa9cde6…
10-23 03:39:03	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $880 in October?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xa4b223…
10-23 03:01:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in October?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$494	0xce39a8…
10-23 00:53:08	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	SELL	2,501	99¢	$2,471	0x7bb13e…
10-22 22:09:35	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$39	0x6baa7b…
10-22 20:01:11	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xebc7a9…
10-22 18:58:41	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in October?	No	SELL	191	99¢	$190	0x8692eb…
10-22 18:58:35	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in October?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x508034…
10-22 18:58:30	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in October?	No	SELL	163	99¢	$162	0xa76701…
10-22 18:58:30	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?	No	SELL	665	99¢	$661	0x153372…
10-22 18:54:02	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?	No	SELL	79	99¢	$79	0x27267c…
10-21 16:34:41	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	No	BUY	228	87¢	$199	0x73d208…
10-19 19:38:05	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	No	BUY	239	84¢	$200	0x05218c…
10-19 19:36:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	No	BUY	322	86¢	$277	0x57d26d…
10-19 19:24:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	No	BUY	232	86¢	$200	0xba8085…
10-19 14:49:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	No	BUY	245	82¢	$200	0xca70d7…
10-19 14:48:21	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x0295ce…
10-16 18:05:03	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	No	BUY	500	82¢	$410	0xb1dc86…
10-16 14:01:28	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	565	70¢	$393	0x36c917…
10-16 10:44:42	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in October?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x0cc151…
10-15 22:13:53	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x7db428…
10-15 19:08:05	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0x86dd23…
10-15 17:17:53	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x53e242…
10-15 17:14:26	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?	No	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0xf4c8c7…
10-15 16:54:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x7c7c69…
10-15 15:09:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	No	BUY	450	67¢	$300	0x5e66db…
10-14 18:51:13	will xagusd dip to 50 in october 2026	No	BUY	350	86¢	$300	0x3585cb…
10-14 12:59:59	will xagusd dip to 52 in october 2026	No	BUY	418	85¢	$356	0x487521…
10-14 12:37:21	will xagusd dip to 52 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xf10704…
10-14 12:37:11	will xagusd dip to 52 in october 2026	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xbc9ce0…
10-14 12:37:08	will xagusd dip to 52 in october 2026	No	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0xd85579…
10-14 12:37:05	will xagusd dip to 52 in october 2026	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x351262…
10-13 22:33:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	593	91¢	$543	0x548cde…
10-13 20:06:55	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	BUY	239	84¢	$200	0x64ac3f…
10-13 19:25:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0xf0370d…
10-13 19:23:48	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 in October?	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0xaf5eb7…
10-13 19:22:13	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	407	92¢	$372	0xc98a5e…
10-13 13:50:17	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $880 in October?	No	BUY	48	87¢	$42	0xf86c58…
10-13 13:46:56	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $880 in October?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$43	0xc48345…
10-13 13:46:28	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?	No	BUY	480	83¢	$398	0x5f877d…
10-12 22:59:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xe4b19a…
10-12 20:51:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	575	87¢	$500	0xc9ad32…
10-12 15:19:45	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x101c6f…
10-12 15:16:06	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?	No	BUY	236	85¢	$200	0x3ef52f…
10-12 11:43:26	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	BUY	84	86¢	$72	0xc14d59…
10-12 11:43:26	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	BUY	299	86¢	$257	0xa060cb…
10-12 11:08:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x102890…
10-12 09:25:05	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in October?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x1bd505…
10-11 23:21:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	346	87¢	$300	0xec91a0…
10-11 16:03:21	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x0449c7…
10-11 15:48:52	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0x47d883…
10-11 15:48:52	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	BUY	55	86¢	$47	0x32cc76…
10-10 07:07:19	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3d5549…
10-09 19:47:37	Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	No	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0xc144ba…
10-09 19:07:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$422	0x4ac8a3…
10-09 18:48:31	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0x61dee9…
10-09 18:43:11	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0xe5ffff…
10-09 18:38:02	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xc8e1be…
10-09 14:35:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x701d80…
10-09 14:24:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0xb2a2df…
10-09 13:46:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	344	87¢	$300	0x009faf…
10-09 13:42:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	617	81¢	$500	0x652e42…
10-08 19:35:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x88f145…
10-08 18:47:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0x5116d9…
10-08 17:35:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	358	84¢	$300	0x7632b8…
10-08 17:22:44	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x7c22f9…
10-08 17:07:14	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x65aa5f…
10-08 16:58:03	Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0x910f25…
10-08 13:22:09	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x577a74…