Demanding-Steel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

Trades

698

lifetime

Volume

$7.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$1.02K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-05 13:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% 33% $-2

Crypto

33% 100% +$1

Sports

11% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes		+1,015	$992	98¢	$996	+$4	06-03 03:32
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No		+32	$20	72¢	$23	+$3	06-05 13:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in january 214	5	$1.0K	544	544	+0	open	—	02-13 05:46
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	16	$992	1,015	0	+1,015	open	—	06-03 03:32
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	8	$783	426	426	+0	open	—	06-01 04:36
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	4	$583	300	300	+0	open	—	05-11 09:21
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	7	$507	548	0	+548	open	—	05-20 00:56
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	4	$484	505	0	+505	open	—	03-20 03:18
will a dozen eggs cost 2pt50 in january	6	$356	222	222	+0	open	—	02-11 09:31
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	5	$217	240	0	+240	open	—	05-20 08:19
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?	3	$168	170	0	+170	open	—	04-28 15:51
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	3	$144	147	0	+147	open	—	05-19 02:15
will the uks annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in december	3	$116	40	175	-135	open	—	01-20 13:19
bitcoin above 74k on march 18	2	$60	42	41	+1	open	—	03-18 14:03
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	9	$49	80	80	+0	open	—	03-05 04:14
highest temperature in lucknow on april 2 2026 37c	3	$45	37	35	+1	open	—	04-02 11:36
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$43	307	307	+0	open	—	04-26 15:01
highest temperature in singapore on april 3 2026 33c	5	$34	25	24	+1	open	—	04-03 08:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	6	$31	22	22	+0	open	—	03-05 04:14
nba hou sac 2026 01 11	4	$30	67	67	+0	open	—	01-12 03:00
nba hou por 2026 01 09	2	$30	32	32	+0	open	—	01-10 05:15
nba dal uta 2026 01 08	2	$30	27	27	+0	open	—	01-09 04:07
highest temperature in ankara on april 14 2026 17c	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	04-14 12:34
highest temperature in warsaw on april 4 2026 14c	4	$28	20	20	+1	open	—	04-04 13:42
highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 18c	3	$28	21	20	+1	open	—	04-06 07:00
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 13c	4	$28	25	24	+1	open	—	04-01 13:00
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 6 2026 21c	4	$28	20	19	+1	open	—	04-06 11:07
highest temperature in chengdu on april 2 2026 21c	5	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	04-02 08:34
highest temperature in beijing on april 2 2026 19c	3	$23	18	17	+1	open	—	04-02 08:34
highest temperature in lucknow on april 15 2026 39c	4	$23	21	21	+1	open	—	04-15 08:39
highest temperature in ankara on april 7 2026 16c	6	$22	25	25	+0	open	—	04-07 10:26
highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 24c	3	$22	19	18	+1	open	—	04-08 14:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:04:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x290b2a…
06-05 13:04:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3f82ef…
06-03 13:25:01	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xcf92ac…
06-03 03:32:47	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	531	98¢	$519	0x369964…
06-02 20:07:25	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x80142d…
06-02 09:30:47	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb3cb4a…
06-02 09:30:46	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc64e85…
06-02 09:30:46	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x91a8dc…
06-02 09:30:44	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd8b684…
06-02 09:30:44	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa2421a…
06-02 09:17:28	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6f5e8f…
06-02 09:17:22	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaef8f0…
06-02 09:17:22	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1601b8…
06-02 09:17:21	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x71a436…
06-02 09:17:19	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb1eb35…
06-02 02:33:16	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	98¢	$160	0x3a7580…
06-01 14:14:36	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	246	98¢	$240	0x079b6f…
06-01 05:10:36	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xc5f862…
06-01 05:09:46	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc21478…
06-01 04:36:52	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x6d896d…
05-30 09:24:49	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xcaf891…
05-30 09:23:43	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf3e83f…
05-30 09:19:06	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xcfc115…
05-30 09:16:22	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x685429…
05-30 09:06:51	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	70	84¢	$59	0x9a3e65…
05-30 06:45:38	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf8470c…
05-30 06:22:32	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	305	84¢	$257	0xdf28fe…
05-20 08:19:53	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	49	88¢	$43	0x836102…
05-20 07:59:16	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	39	88¢	$34	0x1e4f8e…
05-20 03:34:30	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	61	93¢	$57	0x40045a…
05-20 00:56:56	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	152	94¢	$143	0x51c308…
05-20 00:56:09	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x274710…
05-20 00:56:05	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	71	91¢	$65	0x5f7159…
05-20 00:49:35	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	210	93¢	$195	0xe44abf…
05-19 02:28:04	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x1d8510…
05-19 02:19:42	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x76f88c…
