Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index dip to 30 by April 30?
closed
Total volume
$1,471
Trades
99
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-01
First seen
2026-03-26
last 05-01 01:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.7¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $424
vs crowd: 4% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $3 | $825 | $822 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $11 | $69 | $58 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $9 | $109 | $100 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $30 | $169 | $139 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $3 | $421 | $419 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $4 | $82 | $78 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 10 | $22 | $195 | $173 |
| Below median | 7 | $6 | $21 | $15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| unranked | 6 | $2 | $452 | $450 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talkative-Painting 0x0a54…4a03 | No | +423 | $421 | $421 | 1 | 05-01 01:05 |
| Speedy-Innervation 0xff30…4a37 | No | +394 | $371 | $371 | 4 | 04-24 19:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +229 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 05-01 01:05 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +200 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 04-27 11:34 |
| Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | Yes | +194 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-01 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +60 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 03-30 14:42 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +56 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 03-26 09:47 |
| Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 04-30 04:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +34 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 04-27 09:12 |
| Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | +34 | $1 | $2 | 9 | 04-27 11:34 |
| Tempting-Macaroon 0x914d…e1e2 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 04-27 11:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe45e…5ca7 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 04-01 16:21 |
| Unconscious-Greed 0xf41f…19d2 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 05-01 01:05 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +18 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 04-28 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | Yes | +12 | $-0 | $2 | 3 | 03-30 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7fe…1e42 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 03-26 12:03 |
| Hard-To-Find-Councilor 0x04f6…9bcd | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-26 12:44 |
| Aware-Vengeance 0xbe1e…7fa1 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 04-02 17:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x0981…5550 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-02 01:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 04:01 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 04:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 04:01 |
| Steel-Trek 0xe338…f758 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-28 03:15 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 07:43 |
| Wooden-Journey 0xe9d8…be90 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-30 07:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 01:05:26 | Unconscious-Greed 0xf41f…19d2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2e3651… |
| 05-01 01:05:26 | Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | Yes | BUY | 164 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2e3651… |
| 05-01 01:05:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2e3651… |
| 05-01 01:05:26 | Talkative-Painting 0x0a54…4a03 | No | BUY | 423 | 100¢ | $421 | 0x2e3651… |
| 04-30 07:43:50 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc94405… |
| 04-30 07:43:50 | Wooden-Journey 0xe9d8…be90 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc94405… |
| 04-30 04:01:12 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xff0985… |
| 04-30 04:01:12 | Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $49 | 0xff0985… |
| 04-30 04:01:12 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff0985… |
| 04-30 04:01:12 | Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xff0985… |
| 04-30 04:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff0985… |
| 04-28 03:15:50 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xc1ea49… |
| 04-28 03:15:50 | Steel-Trek 0xe338…f758 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xc1ea49… |
| 04-27 11:34:20 | Tempting-Macaroon 0x914d…e1e2 | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x993ef7… |
| 04-27 11:34:20 | (anonymous) 0x1e39…0c80 | No | SELL | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x993ef7… |
| 04-27 11:34:20 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x993ef7… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | (anonymous) 0xf5dd…e6ee | Yes | SELL | 41 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1665e5… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5b328a… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | (anonymous) 0xa7c4…cad9 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5b328a… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | (anonymous) 0xc98a…f45a | No | SELL | 41 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x1665e5… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | (anonymous) 0xf5dd…e6ee | Yes | SELL | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xef9cb8… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xef9cb8… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | (anonymous) 0x8077…cfe4 | No | SELL | 44 | 96¢ | $42 | 0x5b328a… |
| 04-27 11:34:18 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5b328a… |
| 04-27 11:34:16 | (anonymous) 0x1e72…ec6c | No | SELL | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0xa92220… |
| 04-27 11:34:16 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x89c4b4… |
| 04-27 11:34:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x89c4b4… |
| 04-27 11:34:16 | (anonymous) 0xa7c4…cad9 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa92220… |
| 04-27 11:34:16 | (anonymous) 0xa7c4…cad9 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x89c4b4… |
| 04-27 09:14:46 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x877017… |
| 04-27 09:14:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x877017… |
| 04-27 09:14:46 | (anonymous) 0xe257…21c4 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x877017… |
| 04-27 09:12:38 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa7d2e4… |
| 04-27 09:12:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 95¢ | $16 | 0xabe3e0… |
