Scornful-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

Trades

211

lifetime

Volume

$77.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$369

Open exposure

$45

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-14 03:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Politics

41% 80% +$9

Crypto

22% 94% +$24

Sports

19% 38% +$1,081

Other

18% 90% +$32

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	-19	-$18	98¢	$-18	$0	06-16 01:25
Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	-18	-$13	86¢	$-15	-$2	07-22 01:41
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	+12	$12	100¢	$12	$0	10-14 03:13
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+0	-$2	99¢	$0	+$2	05-06 22:32
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	07-16 14:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$7.4K	3,787	3,787	+0	No	-$1	03-14 10:44
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	7	$6.6K	3,369	3,369	-0	open	—	05-23 02:33
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	8	$4.3K	2,170	2,170	+0	open	—	05-14 08:39
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$4.2K	2,123	2,123	+0	No	-$2	03-12 13:36
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	1	$3.3K	3,333	0	+3,333	No	+$3	05-26 01:35
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3.3K	1,666	1,666	+0	open	—	05-12 01:55
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$3.2K	3,232	0	+3,232	No	+$3	04-22 05:05
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	9	$3.2K	1,623	1,623	+0	open	—	05-06 22:32
will silver si hit high 150 by end of march	1	$2.8K	2,818	0	+2,818	No	+$8	03-24 06:48
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	5	$2.5K	1,271	1,271	+0	open	—	05-26 06:54
nba cha sas 2026 03 14	1	$2.5K	3,560	0	+3,560	Spurs	+$1,104	03-14 10:47
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	12	$2.3K	1,177	1,177	+0	open	—	07-16 14:23
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$2.3K	1,182	1,182	+0	open	—	05-15 09:23
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	7	$2.3K	1,151	1,151	+0	No	+$1	05-09 16:38
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2.3K	1,155	1,155	+0	open	—	05-08 01:49
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$2.3K	2,254	0	+2,254	No	+$2	03-24 06:48
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$2.2K	1,115	1,115	+0	open	—	05-13 14:32
will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	1	$2.2K	2,211	0	+2,211	No	+$4	02-25 01:40
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$2.1K	1,036	1,036	+0	open	—	05-22 06:09
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	3	$2.1K	1,035	1,035	+0	No	-$1	03-17 04:23
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	21	$1.7K	866	866	+0	No	+$0	03-16 02:09
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	4	$1.6K	824	824	+0	No	+$1	02-16 15:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	4	$1.2K	615	551	+64	No	+$1	05-26 01:36
will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	1	$1.1K	1,110	0	+1,110	No	+$2	02-25 01:39
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	1	$1.1K	1,106	0	+1,106	No	+$2	02-25 01:15
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$694	0	700	-700	No	-$6	02-24 07:45
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	1	$521	523	0	+523	No	+$2	01-22 02:53
will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	1	$454	454	0	+454	No	+$0	03-30 08:59
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	1	$409	410	0	+410	No	+$1	05-22 06:16
will solana dip to 50 in january 2026	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	01-22 02:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 03:13:46	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0ad7a3…
09-29 14:30:41	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xf99245…
09-29 03:47:09	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x2b27e2…
09-29 03:46:44	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xbb8ae6…
08-27 20:25:09	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$112	0xe1bcd5…
08-24 12:07:30	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x5f8f5b…
07-22 01:43:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x02f612…
07-22 01:41:55	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0x10987e…
07-16 14:23:05	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x63b302…
07-16 14:14:02	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb0a2ab…
07-16 14:09:29	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	180	99¢	$179	0xfca3cc…
07-16 14:07:13	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xdc8845…
07-16 14:06:20	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$169	0x5cc0b8…
07-16 13:26:31	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x1660ed…
07-16 13:22:41	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xe08ad6…
07-16 13:15:40	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$169	0x1cafcd…
07-16 12:38:44	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	190	99¢	$188	0xe9b0f6…
07-16 12:29:22	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x548fac…
07-16 12:22:16	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x82cb6e…
07-05 02:53:05	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xfc85ae…
06-16 01:28:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x92a0e8…
06-16 01:25:19	Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xa1a9b2…
06-05 09:21:13	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	23	89¢	$20	0x24961e…
06-05 09:19:18	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,177	99¢	$1,168	0x5d08eb…
05-26 06:54:27	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	213	98¢	$209	0x9f2696…
05-26 04:43:36	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	510	98¢	$500	0x3556a1…
05-26 04:40:45	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	505	98¢	$495	0xd0da92…
05-26 04:40:45	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xbef5bf…
05-26 01:36:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x303970…
05-26 01:35:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xab9cf6…