05-19 02:18:51	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x45318a…
05-19 02:16:24	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x095e10…
05-19 02:15:07	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x59fef7…
05-19 02:14:58	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x4816db…
05-19 02:14:55	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0xb35562…
05-19 02:14:06	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x4cc40d…
05-11 09:21:40	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	300	98¢	$293	0xb05dcc…
05-07 15:31:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x814caf…
05-07 13:54:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0xd210eb…
05-07 09:12:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf03225…
05-07 09:12:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7b4490…
05-07 04:43:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xc39678…
05-07 04:30:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0xb847b8…
05-06 02:17:00	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xaf025d…
05-05 15:12:58	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x421fe7…
05-05 14:28:06	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x703ed1…
05-05 14:19:28	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x07eb1d…
05-05 14:17:30	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1ca4b1…
04-30 09:32:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xafb364…
04-28 15:51:42	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x768119…
04-28 15:51:30	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x55103e…
04-27 11:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xb35730…
04-27 11:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0ba46c…
04-27 10:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1f2ef2…
04-26 15:01:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	131	8¢	$11	0x62e178…
04-26 08:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb6c3ac…
04-26 05:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3ce71b…
04-26 03:17:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xfaa3dc…
04-25 15:52:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x00d861…
04-25 14:13:48	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x22e077…
04-25 14:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x1a9643…
04-25 14:03:10	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7ba222…
04-25 12:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xbdf799…
04-25 11:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7315f7…
04-25 11:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x85cacc…
04-25 11:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5a70b6…
04-25 10:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc19473…
04-25 05:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x794df4…
04-25 05:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfa02da…
04-25 02:21:32	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2574c3…
04-24 11:05:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x4c0c21…
04-24 08:26:36	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 25c	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x83d1b4…
04-24 08:03:46	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf3bb1d…
04-24 07:04:58	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe905ab…
04-24 07:00:46	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xedeb63…
04-23 15:44:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	76	7¢	$5	0xbb74fd…
04-23 13:15:26	highest temperature in cape town on april 23 2026 23c	No	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x8243c3…
04-23 13:10:56	highest temperature in milan on april 23 2026 22c	No	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x69fdc0…
04-23 13:08:12	highest temperature in cape town on april 23 2026 23c	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x8c45ba…
04-23 11:57:20	highest temperature in milan on april 23 2026 22c	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd0990a…
04-23 11:20:14	highest temperature in cape town on april 23 2026 23c	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xcdfec3…
04-23 11:19:34	highest temperature in cape town on april 23 2026 23c	No	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0xb5f7d3…
04-23 11:06:04	highest temperature in cape town on april 23 2026 23c	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7086e9…
04-23 10:00:22	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 25c	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xb9827e…
04-23 08:00:38	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x865e82…
04-23 05:11:38	highest temperature in chengdu on april 23 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x36a21a…
04-23 03:06:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	6¢	$6	0x12c4c0…
04-23 02:23:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x3a9d03…
04-23 01:45:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x84f952…
04-23 01:28:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x8e9620…
04-23 01:28:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x010c6f…
04-22 13:55:16	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x2d2f6f…
04-22 12:53:50	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe6b0f5…
04-22 11:53:48	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x85d383…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	208	$48.6K	5,033	06-09 23:01
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	183	$82.0K	14,790	04-27 14:20
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	178	$31.5K	5,663	04-27 12:09
Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e	160	$41.7K	8,057	04-27 13:27
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	160	$24.5K	7,284	04-24 16:00
Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376	157	$13.6K	5,920	04-27 00:20
Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50	151	$19.9K	2,369	04-27 13:07
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	150	$12.9K	1,458	04-19 08:00