Shiny-Intervention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$2.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-23 05:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$0

Crypto

45% 100% +$0

Politics

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?	3	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	05-02 18:32
bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	06-26 17:10
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	5	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	05-31 21:53
ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	3	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	07-22 20:02
ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	07-23 07:35
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-15 19:00
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-26 17:40
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	06-06 12:56
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 22c	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 08:21
xrp above 1pt7 on april 22	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-22 01:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	06-02 05:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-16 16:22
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 17c	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-17 18:53
highest temperature in milan on april 17 2026 28corhigher	4	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 18:55
highest temperature in warsaw on april 21 2026 18corhigher	3	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 07:24
highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 30c	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 11:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	3	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-27 10:05
highest temperature in dallas on april 17 2026 90 91f	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-17 23:14
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	05-10 00:09
highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 16corhigher	5	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 03:13
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	05-30 11:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-26 08:29
highest temperature in ankara on april 18 2026 13c	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 11:44
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 25?	2	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	05-25 06:32
ethereum above 2000 on july 8 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	07-07 18:38
highest temperature in atlanta on april 21 2026 88 89f	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	04-21 13:53
bitcoin above 60k on july 21 2026	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	07-20 23:45
will gerb sds win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by any margin	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-18 11:29
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 18c	4	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	04-18 06:19
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 31corhigher	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	04-19 11:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 07:35:21	ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x408f5d…
07-23 05:14:21	ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7c4508…
07-22 20:02:31	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x597ad8…
07-22 19:54:03	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb94be1…
07-22 19:37:00	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd1b884…
07-20 23:45:54	bitcoin above 60k on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb66170…
07-20 16:24:39	bitcoin above 60k on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6ca9a5…
07-20 03:06:21	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 19	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe65529…
07-11 04:00:37	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe3028a…
07-11 04:00:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x944ad0…
07-10 13:22:29	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xa119de…
07-07 18:38:25	ethereum above 2000 on july 8 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8ab1fe…
07-07 12:11:14	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 7	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9e2c16…
06-26 17:10:40	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x674b09…
06-26 15:12:47	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x75b2b4…
06-06 12:56:21	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x559f4c…
06-05 20:50:43	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x66480d…
06-02 05:08:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xfd3cbf…
06-01 17:49:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x07cd0c…
06-01 05:33:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x630b0b…
06-01 01:17:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac8a08…
05-31 21:53:08	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x04c143…
05-31 19:51:25	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x450fc7…
05-31 19:33:10	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x25a6f6…
05-31 10:01:18	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x10827c…
05-31 02:33:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2bdec8…
05-30 23:40:57	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd4f2c5…
05-30 22:51:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x63346f…
05-30 16:07:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2df166…
05-30 15:40:27	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3c2a45…
05-30 11:34:49	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xfa8116…
05-29 22:09:51	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x211164…
05-29 16:30:17	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfd42d8…
05-27 10:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaa013d…
05-27 10:04:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8605b0…
05-27 09:28:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf1b0a8…
05-27 04:47:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd107c1…
05-26 21:49:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf8262…
05-26 17:40:27	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x211856…
05-26 12:15:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xc8af63…
05-26 08:29:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0b0603…
05-26 08:10:36	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0xe4d153…
05-26 07:58:56	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x32f1c7…
05-26 03:21:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb2d36a…
05-25 18:40:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x76bdf5…
05-25 09:08:51	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x00cd93…
05-25 06:32:44	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 25?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9363d9…
05-24 21:52:01	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6fd8ab…
05-21 18:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa13084…
05-21 13:26:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x16e544…
05-19 20:10:03	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x189d46…
05-19 04:34:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc3657f…
05-17 18:22:24	Will G2 Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfefa44…
05-16 19:24:42	Will G2 Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8b66be…
05-16 16:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb0da65…
05-16 05:41:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x124406…
05-10 12:23:39	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0a1ba7…
05-10 12:08:25	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x56e148…
05-10 10:26:41	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c3b07…
05-10 00:13:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 10?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x18bd2e…
05-10 00:09:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xaf9f0d…
05-09 23:10:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x83c08a…
05-09 19:20:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x034ebb…
05-02 18:41:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd6b088…
05-02 18:32:20	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x9075fe…
05-01 22:58:06	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xb4de74…
05-01 21:10:56	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc380e3…
05-01 04:48:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaa9af5…
04-29 21:39:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc5d8bb…
04-29 10:19:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78e630…
04-27 15:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x502420…
04-27 07:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x298b65…
04-27 06:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3bdf2b…
04-26 12:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C on April 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9dc960…
04-26 08:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3c4ad7…
04-26 06:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfedf73…
04-24 21:58:58	Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa42af9…
04-24 21:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb481e5…
04-24 18:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe6ff77…
04-24 13:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8220f1…
04-24 10:36:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on April 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34e261…
04-24 10:28:14	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 24 2026 33c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeacf42…
04-24 08:50:30	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 10c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa966a5…
04-24 08:21:46	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 22c	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb9e36b…
04-24 06:29:56	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 22c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe1e70b…
04-23 16:37:36	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 24 2026 33c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd781a2…
04-23 08:19:52	highest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 19c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3139e4…
04-23 01:35:10	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe33cc2…
04-22 23:29:10	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b54d2…
04-22 22:24:34	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x02ca29…
04-22 20:25:46	highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x10e1f4…
04-22 18:24:32	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 30c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb2f980…
04-22 14:41:34	will bitcoin dip to 72k on april 22	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x77d941…
04-22 13:37:06	highest temperature in seattle on april 22 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x66fab0…
04-22 05:45:04	highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 32c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x23f5bf…
04-22 05:42:52	highest temperature in austin on april 22 2026 66 67f	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf4d522…
04-22 03:40:52	highest temperature in seattle on april 22 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9a93dd…
04-22 03:13:02	highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 16corhigher	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf7575e…
04-22 03:10:58	highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 16corhigher	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf9553e…
04-22 03:10:58	highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 16corhigher	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf22407…