Demanding-Steel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$175

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

414

Trades

877

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-28 04:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

69% 41% +$28

Crypto

23% 65% +$248

Sports

7% 49% -$84

Politics

1% 40% -$20

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	18	$2.8K	1,414	1,414	-0	Yes	+$31	06-10 13:22
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in january 214	5	$1.0K	544	544	+0	Yes	-$13	02-13 05:46
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	8	$783	426	426	+0	No	+$69	06-01 04:36
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	4	$583	300	300	+0	No	+$3	05-11 09:21
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	7	$507	548	0	+548	No	+$41	05-20 00:56
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	4	$484	505	0	+505	Yes	+$21	03-20 03:18
will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	9	$406	512	512	+0	Yes	-$223	07-27 02:50
will a dozen eggs cost 2pt50 in january	6	$356	222	222	+0	No	-$20	02-11 09:31
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	5	$217	240	0	+240	No	+$23	05-20 08:19
bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	4	$171	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	07-30 02:15
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?	3	$168	170	0	+170	No	+$2	04-28 15:51
will ng reach 3 60 in july 2026	3	$162	100	100	+0	No	+$14	07-11 01:54
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	3	$156	230	230	+0	Yes	+$9	09-13 10:15
Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?	1	$156	200	0	+200	No	+$44	07-30 02:52
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	3	$144	147	0	+147	No	+$3	05-19 02:15
will ng dip to 2 80 in july 2026	3	$136	100	100	+0	Yes	-$28	07-11 01:54
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	2	$125	190	0	+190	No	+$65	07-29 01:24
will the uks annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in december	3	$116	40	175	-135	Yes	+$49	01-20 13:19
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	4	$116	83	83	+0	open	—	06-22 14:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	2	$111	100	100	+0	No	-$1	09-15 08:20
Fed rate hike in 2026?	5	$92	129	129	+0	Yes	-$20	07-13 23:25
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	3	$86	100	100	+0	open	—	07-21 00:49
will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	2	$83	809	809	+0	Yes	-$8	07-27 00:38
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?	4	$82	137	137	+0	No	+$9	07-21 23:08
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?	5	$80	300	300	+0	open	—	09-28 04:20
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	2	$79	109	109	+0	No	-$21	07-13 23:25
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	2	$77	100	100	+0	No	-$4	09-02 05:42
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?	4	$76	61	61	+0	Yes	+$45	07-01 15:20
bitcoin above 62k on august 4 2026	3	$74	200	200	+0	Yes	-$6	07-30 02:15
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?	5	$65	112	112	+0	Yes	+$11	07-21 23:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 04:20:39	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	90	13¢	$12	0xe36bdb…
09-28 04:20:24	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	181	7¢	$13	0x6892e1…
09-28 04:20:05	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	130	12¢	$16	0xb23d0f…
09-27 10:12:36	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x437fea…
09-26 14:14:08	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x0a8451…
09-26 07:35:45	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x3d57f2…
09-26 07:35:20	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	119	8¢	$9	0xc3cbea…
09-26 07:27:38	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0x9c3490…
09-26 07:27:23	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x8b2554…
09-26 07:27:11	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0xfd9371…
09-22 01:32:48	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xae532e…
09-22 01:31:34	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x6ed548…
09-22 01:31:27	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	60	49¢	$30	0xda77fe…
09-22 01:14:36	Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,017,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x114ee4…
09-15 08:20:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0xc2f3fc…
09-13 10:38:39	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x6f95c2…
09-13 10:38:21	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xf490fb…
09-13 10:15:12	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	230	36¢	$83	0xd8289f…
09-11 01:18:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xe386cf…
09-04 04:06:30	Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x1e7831…
09-04 04:06:19	Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x5eebe1…
09-02 05:42:30	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x8c24e8…
09-02 00:01:51	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xd3289d…
09-01 23:42:15	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$12	0xa4884c…
09-01 23:41:12	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	130	34¢	$44	0xb23c13…
08-28 08:29:09	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0xea31d1…
08-28 01:54:07	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by August 31?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x327f2a…
08-28 01:50:15	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	170	32¢	$54	0xc44700…
07-30 02:52:26	Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x03d251…
07-30 02:15:41	bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	No	SELL	150	42¢	$63	0x5f2245…
07-30 02:15:12	bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x44bd12…
07-30 02:15:02	bitcoin above 62k on august 4 2026	No	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xb2de22…
07-29 12:09:15	bitcoin above 62k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xdeb3cc…
07-29 12:09:08	bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x0b7f17…
