Shiny-Intervention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$3.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 08-11 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 100% +$0

Other

46% 100% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xauusd reach 4400 by july 27 2026	3	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	07-31 05:30
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?	3	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	05-02 18:32
bitcoin above 70k on july 25 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	07-24 14:05
ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	07-25 13:37
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	07-25 03:55
will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	07-27 00:08
bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	06-26 17:10
bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	07-24 14:31
xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	07-26 02:10
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	5	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	05-31 21:53
ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	07-26 08:47
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	07-27 08:11
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in july 2026 20260626153701908	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	07-31 03:43
ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	3	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	07-22 20:02
will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	2	$41	20	20	+0	open	—	07-23 21:15
ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	07-23 07:35
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-15 19:00
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-26 17:40
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	06-06 12:56
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 22c	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 08:21
xrp above 1pt7 on april 22	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-22 01:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	06-02 05:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-16 16:22
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 17c	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-17 18:53
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	2	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	07-31 18:47
highest temperature in milan on april 17 2026 28corhigher	4	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 18:55
highest temperature in warsaw on april 21 2026 18corhigher	3	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 07:24
highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 30c	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 11:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	3	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-27 10:05
bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	08-11 13:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 13:48:37	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa932ab…
08-10 13:26:19	wti closes above 73 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x96fc27…
08-07 11:35:27	will open reach 5 50 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xefa0ba…
08-07 09:11:37	will spy dip to 715 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x327400…
08-06 00:28:41	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xca3dff…
08-05 12:18:15	xrp above 1pt2 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd0cfd7…
07-31 18:47:30	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd7ffa8…
07-31 05:30:51	will xauusd reach 4400 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xdc4143…
07-31 03:54:41	will xauusd reach 4400 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc5a4d5…
07-31 03:43:33	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in july 2026 20260626153701908	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x8fdab3…
07-30 19:47:44	will xauusd reach 4400 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x348963…
07-30 18:18:14	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in july 2026 20260626153701908	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4c91b4…
07-30 15:41:38	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x683adf…
07-30 15:28:26	will russia capture myropillia by july 31	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x051d60…
07-30 14:07:11	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefee25…
07-30 11:54:59	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x483d97…
07-30 11:30:03	will russia capture myropillia by july 31	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x359622…
07-30 09:39:23	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa9fc3b…
07-30 09:21:12	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x30b474…
07-30 07:55:21	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x587d67…
07-29 21:23:23	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9e36b4…
07-29 16:42:00	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa4b3a8…
07-27 08:11:15	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0d85c0…
07-27 00:08:57	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x8ad342…
07-26 23:19:19	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xced70b…
07-26 16:49:46	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xdc700a…
07-26 08:47:51	ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf3e82f…
07-26 02:10:39	xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xd9cd76…
07-25 23:34:39	xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x2358f5…
07-25 22:26:51	ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa615db…
07-25 13:37:19	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x51ca7c…
07-25 10:22:07	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x58d6b2…
07-25 03:55:48	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	33	100¢	$32	0xe2273e…
07-24 21:40:06	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x0c15ec…
07-24 19:10:27	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 24	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x984d9f…
07-24 17:13:01	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 24	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x32ae6f…
07-24 14:31:09	bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x4704e6…
07-24 14:05:58	bitcoin above 70k on july 25 2026	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x253780…
07-24 09:51:48	bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x589756…
07-24 03:39:34	bitcoin above 70k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x81b93a…
07-23 21:15:37	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0d9c64…
07-23 20:01:16	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x95e1e2…
07-23 07:35:21	ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x408f5d…
07-23 05:14:21	ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7c4508…
07-22 20:02:31	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x597ad8…
07-22 19:54:03	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb94be1…
07-22 19:37:00	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd1b884…
07-20 23:45:54	bitcoin above 60k on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb66170…
07-20 16:24:39	bitcoin above 60k on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6ca9a5…
07-20 03:06:21	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 19	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe65529…
07-11 04:00:37	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe3028a…
07-11 04:00:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x944ad0…
07-10 13:22:29	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xa119de…
07-07 18:38:25	ethereum above 2000 on july 8 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8ab1fe…
07-07 12:11:14	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 7	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9e2c16…
06-26 17:10:40	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x674b09…
06-26 15:12:47	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x75b2b4…
06-06 12:56:21	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x559f4c…
06-05 20:50:43	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x66480d…
06-02 05:08:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xfd3cbf…
06-01 17:49:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x07cd0c…
06-01 05:33:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x630b0b…
06-01 01:17:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac8a08…
05-31 21:53:08	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x04c143…
05-31 19:51:25	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x450fc7…
05-31 19:33:10	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x25a6f6…
05-31 10:01:18	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x10827c…
05-31 02:33:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2bdec8…
05-30 23:40:57	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd4f2c5…
05-30 22:51:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x63346f…
05-30 16:07:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2df166…
05-30 15:40:27	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3c2a45…
05-30 11:34:49	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xfa8116…
05-29 22:09:51	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x211164…
05-29 16:30:17	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfd42d8…
05-27 10:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaa013d…
05-27 10:04:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8605b0…
05-27 09:28:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf1b0a8…
05-27 04:47:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd107c1…
05-26 21:49:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf8262…
05-26 17:40:27	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x211856…
05-26 12:15:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xc8af63…
05-26 08:29:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0b0603…
05-26 08:10:36	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0xe4d153…
05-26 07:58:56	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x32f1c7…
05-26 03:21:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb2d36a…
05-25 18:40:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x76bdf5…
05-25 09:08:51	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x00cd93…
05-25 06:32:44	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 25?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9363d9…
05-24 21:52:01	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6fd8ab…
05-21 18:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa13084…
05-21 13:26:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x16e544…
05-19 20:10:03	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x189d46…
05-19 04:34:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc3657f…
05-17 18:22:24	Will G2 Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfefa44…
05-16 19:24:42	Will G2 Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8b66be…
05-16 16:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb0da65…
05-16 05:41:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x124406…
05-10 12:23:39	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0a1ba7…
05-10 12:08:25	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x56e148…