Perfect-Downstairs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

38.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$709

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$165

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	+72	$34	99¢	$71	+$37	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	+62	$32	66¢	$41	+$9	05-05 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	+90	$42	44¢	$39	$-2	05-05 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	+85	$50	16¢	$14	$-36	05-05 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	+28	$5	1¢	$0	$-4	05-05 22:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$54	174	+174	Up	$-54	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$52	100	+100	open	—	05-05 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$51	100	+100	Down	$-51	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$49	105	+105	open	—	05-05 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$44	83	+83	open	—	05-05 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$42	90	+90	open	—	05-05 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$39	100	+100	open	—	05-05 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$37	61	+61	open	—	05-05 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$37	63	+63	Down	+$26	05-05 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$36	71	+71	open	—	05-05 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$32	62	+62	open	—	05-05 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$30	60	+60	Down	+$30	05-05 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$26	59	+59	open	—	05-05 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$24	54	+54	open	—	05-05 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$20	41	+41	open	—	05-05 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$20	40	+40	Up	$-20	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$14	29	+29	open	—	05-05 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$12	26	+26	open	—	05-05 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$10	22	+22	Down	+$11	05-05 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$8	29	+29	Up	+$21	05-04 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$7	99	+99	Up	$-7	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$6	19	+19	open	—	05-05 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$4	48	+48	open	—	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$4	21	+21	open	—	05-05 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$3	18	+18	Down	$-3	05-04 20:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xb0d25f…
05-05 23:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	65	59¢	$38	0x37e1b5…
05-05 22:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x4f3f0f…
05-05 22:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	66	46¢	$30	0x029995…
05-05 22:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	51¢	$32	0x384363…
05-05 22:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x1cea5d…
05-05 22:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	63	47¢	$30	0x107d4d…
05-05 22:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x655742…
05-05 21:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xad54f7…
05-05 21:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0xb0c4ae…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	71	50¢	$36	0x41657c…
05-05 16:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	59	43¢	$26	0x612729…
05-05 16:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x9cf234…
05-05 16:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0xaba36a…
05-05 15:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0xef2c44…
05-05 15:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x5d1872…
05-05 15:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0xc2cae4…
05-05 14:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9880d5…
05-05 14:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x75545a…
05-05 14:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0x438b8c…
05-05 13:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	61	60¢	$37	0x1a126a…
05-05 13:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0xab9e42…
05-05 07:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x834ba6…
05-05 07:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x11f701…
05-05 06:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	83	53¢	$44	0x44ffe7…
05-05 05:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x214db1…
05-05 05:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x1d140f…
05-05 04:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	63	58¢	$37	0xe71cdf…
05-05 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xb22755…
05-05 01:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x649982…
05-05 01:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x353daf…
05-05 01:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x5d6199…
05-05 01:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6c2543…
05-05 01:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x9b339f…
05-05 01:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x238ed2…
05-04 20:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x894068…
05-04 20:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x6fe9a5…
05-04 20:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x0a253c…
05-04 20:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	99	7¢	$7	0x510602…
05-04 20:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x8e3ee0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	24	$1.35K	113	05-05 23:00
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	24	$839	72	05-05 23:00
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	23	$3.63K	121	05-05 22:20
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	22	$4.80K	94	05-05 23:00
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	22	$1.50K	77	05-05 23:00
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	22	$1.42K	73	05-05 23:00
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	18	$2.04K	40	05-05 23:00
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	16	$1.93K	58	05-05 23:00