07-29 12:04:11	bitcoin above 62k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x5676d5…
07-29 12:04:00	bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x12fd65…
07-29 01:24:12	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	No	BUY	90	66¢	$59	0x8ab92d…
07-29 01:23:06	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x78d7ac…
07-27 02:50:22	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	No	SELL	48	9¢	$4	0x1f7c94…
07-27 02:48:34	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x51e02e…
07-27 02:47:52	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	No	SELL	90	16¢	$14	0xd53dc8…
07-27 02:47:25	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	No	SELL	354	20¢	$70	0xca807a…
07-27 00:38:10	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	No	SELL	809	5¢	$38	0x0b0ec2…
07-27 00:08:12	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	No	BUY	809	6¢	$45	0x808f13…
07-26 23:49:42	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x74a668…
07-26 23:33:16	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	No	BUY	230	60¢	$138	0xf3e61d…
07-26 23:32:46	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xc38db3…
07-26 00:13:40	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x83fce1…
07-25 08:30:07	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb2351b…
07-25 08:25:06	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x0b3223…
07-24 13:25:46	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	35	73¢	$26	0x94ec16…
07-23 23:30:55	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf344ab…
07-23 23:30:24	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0efa1d…
07-23 23:29:01	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xca2273…
07-23 23:28:39	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x058382…
07-21 23:49:16	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 50 by july 31	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xaa9733…
07-21 23:49:12	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by july 31	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x1fc9d6…
07-21 23:48:51	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 50 by july 31	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x209c8d…
07-21 23:48:39	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by july 31	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x3426a6…
07-21 23:10:01	Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,017,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	79	2¢	$2	0x7fb960…
07-21 23:09:27	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	62¢	$37	0x0da11b…
07-21 23:09:16	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xe81e6e…
07-21 23:08:45	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	33¢	$45	0xa8f049…
07-21 23:08:30	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	42¢	$26	0xd32ab0…
07-21 00:49:51	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x3d651f…
07-19 11:03:36	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x3a95a5…
07-19 11:03:21	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x041bb2…
07-18 14:29:46	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x169bca…
07-18 14:29:10	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x7995a6…
07-18 13:33:19	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	105	20¢	$21	0x55b215…
07-14 08:26:44	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	104	7¢	$8	0x146da7…
07-13 23:25:26	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	109	27¢	$29	0xce0063…
07-13 23:25:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	129	28¢	$36	0xd4de0b…
07-11 15:08:25	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0x9f1e5a…
07-11 15:08:07	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	105	15¢	$16	0x30ec07…
07-11 15:07:38	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x7b5e80…
07-11 15:07:29	Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,017,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x0dfbd5…
07-11 04:17:25	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xbda2be…
07-11 01:54:55	will ng reach 3 60 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x58525f…
07-11 01:54:55	will ng dip to 2 80 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x3106b0…
07-07 08:10:08	will ng dip to 2 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xb7a9dd…
07-07 08:09:59	will ng reach 3 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x171a78…
07-07 07:44:58	will ng dip to 2 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x65bd4b…
07-07 07:44:50	will ng reach 3 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x74dca1…
07-07 03:07:40	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x8ab7b8…
07-07 02:57:55	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1c7cd9…
07-07 02:57:52	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x324a64…
07-07 02:45:37	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x017503…
07-07 02:37:05	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xf09044…
07-07 02:36:49	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0fabe9…
07-06 08:24:26	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x9792b9…
07-06 08:24:26	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	26¢	$12	0x0506c6…
07-04 03:17:55	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x42761e…
07-04 03:17:55	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x279c06…
07-03 14:25:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 4?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xfa7c24…
07-03 14:25:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 4?	Yes	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xe25663…
07-02 13:17:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 4?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x25e1f0…
07-02 13:16:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 4?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xba9ed5…
07-01 15:20:52	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x78b03f…
06-30 09:06:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xcdefda…