Demanding-Steel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

Trades

724

lifetime

Volume

$9.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$68

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-23 14:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% 33% $-2

Crypto

27% 100% +$1

Sports

9% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+129	$56	52¢	$68	+$11	06-20 03:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	17	$2.4K	1,015	1,414	-399	open	—	06-10 13:22
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in january 214	5	$1.0K	544	544	+0	open	—	02-13 05:46
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	8	$783	426	426	+0	open	—	06-01 04:36
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	4	$583	300	300	+0	open	—	05-11 09:21
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	7	$507	548	0	+548	open	—	05-20 00:56
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	4	$484	505	0	+505	open	—	03-20 03:18
will a dozen eggs cost 2pt50 in january	6	$356	222	222	+0	open	—	02-11 09:31
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	5	$217	240	0	+240	open	—	05-20 08:19
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?	3	$168	170	0	+170	open	—	04-28 15:51
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	3	$144	147	0	+147	open	—	05-19 02:15
will the uks annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in december	3	$116	40	175	-135	open	—	01-20 13:19
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	4	$116	83	83	+0	open	—	06-22 14:10
bitcoin above 74k on march 18	2	$60	42	41	+1	open	—	03-18 14:03
Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$56	129	0	+129	open	—	06-20 03:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	9	$49	80	80	+0	open	—	03-05 04:14
highest temperature in lucknow on april 2 2026 37c	3	$45	37	35	+1	open	—	04-02 11:36
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$43	307	307	+0	open	—	04-26 15:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	3	$42	32	32	+0	open	—	06-12 13:48
highest temperature in singapore on april 3 2026 33c	5	$34	25	24	+1	open	—	04-03 08:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	6	$31	22	22	+0	open	—	03-05 04:14
nba hou sac 2026 01 11	4	$30	67	67	+0	open	—	01-12 03:00
nba hou por 2026 01 09	2	$30	32	32	+0	open	—	01-10 05:15
nba dal uta 2026 01 08	2	$30	27	27	+0	open	—	01-09 04:07
highest temperature in ankara on april 14 2026 17c	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	04-14 12:34
highest temperature in warsaw on april 4 2026 14c	4	$28	20	20	+1	open	—	04-04 13:42
highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 18c	3	$28	21	20	+1	open	—	04-06 07:00
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 13c	4	$28	25	24	+1	open	—	04-01 13:00
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 6 2026 21c	4	$28	20	19	+1	open	—	04-06 11:07
highest temperature in chengdu on april 2 2026 21c	5	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	04-02 08:34
highest temperature in beijing on april 2 2026 19c	3	$23	18	17	+1	open	—	04-02 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 14:03:52	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6248cd…
06-22 14:10:32	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	83	79¢	$65	0x2650c9…
06-20 03:58:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0x4ccf84…
06-18 15:14:19	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xc07624…
06-18 15:13:59	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x3c75c0…
06-18 15:13:34	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x27eb2c…
06-18 15:10:25	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x32b03f…
06-18 15:09:50	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x3b6f66…
06-18 15:09:23	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x9ed912…
06-17 16:28:10	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x753891…
06-17 16:27:08	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x4b83d6…
06-17 16:26:23	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x74020d…
06-17 16:25:19	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xe39cd3…
06-17 15:59:19	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	No	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0x213640…
06-17 15:49:35	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	54¢	$12	0xeb9d13…
06-17 15:48:28	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x3d4509…
06-13 14:02:04	val g21 xlg 2026 06 13 map handicap away 1pt5	G2 Esports	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x3ea7ea…
06-12 13:48:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	32	68¢	$22	0xb64154…
06-12 02:11:45	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8482ef…
06-11 03:56:58	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x8b2352…
06-11 03:56:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x06e007…
06-11 02:17:30	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xcd340a…
06-10 14:48:42	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	33	62¢	$20	0x690d44…
06-10 13:22:07	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,414	100¢	$1,413	0xa28067…
06-10 13:15:09	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa3f82d…
06-10 13:10:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x570ed9…
06-05 13:04:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x290b2a…
06-05 13:04:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3f82ef…
06-03 13:25:01	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xcf92ac…
06-03 03:32:47	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	531	98¢	$519	0x369964…
06-02 20:07:25	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x80142d…
06-02 09:30:47	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb3cb4a…
06-02 09:30:46	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc64e85…
06-02 09:30:46	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x91a8dc…
06-02 09:30:44	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd8b684…
06-02 09:30:44	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa2421a…
06-02 09:17:28	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6f5e8f…
06-02 09:17:22	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaef8f0…
06-02 09:17:22	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1601b8…
06-02 09:17:21	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x71a436…
06-02 09:17:19	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb1eb35…
06-02 02:33:16	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	98¢	$160	0x3a7580…
06-01 14:14:36	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	246	98¢	$240	0x079b6f…
06-01 05:10:36	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xc5f862…
06-01 05:09:46	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc21478…
06-01 04:36:52	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x6d896d…
05-30 09:24:49	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xcaf891…
05-30 09:23:43	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf3e83f…
05-30 09:19:06	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xcfc115…
05-30 09:16:22	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x685429…
05-30 09:06:51	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	70	84¢	$59	0x9a3e65…
05-30 06:45:38	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf8470c…
05-30 06:22:32	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	305	84¢	$257	0xdf28fe…
05-20 08:19:53	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	49	88¢	$43	0x836102…
05-20 07:59:16	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	39	88¢	$34	0x1e4f8e…
05-20 03:34:30	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	61	93¢	$57	0x40045a…
05-20 00:56:56	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	152	94¢	$143	0x51c308…
05-20 00:56:09	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x274710…
05-20 00:56:05	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	71	91¢	$65	0x5f7159…
05-20 00:49:35	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	210	93¢	$195	0xe44abf…
05-19 02:28:04	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x1d8510…
05-19 02:19:42	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x76f88c…
05-19 02:18:51	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x45318a…
05-19 02:16:24	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x095e10…
05-19 02:15:07	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x59fef7…
05-19 02:14:58	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x4816db…
05-19 02:14:55	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0xb35562…
05-19 02:14:06	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x4cc40d…
05-11 09:21:40	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	300	98¢	$293	0xb05dcc…
05-07 15:31:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x814caf…
05-07 13:54:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0xd210eb…
05-07 09:12:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf03225…
05-07 09:12:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7b4490…
05-07 04:43:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xc39678…
05-07 04:30:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0xb847b8…
05-06 02:17:00	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xaf025d…
05-05 15:12:58	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x421fe7…
05-05 14:28:06	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x703ed1…
05-05 14:19:28	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x07eb1d…
05-05 14:17:30	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1ca4b1…
04-30 09:32:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xafb364…
04-28 15:51:42	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x768119…
04-28 15:51:30	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x55103e…
04-27 11:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xb35730…
04-27 11:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0ba46c…
04-27 10:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1f2ef2…
04-26 15:01:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	131	8¢	$11	0x62e178…
04-26 08:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb6c3ac…
04-26 05:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3ce71b…
04-26 03:17:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xfaa3dc…
04-25 15:52:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x00d861…
04-25 14:13:48	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x22e077…
04-25 14:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x1a9643…
04-25 14:03:10	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7ba222…
04-25 12:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xbdf799…
04-25 11:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7315f7…
04-25 11:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x85cacc…
04-25 11:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5a70b6…
04-25 10:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc19473…
04-25 05:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x794df4…