Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?
open
Total volume
$3,039
Trades
154
Unique wallets
59
Liquidity
$159
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-01
First seen
2026-05-19
last 06-01 17:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $2 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $3 | $168 | $165 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $5 | $795 | $790 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | $35 | $33 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $2 | $584 | $583 |
| Median | 26 | — | $386 | $386 |
| Below median | 6 | $4 | $151 | $147 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | $604 | $603 |
| unranked | 15 | $3 | $651 | $648 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +806 | $2 | $2 | 25 | 05-31 07:43 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +606 | $604 | $604 | 8 | 06-01 03:14 |
| Buoyant-Friendship 0x567e…e2d2 | No | +355 | $353 | $353 | 3 | 05-29 14:23 |
| Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | +350 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-29 14:23 |
| Agitated-Rancher 0xb6c2…4708 | No | +287 | $286 | $286 | 1 | 05-29 10:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x371d…1437 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-31 19:33 |
| Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 06-01 00:00 |
| Demanding-Steel 0x89d9…5136 | No | +147 | $144 | $144 | 3 | 05-19 02:15 |
| New-Debtor 0xd56d…12a9 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $3 | 4 | 05-29 10:21 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $-1 | $4 | 3 | 05-29 10:21 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 05-31 19:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +97 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-19 02:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xf479…8a9b | Yes | +60 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-24 09:27 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +45 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-31 15:05 |
| Informal-Cohesion 0xb23d…86d2 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 06-01 03:54 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 16:33 |
| Tempting-Macaroon 0x914d…e1e2 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-25 16:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-01 17:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 19:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 19:33 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 19:33 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 19:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 19:33 |
| Likely-Shield 0x680d…4fbb | No | +9 | $9 | $47 | 3 | 06-01 01:11 |
| Some-Oasis 0x2e22…1248 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-31 22:52 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-27 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 19:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 17:47:13 | Failing-Patina 0x8d40…7831 | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xb44990… |
| 06-01 17:47:13 | (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xb44990… |
| 06-01 08:29:10 | Yummy-Navigation 0xdb35…da92 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xbb9710… |
| 06-01 08:29:10 | (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xbb9710… |
| 06-01 03:54:46 | Informal-Cohesion 0xb23d…86d2 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x7adb78… |
| 06-01 03:54:46 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x7adb78… |
| 06-01 03:54:27 | Reasonable-Village 0xc73d…df63 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x2f86bf… |
| 06-01 03:54:27 | Miniature-Flight 0x5dac…7d8c | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x2f86bf… |
| 06-01 03:54:27 | Informal-Cohesion 0xb23d…86d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x2f86bf… |
| 06-01 03:54:27 | Free-Clamp 0x322b…f1a2 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2f86bf… |
| 06-01 03:14:54 | Costly-Papaya 0xbab7…c59c | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x89e89e… |
| 06-01 03:14:54 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x89e89e… |
| 06-01 03:14:54 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x89e89e… |
| 06-01 01:11:28 | Likely-Shield 0x680d…4fbb | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xb1157e… |
| 06-01 01:11:28 | Talkative-Gumshoe 0xbcf9…ba09 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb1157e… |
| 06-01 01:11:28 | Free-Clamp 0x322b…f1a2 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xb1157e… |
| 06-01 00:47:37 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xb9c1d9… |
| 06-01 00:47:37 | Unknown-Decongestant 0xf0d1…a7ab | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xb9c1d9… |
| 06-01 00:19:09 | Noted-Upper 0x37e5…0235 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x84ebd0… |
| 06-01 00:19:09 | Talkative-Gumshoe 0xbcf9…ba09 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x84ebd0… |
| 06-01 00:19:09 | Costly-Papaya 0xbab7…c59c | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x84ebd0… |
| 06-01 00:00:20 | Flustered-Chassis 0xfe26…063e | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x903922… |
| 06-01 00:00:20 | Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x903922… |
| 06-01 00:00:20 | Ornate-Disparity 0x12dd…cc79 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x903922… |
| 06-01 00:00:20 | Noted-Upper 0x37e5…0235 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x903922… |
| 06-01 00:00:20 | Dependent-Antler 0x2e69…908e | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x903922… |
| 06-01 00:00:20 | Each-Bake 0xdef8…8615 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x903922… |
| 06-01 00:00:20 | Likely-Shield 0x680d…4fbb | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x903922… |
| 06-01 00:00:20 | Usable-Steam 0x107b…7cb0 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x903922… |
| 06-01 00:00:20 | Villainous-Billing 0x59e6…c4d4 | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x903922… |
| 06-01 00:00:20 | Thirsty-Adrenaline 0x6413…278f | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x903922… |
| 06-01 00:00:20 | Fussy-Technologist 0x6b1b…3f6d | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x903922… |
| 06-01 00:00:20 | Demanding-Classification 0x237e…3cbb | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x903922… |
| 05-31 23:53:39 | Miniature-Flight 0x5dac…7d8c | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xa80786… |
