Shocked-Bull — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

305

Trades

890

lifetime

Volume

$4.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-27

last 06-16 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 58% -$17

Other

11% 51% +$28

Politics

9% 50% -$90

Tech

5% 30% -$84

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	7	$168	163	163	+0	Down	+$8	05-30 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	9	$132	136	136	+0	Down	+$2	05-30 21:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	11	$131	2,186	17	+2,168	Yes	-$99	06-16 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$92	79	79	+0	Up	+$12	05-30 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	6	$88	79	79	+0	Up	+$8	05-30 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	5	$88	79	79	+0	Down	+$8	05-30 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$87	80	80	+0	Down	+$7	05-30 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	12	$86	78	78	+0	Down	+$6	05-31 18:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	8	$78	72	72	+0	Up	-$1	05-31 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$69	94	39	+54	Up	-$21	05-30 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$63	68	59	+9	Up	+$3	05-31 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	7	$56	53	53	+0	Up	+$2	05-30 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$54	53	53	+0	Up	+$4	05-30 22:07
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	3	$54	102	102	+0	No	+$38	06-07 02:42
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$52	30	30	+0	Yes	+$6	05-28 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$44	40	40	+0	Down	+$4	05-31 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	7	$44	38	38	+0	Up	+$4	05-31 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$43	271	154	+117	Down	-$1	05-30 22:04
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	7	$43	40	40	+0	Down	+$3	05-31 19:11
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	3	$40	91	91	+0	No	+$20	06-04 16:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 23:55 UTC	2	$38	39	39	+0	Up	-$2	06-05 23:55
Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?	5	$38	24	23	+0	Yes	+$3	06-08 01:16
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	3	$34	82	0	+82	Yes	-$34	06-08 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$34	35	12	+24	Up	+$5	05-30 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$32	38	14	+24	Down	+$6	05-30 23:34
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	3	$31	154	0	+154	Yes	-$31	06-09 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	6	$31	30	30	+0	Up	+$4	05-31 02:41
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	3	$28	19	18	+0	No	+$2	06-10 15:59
will warsh say maximum employment during june press conference 20260608181156668	3	$27	21	21	+0	Yes	+$5	06-16 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	5	$27	25	25	+0	Down	+$3	05-30 23:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 08:52:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0x517e48…
06-16 08:51:57	will warsh say inflation 60 times during june press conference 20260608181156647	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0x4b4312…
06-16 08:48:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,567	3¢	$44	0x45ed3f…
06-16 08:48:04	Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x5ad323…
06-16 08:48:03	Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x609cde…
06-16 08:48:00	will trump say six seven in june	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x73efe9…
06-16 08:47:58	Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x97c88d…
06-16 08:47:45	will warsh say fed during june press conference 20260608181156656	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xa0c4be…
06-16 08:47:36	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x1b2fdd…
06-16 08:47:33	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0bbbf3…
06-16 08:47:30	will trump say uranium this week 20260605142537493	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x86ac8d…
06-16 08:47:27	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x92c4d1…
06-16 08:47:24	will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xb822d0…
06-16 08:47:21	will warsh say maximum employment during june press conference 20260608181156668	Yes	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0x24feed…
06-15 22:32:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	145	6¢	$9	0x21bb7c…
06-15 19:16:12	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x29c6ac…
06-15 09:50:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	63	13¢	$8	0x9c9f8d…
06-15 09:47:16	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by june 30 20260608233701771	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x566e0d…
06-15 07:55:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	102	13¢	$14	0xc03825…
06-15 07:49:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xbec41e…
06-15 06:42:12	Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xf61de2…
06-15 06:25:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x5488fc…
06-15 06:13:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xad45ed…
06-14 15:42:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x085136…
06-14 10:41:46	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x583ee4…
06-14 05:35:36	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by june 30 20260608233701771	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xd2041b…
06-14 03:14:04	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x936001…
06-13 19:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x090e87…
06-13 19:46:28	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x73c581…
06-13 17:55:18	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	76	20¢	$15	0xbf521e…
06-13 13:14:28	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0xe4e6fb…
06-12 18:39:16	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc050bf…
06-12 14:10:30	will warsh say maximum employment during june press conference 20260608181156668	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x433b0b…
06-12 14:10:25	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	10¢	$6	0x415b74…
