Generous-Makeup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$2.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-04 22:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

91% 98% +$15

Tech

3% 67% -$11

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Politics

2% 100% +$1

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will epstein data set 13 be released by march 31	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-01 06:22
Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-05 00:48
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	05-29 03:29
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	2	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 17:04
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-26 13:37
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	04-03 12:13
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-06 15:30
nyc mayor of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 20 39	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 15:26
highest temperature in miami on march 18 2026 66 67f	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$1	03-18 15:50
highest temperature in chicago on march 19 2026 44 45f	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-19 07:45
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	06-11 12:42
Will Verlina Reynolds-Jackson be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	06-03 01:24
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-22 00:35
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-18 16:21
highest temperature in madrid on march 19 2026 20c	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-19 16:40
highest temperature in paris on march 16 2026 14c	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-16 13:21
bitcoin above 52k on july 4 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	07-02 16:21
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-20 00:54
highest temperature in atlanta on march 16 2026 62 63f	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-16 04:54
will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	2	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 16:07
highest temperature in wellington on march 17 2026 22c	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-17 03:00
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 18 2026 28c	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-18 08:52
highest temperature in tokyo on march 16 2026 11c	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-16 05:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 15 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-15 10:40
will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2 259	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-06 05:53
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-31 07:59
will trust me the false prophet be the 2 global netflix show this week	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-13 00:00
white house of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 180 199	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	03-27 15:00
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 17 2026 22c	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	03-17 09:01
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-15 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 22:04:40	will anyone say mustard 10 times during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701048	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xbc4263…
07-02 16:21:05	bitcoin above 52k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x09bd94…
06-25 13:19:50	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2928b7…
06-25 12:08:26	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9f5b07…
06-20 00:54:20	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8b6715…
06-18 21:11:44	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xf13fe9…
06-15 10:40:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 15 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x770c0a…
06-13 04:42:31	Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbdcd28…
06-11 12:42:55	Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x548631…
06-11 02:36:43	Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x158d66…
06-10 01:35:16	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc74d1c…
06-06 15:30:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9b87db…
06-06 15:07:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfcb6a5…
06-03 01:24:59	Will Verlina Reynolds-Jackson be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x1d6cb3…
06-01 00:02:08	Will Verlina Reynolds-Jackson be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xc4d469…
05-31 07:59:14	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x778a9d…
05-30 06:10:32	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd5f8cc…
05-29 03:29:28	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x745176…
05-26 13:37:54	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x02f7a3…
05-25 21:32:12	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x80285b…
05-22 00:35:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xe69228…
05-20 21:42:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x48ea08…
05-18 16:21:10	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x6273db…
05-18 12:17:58	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xd8582b…
05-16 03:13:05	Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be less than 16,500,000?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x25a0d6…
05-11 17:04:01	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x8677cd…
05-11 05:26:03	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x13b409…
05-07 16:56:21	Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xdc5386…
05-05 00:48:14	Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x84944e…
05-04 18:48:36	Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x4bb253…
05-02 22:28:46	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Elon" or "Musk" this week?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x490e45…
04-27 08:27:46	Will "Roommates" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x19a61e…
04-21 05:36:14	cz binance of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 20 39	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x21bcf8…
04-16 18:30:22	will glm 5pt1 be the best ai model on april 17 2026	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xef10ed…
04-13 00:00:23	will trust me the false prophet be the 2 global netflix show this week	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x03bb9f…
04-09 15:45:25	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x49828b…
04-07 15:26:39	nyc mayor of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 20 39	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7152be…
04-06 17:55:09	nyc mayor of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 20 39	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x119d4a…
04-06 05:53:17	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2 259	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1d6cfd…
04-05 21:27:23	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2 259	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x72bb0e…