| 05-31 23:53:39 | Beloved-Arrest 0x5c56…b931 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa80786… |
| 05-31 23:53:39 | Flustered-Chassis 0xfe26…063e | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xa80786… |
| 05-31 22:56:48 | Beloved-Arrest 0x5c56…b931 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x201fb0… |
| 05-31 22:56:48 | Free-Clamp 0x322b…f1a2 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x201fb0… |
| 05-31 22:52:21 | Beloved-Arrest 0x5c56…b931 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x827d98… |
| 05-31 22:52:21 | Optimal-Scrap 0x271d…78dc | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x827d98… |
| 05-31 22:52:21 | Some-Oasis 0x2e22…1248 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x827d98… |
| 05-31 21:53:08 | Optimal-Scrap 0x271d…78dc | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x04c143… |
| 05-31 21:53:08 | Failing-Patina 0x8d40…7831 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x04c143… |
| 05-31 21:53:08 | Shiny-Intervention 0x664b…57b6 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x04c143… |
| 05-31 19:51:25 | Shiny-Intervention 0x664b…57b6 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x450fc7… |
| 05-31 19:51:25 | Yummy-Navigation 0xdb35…da92 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x450fc7… |
| 05-31 19:33:10 | Detailed-Outrigger 0xe160…fb2a | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x25a6f6… |
| 05-31 19:33:10 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25a6f6… |
| 05-31 19:33:10 | (anonymous) 0x371d…1437 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x25a6f6… |
| 05-31 19:33:10 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25a6f6… |
| 05-31 19:33:10 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25a6f6… |
| 05-31 19:33:10 | Distinct-Coverall 0x1ca6…01a6 | No | SELL | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x25a6f6… |
| 05-31 19:33:10 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25a6f6… |
| 05-31 19:33:10 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25a6f6… |
| 05-31 19:33:10 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25a6f6… |
| 05-31 19:33:10 | Shiny-Intervention 0x664b…57b6 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x25a6f6… |
| 05-31 19:33:10 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25a6f6… |
| 05-31 19:32:28 | Reasonable-Village 0xc73d…df63 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x83be0e… |
| 05-31 19:32:28 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x83be0e… |
| 05-31 19:17:55 | Official-Handsaw 0x07be…72fb | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x30e738… |
| 05-31 19:17:55 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x30e738… |
| 05-31 17:14:25 | Dependent-Antler 0x2e69…908e | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x15dc83… |
| 05-31 17:14:25 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x15dc83… |
| 05-31 15:05:46 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97132f… |
| 05-31 15:05:46 | Unknown-Decongestant 0xf0d1…a7ab | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x97132f… |
| 05-31 15:05:46 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97132f… |
| 05-31 13:58:11 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xc95f87… |
| 05-31 13:58:11 | Weekly-Eyeliner 0x7a9c…aba3 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xc95f87… |
| 05-31 11:23:50 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd9a4d6… |
| 05-31 11:23:50 | Noted-Upper 0x37e5…0235 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xd9a4d6… |
| 05-31 08:58:42 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x77a648… |
| 05-31 08:58:42 | Official-Handsaw 0x07be…72fb | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x77a648… |
| 05-31 08:42:24 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x906bc2… |
| 05-31 08:42:24 | Far-Servitude 0x4090…5bba | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x906bc2… |
| 05-31 07:43:48 | Scrawny-Codepage 0xecbc…0a20 | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xb14747… |
| 05-31 07:43:48 | Weekly-Eyeliner 0x7a9c…aba3 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xb14747… |
| 05-31 07:43:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 367 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb14747… |
| 05-31 07:43:48 | Moral-Slider 0x5905…4b69 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb14747… |
| 05-31 07:43:48 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 441 | 100¢ | $440 | 0xb14747… |
| 05-31 07:43:48 | Klutzy-Cliff 0x5405…5f95 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb14747… |
| 05-31 07:43:48 | Voluminous-Barstool 0xb531…2612 | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xb14747… |
| 05-31 07:43:10 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xc21e3f… |
| 05-31 07:43:10 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc21e3f… |
| 05-31 07:13:35 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x987c47… |
| 05-31 07:13:35 | Flustered-Chassis 0xfe26…063e | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x987c47… |
| 05-31 06:56:58 | Ornate-Disparity 0x12dd…cc79 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x27f27d… |
| 05-31 06:56:58 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x27f27d… |
| 05-31 06:32:33 | Thirsty-Adrenaline 0x6413…278f | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xa18e0d… |
| 05-31 06:32:33 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa18e0d… |
| 05-31 06:29:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x223c11… |
| 05-31 06:29:06 | Beloved-Arrest 0x5c56…b931 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x223c11… |
| 05-31 04:41:22 | Beloved-Arrest 0x5c56…b931 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x57a5dc… |
| 05-31 04:41:22 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x57a5dc… |
| 05-31 02:20:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca42bb… |
| 05-31 02:20:19 | Weekly-Eyeliner 0x7a9c…aba3 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xca42bb… |
| 05-31 02:09:31 | Usable-Steam 0x107b…7cb0 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x97f203… |
| 05-31 02:09:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97f203… |
| 05-31 01:58:44 | Each-Bake 0xdef8…8615 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x63b97f… |
| 05-31 01:58:44 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x63b97f… |
| 05-31 01:49:34 | Far-Servitude 0x4090…5bba | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x1400d2… |