06-12 08:53:03	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xba0738…
06-12 08:52:58	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xac009c…
06-12 07:00:40	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	53	17¢	$9	0xbee2d4…
06-12 03:38:49	will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0x87247a…
06-11 18:03:58	Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x3d89c6…
06-11 16:39:54	Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?	No	SELL	18	48¢	$9	0x0f4a2d…
06-11 12:42:00	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x75d9a3…
06-11 12:41:55	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x4a30cf…
06-11 12:40:33	will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xf68759…
06-11 11:30:21	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	Yes	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xfbfef8…
06-11 02:38:21	will warsh say maximum employment during june press conference 20260608181156668	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x17846f…
06-11 02:19:18	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x152b0a…
06-10 23:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 11?	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xdcdb92…
06-10 21:43:03	will warsh say fed during june press conference 20260608181156656	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x36f137…
06-10 16:37:46	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2ebc0b…
06-10 16:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x525ba9…
06-10 15:59:19	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x5f9cdc…
06-10 12:30:21	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x0ca83c…
06-10 12:02:48	Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x97719d…
06-10 11:46:43	will warsh say inflation 60 times during june press conference 20260608181156647	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x747c40…
06-10 06:35:31	Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x35aa7d…
06-10 06:35:27	will oracle say tiktok during earnings call 20260608174328848	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x3df601…
06-10 01:35:04	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x9cf587…
06-09 23:52:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xa5d50f…
06-09 23:52:06	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6c5a22…
06-09 12:29:40	will claude 5 be released by june 12 2026	No	SELL	51	26¢	$13	0xb95577…
06-09 10:52:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x39f97a…
06-09 10:52:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc19b4a…
06-09 10:52:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x706911…
06-09 10:52:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x425d2c…
06-09 10:52:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x1019d9…
06-09 10:51:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xff32b3…
06-09 07:04:39	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	132	11¢	$15	0xe94120…
06-09 06:55:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf5dc0e…
06-09 06:45:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x15ece4…
06-09 06:38:34	will claude 5 be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xd3222e…
06-09 01:23:06	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xc83ddf…
06-08 21:09:51	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x79d5d7…
06-08 21:02:37	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x5cae3d…
06-08 19:57:55	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x34c2ed…
06-08 18:46:13	will craig federighi say siri during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb52312…
06-08 18:46:09	will tim cook say excited during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x3678d3…
06-08 18:12:30	will tim cook say excited during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xfcff8c…
06-08 17:04:19	will craig federighi say siri during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x335d2c…
06-08 11:51:42	will tim cook say ai or artificial intelligence during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x071368…
06-08 11:00:31	will tim cook say ai or artificial intelligence during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x2d90f9…
06-08 01:51:12	will trump say make america great again this week 20260605142537487	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x67cd4c…
06-08 01:51:07	will trump say knicks this week 20260605142537484	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x7a0e8c…
06-08 01:50:46	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x00a528…
06-08 01:16:52	Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?	Yes	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0xd0bdd2…
06-08 01:16:52	Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x9939fa…
06-08 01:14:54	will tim cook say ai or artificial intelligence during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xca5709…
06-07 23:55:28	will tim cook say siri during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x5aec9f…
06-07 21:49:55	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x6168fd…
06-07 13:10:30	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xb06c9a…
06-07 07:07:57	Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xbae91e…
06-07 04:04:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x8740bb…
06-07 04:04:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0x50ae6d…
06-07 03:41:21	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x283d8d…
06-07 02:42:18	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x78cfcc…
06-07 01:55:54	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	Yes	SELL	102	45¢	$46	0xd4c2a2…
06-06 22:52:45	will trump say six seven in june	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x62e4f1…
06-06 22:32:49	Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0x0af79c…
06-06 19:03:01	will tim cook say excited during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf18b8e…
06-06 19:02:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xde07bb…
06-06 19:02:52	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x0ca558…