| 04-27 09:12:38 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xabe3e0… |
| 04-27 09:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xfc4b…595a | Yes | SELL | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x01f868… |
| 04-27 09:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xd47f…6bdc | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x01f868… |
| 04-27 09:12:38 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x01f868… |
| 04-27 09:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xe257…21c4 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa7d2e4… |
| 04-27 09:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xc4d5…dee3 | No | SELL | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0xabe3e0… |
| 04-27 09:12:34 | (anonymous) 0xd47f…6bdc | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x6e751b… |
| 04-27 09:12:34 | Unconscious-Greed 0xf41f…19d2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6e751b… |
| 04-27 09:12:34 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6e751b… |
| 04-27 09:12:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x6e751b… |
| 04-27 07:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x8077…cfe4 | No | BUY | 44 | 96¢ | $42 | 0x817163… |
| 04-27 07:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x1e72…ec6c | No | BUY | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0xbfc9ab… |
| 04-27 07:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xa7c4…cad9 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3e1f62… |
| 04-27 07:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x1e39…0c80 | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x838d78… |
| 04-27 07:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xa7c4…cad9 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x838d78… |
| 04-27 07:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xf5dd…e6ee | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3e1f62… |
| 04-27 07:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xa7c4…cad9 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbfc9ab… |
| 04-27 07:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xf5dd…e6ee | Yes | BUY | 44 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x817163… |
| 04-27 07:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xc98a…f45a | No | BUY | 41 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x3e1f62… |
| 04-27 07:52:00 | (anonymous) 0xc4d5…dee3 | No | BUY | 24 | 96¢ | $23 | 0xee61f5… |
| 04-27 07:52:00 | (anonymous) 0xfc4b…595a | Yes | BUY | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xee61f5… |
| 04-27 07:52:00 | (anonymous) 0xd47f…6bdc | No | BUY | 33 | 96¢ | $32 | 0x0518ce… |
| 04-27 07:52:00 | (anonymous) 0xe257…21c4 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0518ce… |
| 04-27 07:52:00 | (anonymous) 0xd47f…6bdc | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xee61f5… |
| 04-26 12:44:20 | Hard-To-Find-Councilor 0x04f6…9bcd | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xc09b80… |
| 04-26 12:44:20 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc09b80… |
| 04-24 19:06:40 | Speedy-Innervation 0xff30…4a37 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x519e83… |
| 04-24 19:06:40 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x519e83… |
| 04-24 19:06:40 | Unconscious-Greed 0xf41f…19d2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x519e83… |
| 04-22 23:50:48 | Flat-Checking 0x5154…a301 | Yes | SELL | 220 | 3¢ | $7 | 0x130701… |
| 04-22 23:50:48 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x130701… |
| 04-22 23:50:48 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x130701… |
| 04-14 19:00:42 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa56ea6… |
| 04-14 19:00:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa56ea6… |
| 04-02 17:36:13 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xefd3c3… |
| 04-02 17:36:13 | Aware-Vengeance 0xbe1e…7fa1 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xefd3c3… |
| 04-02 01:16:31 | (anonymous) 0x0981…5550 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5fa908… |
| 04-02 01:16:31 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5fa908… |
| 04-01 16:21:09 | (anonymous) 0xe45e…5ca7 | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x54faa9… |
| 04-01 16:21:09 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x54faa9… |
| 03-31 18:39:33 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xef806a… |
| 03-31 18:39:33 | (anonymous) 0xaefd…3ec1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xef806a… |
| 03-30 18:31:17 | (anonymous) 0xaefd…3ec1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x14e4c0… |
| 03-30 18:31:17 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x14e4c0… |
| 03-30 14:42:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1a124b… |
| 03-30 14:42:17 | (anonymous) 0xaefd…3ec1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1a124b… |
| 03-30 14:41:11 | (anonymous) 0xaefd…3ec1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xad4fdb… |
| 03-30 14:41:11 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xad4fdb… |
| 03-29 04:34:24 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe1155a… |
| 03-29 04:34:24 | Flat-Checking 0x5154…a301 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe1155a… |
| 03-29 04:32:18 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x045e7d… |
| 03-29 04:32:18 | Flat-Checking 0x5154…a301 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x045e7d… |
| 03-29 04:32:18 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x045e7d… |
| 03-28 20:07:36 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | SELL | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb64dc5… |
| 03-28 20:07:36 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | No | SELL | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0xb64dc5… |
| 03-28 20:07:02 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x77c0cf… |
| 03-28 20:07:02 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x77c0cf… |
| 03-26 12:03:13 | (anonymous) 0xf7fe…1e42 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x243657… |
| 03-26 12:03:13 | Speedy-Innervation 0xff30…4a37 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x243657… |
| 03-26 09:47:45 | Speedy-Innervation 0xff30…4a37 | No | BUY | 66 | 95¢ | $63 | 0x50e499… |
| 03-26 09:47:45 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x50e499… |
| 03-26 09:47:45 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x50e499… |
| 03-26 09:47:37 | Flat-Checking 0x5154…a301 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 6¢ | $18 | 0x42c85c… |
| 03-26 09:47:37 | Speedy-Innervation 0xff30…4a37 | No | BUY | 308 | 94¢ | $290 | 0x42c85c… |
| 03-26 09:47:37 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x42c85c… |