Tempting-Macaroon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$310

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.7%

Resolved

301

Trades

883

lifetime

Volume

$44.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-09 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

90% 87% -$387

Crypto

4% 100% +$42

Sports

3% 100% +$6

Tech

2% 82% +$23

Pop-Culture

1% 86% +$15

Politics

0% 60% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 460 479	5	$3.0K	2,002	999	+1,003	No	+$4	01-05 20:53
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 311	3	$1.4K	1,080	1,080	-0	Yes	-$781	01-10 16:07
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	9	$1.3K	751	751	+0	Yes	+$36	03-22 08:59
will mrbeasts celebrity challenge video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 1 316	9	$1.2K	700	500	+200	No	+$16	01-08 19:21
highest temperature in seattle on january 26 46 47f	8	$1.1K	675	675	+0	Yes	-$165	01-27 05:03
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	5	$1.1K	560	560	+0	No	+$7	01-09 17:16
nba sac gsw 2026 01 09	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	Warriors	+$1	01-10 05:02
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 440 459	2	$998	500	500	+0	No	+$0	01-05 16:11
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 2 2026	1	$996	997	0	+997	No	+$1	01-03 06:52
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	1	$979	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$21	01-06 16:12
will mrbeasts celebrity challenge video get between 31 and 32 million views on day 1 265	4	$939	477	477	-0	No	+$14	01-08 19:03
will mrbeasts latest video get 1618 million views on day 1 432 313	7	$871	512	412	+100	No	+$51	02-22 08:23
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 887	4	$646	340	340	+0	Yes	+$31	01-25 15:32
highest temperature in seattle on january 18 47forbelow	11	$634	335	335	+0	No	-$7	01-18 22:57
highest temperature in seattle on january 24 41forbelow	5	$576	292	292	+0	No	+$7	01-24 20:56
highest temperature in seattle on january 24 46 47f	4	$533	268	268	+0	No	+$3	01-25 00:22
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	13	$512	269	269	+0	Yes	-$1	04-05 14:54
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 3 2026	2	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	01-04 05:10
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 4 2026	2	$498	500	0	+500	No	+$1	01-05 00:20
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	12	$481	504	0	+504	No	+$23	02-08 10:57
highest temperature in seattle on january 25 46 47f	4	$479	489	0	+489	No	+$11	01-26 06:38
will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 755	4	$450	229	229	-0	No	+$7	03-22 01:45
highest temperature in seattle on january 24 48 49f	4	$428	215	215	+0	No	+$1	01-24 23:56
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 23	25	$417	384	400	-16	No	-$17	01-23 17:16
will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 169	6	$399	230	230	+0	No	-$38	03-22 01:46
highest temperature in seattle on january 21 52 53f	5	$370	180	200	-20	No	+$10	01-21 23:56
will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on us spotify this week 112	2	$353	359	0	+359	No	+$7	03-12 16:34
will end of beginning djo be the 1 song on spotify this week 114	5	$352	188	188	+0	Yes	+$23	01-30 14:14
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 16	8	$344	378	0	+378	Yes	+$34	01-16 14:07
highest temperature in seattle on january 20 44 45f	5	$329	169	169	+0	No	+$8	01-20 21:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 09:02:24	Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x553433…
07-24 09:53:45	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x415b81…
07-20 03:49:52	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x370721…
07-19 14:20:21	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb2400d…
07-14 07:47:13	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb8f486…
07-14 07:46:37	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in july 2026	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xb3d944…
07-14 07:46:23	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x49df9c…
07-10 03:18:44	will ethereum dip to 700 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	22	95¢	$20	0x9d32f7…
07-09 23:27:13	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	91¢	$82	0x0bf2bd…
07-03 05:55:05	will ethereum dip to 700 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	22	90¢	$19	0x5eef83…
07-03 04:14:49	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xd4829e…
07-02 22:03:59	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x62dc05…
07-02 22:03:28	will solana dip to 40 in july 2026	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x21d441…
07-02 22:02:23	will bitcoin dip to 45k in july 2026	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0x1085b0…
07-02 22:01:46	will ethena dip to 0pt04 in july	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xa859f7…
06-25 18:04:22	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x17ee6f…
06-23 02:00:16	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x93eb8f…
06-23 01:38:44	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Norway	SELL	78	80¢	$63	0xd4bfd7…
06-23 01:38:41	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Norway	SELL	22	80¢	$17	0xad4e8f…
06-23 01:35:50	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xc8463d…
06-23 01:22:11	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Norway	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x647982…
06-21 05:20:35	will ethena reach 0pt24 in june	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x203bf4…
06-21 05:19:41	will ethena dip to 0pt04 in june	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf556a4…
06-15 01:57:22	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x40e1c3…
06-14 22:11:24	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	91	90¢	$82	0xb60f74…
06-10 20:18:37	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xeefe53…
06-10 17:42:00	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0xe8b888…
06-10 17:06:55	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xc03777…
06-10 17:05:51	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc55187…
06-10 17:05:27	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x651fba…
06-04 01:03:07	Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x311fe6…