05-26 01:35:36	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	3,333	100¢	$3,330	0x006ce9…
05-26 01:34:41	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	361	100¢	$361	0x9b04c2…
05-23 02:33:54	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	424	99¢	$418	0xf9e15e…
05-23 02:32:41	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	954	99¢	$942	0x598023…
05-23 02:19:51	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	506	99¢	$499	0xb4ac02…
05-23 02:18:29	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	984	99¢	$971	0x167862…
05-23 02:16:47	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	434	99¢	$428	0x099cf0…
05-23 02:14:53	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	67	99¢	$67	0x6f3c8a…
05-22 11:42:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	551	100¢	$550	0x054fae…
05-22 06:16:45	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	410	100¢	$409	0x9e1e53…
05-22 06:16:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	511	100¢	$509	0x89b541…
05-22 06:15:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xbf3ae2…
05-22 06:14:32	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3,369	99¢	$3,322	0x823a91…
05-22 06:14:23	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,271	98¢	$1,244	0xa91878…
05-22 06:09:12	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,036	99¢	$1,028	0x3850a8…
05-15 09:23:06	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,182	99¢	$1,166	0x287b25…
05-14 08:39:04	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	670	99¢	$665	0x11e780…
05-14 08:26:53	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe42d53…
05-14 08:23:19	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	710	99¢	$705	0x3cacfd…
05-14 08:14:24	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xfd8cd5…
05-14 08:04:36	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x53feb3…
05-14 07:36:32	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xaf4b0e…
05-14 03:56:34	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	687	99¢	$682	0x81825d…
05-13 14:32:16	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,115	99¢	$1,106	0x91d7f3…
05-13 07:22:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x859be4…
05-12 02:25:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x5ab82c…
05-12 02:24:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xe0f214…
05-12 02:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb2fc18…
05-12 02:02:27	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,182	99¢	$1,165	0x81756e…
05-12 02:01:35	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,115	99¢	$1,105	0x9c2793…
05-12 02:00:49	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x538d09…
05-12 01:58:40	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,036	99¢	$1,028	0x557d75…
05-12 01:57:37	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2,170	99¢	$2,153	0x5135b0…
05-12 01:55:10	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,666	99¢	$1,649	0xd6b126…
05-09 16:38:05	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	467	100¢	$466	0x92fa9a…
05-09 15:31:43	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0x4f616e…
05-09 14:07:05	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x6a6263…
05-09 14:02:27	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xa2ad16…
05-09 14:02:27	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x8439ad…
05-09 14:02:25	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x611f2f…
05-08 01:49:01	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,155	99¢	$1,145	0xbd53a0…
05-06 22:32:58	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0xf544c7…
05-06 22:16:01	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	156	99¢	$154	0xef466c…
05-06 22:14:02	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1b7ee6…
05-06 21:42:34	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb748dc…
05-06 21:38:59	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xad3fcf…
05-06 20:57:57	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x06799d…
05-06 20:31:43	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x06b063…
05-06 20:21:15	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,296	99¢	$1,281	0xd7ee54…
05-05 01:57:38	Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x3fe10c…
05-05 01:56:54	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xd32c8b…
05-05 01:56:04	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,666	99¢	$1,649	0x9dd86c…
05-05 01:55:20	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,623	99¢	$1,602	0x4a08b9…
05-05 01:53:42	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,151	100¢	$1,148	0x01e915…
05-05 01:38:26	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,155	99¢	$1,143	0x1c2272…
04-22 05:07:16	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbd5872…
04-22 05:06:42	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe9cc33…
04-22 05:05:48	Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x2c6374…
04-22 05:05:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	3,232	100¢	$3,229	0x445808…
04-17 10:22:52	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x5f40c6…
04-14 08:01:51	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	320	99¢	$316	0x7cde31…
04-14 06:18:37	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x98104c…
04-14 06:17:39	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7ee277…
04-14 06:17:35	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0x20b2b8…
04-14 06:17:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x4235b4…
04-14 06:16:27	Will Gabriela Saporito win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2e20a2…
04-14 06:15:41	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e29ae…
04-09 14:25:41	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 320 339	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0deef9…
04-09 14:22:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xf28520…
03-30 08:59:54	will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	No	BUY	454	100¢	$454	0x7c4b2e…