Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$779

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

345

Trades

2,051

lifetime

Volume

$8.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-14

last 11-03 19:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% +$785

Other

0% 0% -$7

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 1142 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes		+13	$5	27¢	$3	-$2	11-03 19:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	141	$455	502	356	+146	Up	+$46	10-25 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	650	$392	563	211	+353	Up	+$211	10-25 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	21	$308	313	313	+0	Up	+$101	10-23 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	14	$282	216	216	+0	Down	+$22	10-25 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	28	$274	176	176	+0	Down	+$41	10-25 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	119	$215	344	204	+140	Down	+$4	10-25 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	16	$209	205	101	+104	Up	+$60	10-23 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	18	$185	167	167	+0	Up	-$3	10-25 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	16	$173	169	169	+0	Down	+$10	10-25 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	12	$172	177	97	+80	Down	+$29	10-25 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	81	$156	187	116	+71	Up	+$28	11-01 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	11	$153	143	113	+31	Down	+$81	11-01 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	8	$148	201	88	+113	Up	+$37	10-17 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$120	78	78	+0	Up	+$34	10-24 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	6	$119	78	78	+0	Down	+$16	10-25 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	30	$119	94	94	+0	Down	+$24	10-23 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	16	$108	98	98	+0	Down	-$15	10-24 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	10	$107	185	18	+168	Up	-$1	10-17 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	7	$107	193	132	+61	Down	-$19	10-25 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	28	$103	81	59	+22	Down	+$23	10-17 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	9	$101	97	47	+50	Up	+$34	10-25 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	5	$98	74	54	+20	Down	+$19	11-01 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	10	$93	103	26	+77	Up	+$30	10-17 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	3	$87	51	51	+0	Up	+$8	10-17 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	6	$86	69	69	+0	Up	+$51	10-23 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	14	$85	53	53	+0	Down	+$9	10-25 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	7	$85	69	42	+27	Up	+$17	10-23 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	12	$85	77	53	+24	Down	+$20	10-23 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$80	82	71	+10	Up	-$7	10-25 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	11	$75	51	50	+1	Up	+$17	10-25 08:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 19:41:33	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x03ec0b…
11-01 16:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xf49bcb…
11-01 16:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0xde9092…
11-01 16:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	24	90¢	$21	0xc9f7a8…
11-01 16:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	41	90¢	$37	0x4eb56c…
11-01 16:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x35fe40…
11-01 16:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbaf14c…
11-01 16:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x9b4398…
11-01 16:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x965e0b…
11-01 16:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x01caf8…
11-01 16:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	54	35¢	$19	0xfae9a3…
11-01 16:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	59	35¢	$21	0xcf1e50…
11-01 15:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	54	90¢	$49	0x15394a…
11-01 15:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0x0b68f7…
11-01 15:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0xd13f40…
11-01 15:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xb15a99…
11-01 15:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc43d73…
11-01 15:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	73¢	$15	0xf8690e…
11-01 15:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xe632bf…
11-01 15:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x5c4ec3…
11-01 15:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x95ac41…
11-01 15:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x786a33…
11-01 15:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	61	56¢	$34	0x315295…
11-01 15:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x8ba4b3…
11-01 15:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x71cf50…
11-01 15:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xf43728…
11-01 15:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x97abc4…
11-01 15:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	33	43¢	$14	0xbc57de…
11-01 15:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xe9f101…
11-01 15:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xdd7293…
11-01 15:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xadbf5e…
11-01 15:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0xa98bc9…
11-01 15:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x962451…
11-01 15:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xd8d8aa…
11-01 15:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x825433…
11-01 15:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x56ca3e…
11-01 15:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xf23091…
11-01 15:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xadc348…
11-01 15:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x75f74b…
11-01 15:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xe32626…
11-01 15:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x43060d…
11-01 15:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x224967…
11-01 15:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x08c1f8…
11-01 15:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xbfe572…
11-01 15:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xb6488c…
11-01 15:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x4da3e1…
11-01 15:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x16d999…
11-01 15:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xcd2581…
11-01 15:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x9fd826…
11-01 15:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0x470539…
11-01 15:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xeeb6fc…
11-01 15:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x5957ba…
11-01 15:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x464cb9…
11-01 15:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x3621ee…
11-01 15:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xe9dc09…
11-01 15:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0xc3828c…
11-01 15:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x9f9165…
11-01 15:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x9f6a76…
11-01 15:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xd3ca8e…
11-01 15:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x7d9a34…
11-01 15:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xff5d18…
11-01 15:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0xef9cc0…
11-01 15:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xe28714…
11-01 15:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x40fce0…
11-01 15:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x3e3170…
11-01 15:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x3c6b76…
11-01 15:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x821fd9…
11-01 15:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xf74846…
11-01 15:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x82c1e8…
11-01 15:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x4bfcb6…
11-01 15:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x0d647a…
11-01 15:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x7bfea7…
11-01 15:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x2427b1…
11-01 15:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x7ba573…
11-01 15:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x3711b4…
11-01 15:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xf8faa0…
11-01 15:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x9ae56f…
11-01 15:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x673d57…
11-01 15:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x5f2acc…
11-01 15:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x694b4e…
11-01 15:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x650464…
11-01 15:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x5812e5…
11-01 15:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xf1e1b9…
11-01 15:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xbaab39…
11-01 15:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xb945ee…
11-01 15:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x31363e…
11-01 15:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xc5b950…
11-01 15:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x5aca3e…
11-01 15:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x042a8a…
11-01 15:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x00d46a…
11-01 15:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x1ae0b1…
11-01 15:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x08b5bf…
11-01 15:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x44e45c…
11-01 15:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0xe800ea…
11-01 15:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x351a03…
11-01 15:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1de142…
11-01 15:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	61	52¢	$32	0x62bfea…
11-01 15:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2b340a…
11-01 14:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8d93a4…
11-01 14:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1ac34a…