06-04 01:02:55	Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8c5e0b…
06-03 06:19:02	Will Instants, an Instagram app be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xd43984…
06-03 06:18:50	Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x2a54b0…
06-03 06:18:39	Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x14c1c5…
06-03 06:17:47	Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7f9ff3…
06-03 06:17:19	Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe2069f…
06-03 06:16:14	Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xda07e0…
06-02 19:55:31	Will BNB dip to $300 in June?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x8bfd69…
06-02 19:54:40	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in June?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x087276…
06-02 05:40:49	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in June?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x3b3247…
06-02 05:39:42	Will BNB dip to $400 in June?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xe91407…
06-02 05:37:19	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in June?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe3cfe7…
06-02 05:36:16	Will Solana dip to $50 in June?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6e7631…
06-02 05:35:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x84e794…
06-02 05:35:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9167d8…
06-02 05:34:55	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x85b025…
05-25 22:52:02	Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa017d3…
05-25 22:51:42	Will AutoSleep: Watch Sleep Tracker be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x17c6b8…
05-25 16:33:42	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8043af…
05-10 16:58:31	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xf0f5ad…
05-01 16:03:44	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa29b15…
05-01 15:33:50	Will Chainlink dip to $4 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x1831b9…
05-01 15:33:48	Will Chainlink dip to $2 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x94ab63…
05-01 15:33:04	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x4c4b43…
05-01 15:31:44	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb36c0f…
05-01 15:31:30	Will XRP dip to $0.40 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x20bafe…
05-01 15:31:24	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x359f08…
05-01 15:31:16	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xaa0b43…
05-01 15:31:00	Will Solana dip to $30 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x66cbf0…
05-01 15:30:48	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x8ece50…
05-01 15:30:38	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7b966e…
05-01 15:30:24	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0794e5…
05-01 15:29:52	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	No	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x1abefa…
05-01 15:29:34	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x9e332d…
05-01 15:28:48	Will BNB reach $1,100 in May?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x527ab5…
05-01 15:28:40	Will BNB dip to $300 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xe421a3…
05-01 15:28:30	Will BNB dip to $200 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xc357c6…
05-01 15:28:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x2b5a2f…
05-01 15:27:44	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x218439…
05-01 14:54:24	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0x53baae…
04-27 11:34:20	Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index dip to 30 by April 30?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x993ef7…
04-22 04:04:48	Will BNB dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe38c0b…
04-22 02:12:14	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 40 by April 30?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x0c2bd6…
04-22 02:12:04	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc05d04…
04-18 21:24:46	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf887b8…
04-18 19:25:22	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfffcf0…
04-18 18:22:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x602fbb…
04-18 18:22:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2cc7d2…
04-18 18:21:28	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xbc555b…
04-11 14:44:11	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xc6bf3e…
04-07 15:05:19	will choosin texas ella langley be the 1 song on us spotify this week 661	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x2d056d…
04-07 01:55:45	will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	No	BUY	13	66¢	$8	0x606fe3…
04-07 01:55:23	will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x697dfd…
04-06 19:09:59	will dualshot recorder be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xd4c922…
04-06 18:52:35	will swim bts be the 1 song on spotify this week 262	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf2f6ba…
04-06 18:51:15	will choosin texas ella langley be the 1 song on us spotify this week 661	Yes	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xba3473…
04-05 15:53:53	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 483	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbfb2b6…
04-05 14:54:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0xf34e86…
04-05 14:54:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0xd017a5…
04-05 13:56:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x9347e6…
04-05 13:35:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x958341…
04-05 13:27:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x0e7369…
04-05 13:26:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xd5bf0a…
04-05 13:19:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x825ad0…
04-05 12:41:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x790e4e…
04-05 12:17:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0xa186db…
04-05 12:12:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xddb000…
04-05 12:12:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xcf3b2d…
04-05 12:12:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xbf24d3…