04-03 12:13:19	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x969bbb…
04-02 10:56:27	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd125e1…
04-01 06:22:47	will epstein data set 13 be released by march 31	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x80fb00…
03-30 16:00:55	ted cruz of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 160 179	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe02beb…
03-30 00:01:40	will epstein data set 13 be released by march 31	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd84253…
03-30 00:01:38	will russia enter malokaterynivka by march 31 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x662f7f…
03-27 16:07:21	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3b2127…
03-27 15:00:53	white house of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 180 199	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x168f85…
03-26 14:39:33	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x64dd76…
03-19 16:40:11	highest temperature in madrid on march 19 2026 20c	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x72afcf…
03-19 15:09:25	highest temperature in madrid on march 19 2026 20c	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xeb46bb…
03-19 15:09:21	highest temperature in taipei on march 20 2026 27c	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x3eae8b…
03-19 07:45:17	highest temperature in chicago on march 19 2026 44 45f	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xdfae5e…
03-18 17:09:23	highest temperature in chicago on march 19 2026 44 45f	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xffa15f…
03-18 15:50:03	highest temperature in miami on march 18 2026 66 67f	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6d80c1…
03-18 08:52:21	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 18 2026 28c	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc89ac3…
03-18 08:45:53	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 18 2026 28c	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xb7ca9d…
03-17 16:17:27	highest temperature in miami on march 18 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x082498…
03-17 15:48:39	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfec3aa…
03-17 14:42:31	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 17 2026 28c	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe448c6…
03-17 09:01:43	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 17 2026 22c	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xc7718b…
03-17 03:00:57	highest temperature in wellington on march 17 2026 22c	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd34ccb…
03-16 18:00:53	highest temperature in wellington on march 17 2026 22c	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x0e9647…
03-16 15:38:07	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 17 2026 28c	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x0c5065…
03-16 13:21:19	highest temperature in paris on march 16 2026 14c	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xe925bd…
03-16 09:56:59	highest temperature in paris on march 16 2026 14c	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xea7664…
03-16 05:32:13	highest temperature in tokyo on march 16 2026 11c	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc76cea…
03-16 04:58:03	highest temperature in tokyo on march 16 2026 11c	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x216d49…
03-16 04:54:23	highest temperature in atlanta on march 16 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xca884c…
03-16 03:43:39	highest temperature in atlanta on march 16 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x627dc0…
03-15 21:59:01	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1644a2…
03-15 18:25:03	will reminders of him score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x214c6d…
03-15 18:20:03	will pearl be said during the valorant masters grand finals	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc112bf…
03-15 00:00:49	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xa30c57…
03-15 00:00:49	will reminders of him score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x80dcff…
03-15 00:00:49	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x33cd79…
03-14 06:41:15	will pearl be said during the valorant masters grand finals	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xdcb5d4…
03-13 12:31:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x21fb12…
03-13 06:21:45	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xcb4b65…
03-12 21:10:05	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xe28704…
03-12 00:01:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd3791e…
03-10 18:54:43	will jurassic world rebirth be the 2 us netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf671bf…
03-10 14:56:17	will bennie thompson be the democratic nominee for ms 02	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1d5af0…
03-10 13:11:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x96db4d…
03-10 06:01:01	will mrbeasts next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8dfcd2…
03-09 18:58:29	will bennie thompson be the democratic nominee for ms 02	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc808b8…
03-09 12:08:25	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 8 be between 2200000 and 2400000	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb51882…
03-09 00:01:15	will jurassic world rebirth be the 2 us netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd6268b…
03-07 19:29:49	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 8 be between 2200000 and 2400000	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb97821…
03-06 13:37:15	will the us add between 75k and 100k jobs in february	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x19a700…
03-05 21:58:15	will the us add between 75k and 100k jobs in february	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x70737a…
03-04 12:30:07	will starmer say mr speaker 15 times during the next prime ministers questions 268	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x33a86f…
03-03 08:34:05	will starmer say mr speaker 15 times during the next prime ministers questions 268	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x00872a…
03-02 10:52:19	highest temperature in toronto on march 2 2026 neg 7c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd69588…
03-02 10:25:25	highest temperature in ankara on march 2 2026 9c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x07aa2e…
03-01 13:37:09	highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 12c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x411bc3…
03-01 12:04:41	highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 12c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9a6dcd…
03-01 12:04:41	highest temperature in toronto on march 2 2026 neg 7c	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x411bb0…
03-01 12:04:39	highest temperature in ankara on march 2 2026 9c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x260467…
02-28 18:26:27	highest temperature in sao paulo on february 28 2026 27corhigher	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf49313…