Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?
open
Total volume
$1,349
Trades
68
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$145
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-01
First seen
2026-05-17
last 06-01 03:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $17 | $409 | $391 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $18 | $125 | $107 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $119 | $552 | $433 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $4 | $60 | $55 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $150 | $149 |
| Median | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| Below median | 5 | $7 | $551 | $543 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $24 | — | +$24 |
| unranked | 12 | $107 | $325 | $218 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demanding-Steel 0x89d9…5136 | No | +548 | $507 | $507 | 7 | 05-20 00:56 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +227 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 05-30 18:15 |
| Buoyant-Friendship 0x567e…e2d2 | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 2 | 05-30 17:30 |
| Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 06-01 00:16 |
| Daring-Polyp-Radar 0x5141…7346 | Yes | +145 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-20 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +139 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-20 00:56 |
| New-Debtor 0xd56d…12a9 | Yes | +114 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-20 09:24 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 00:16 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-30 13:18 |
| Numb-Wood 0x3cc7…3976 | No | +83 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 05-20 09:24 |
| Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | +63 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 05-28 10:06 |
| Informal-Cohesion 0xb23d…86d2 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-01 03:57 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 00:16 |
| New-Debtor 0xd56d…12a9 | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-17 20:49 |
| Political-Criterion-Subprime 0x9827…7ff5 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $106 | 9 | 05-17 22:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-19 02:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-19 02:14 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +17 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 08:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x2846…ab38 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-29 08:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6610…e922 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-28 10:06 |
| Jam-Packed-Goal 0xf7c1…32e5 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-28 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 03:57 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 03:57 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 03:57 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-20 00:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-01 03:57 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 08:26 |
| Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-19 02:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa35…82a1 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 08:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 03:57:19 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc7dcf3… |
| 06-01 03:57:19 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc7dcf3… |
| 06-01 03:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc7dcf3… |
| 06-01 03:57:19 | Informal-Cohesion 0xb23d…86d2 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0xc7dcf3… |
| 06-01 03:57:19 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc7dcf3… |
| 06-01 03:57:19 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc7dcf3… |
| 06-01 03:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc7dcf3… |
| 06-01 00:16:22 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xffda1c… |
| 06-01 00:16:22 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xffda1c… |
| 06-01 00:16:22 | Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0xffda1c… |
| 06-01 00:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xffda1c… |
| 05-30 18:15:57 | Pretty-Index 0xf25b…82d0 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x24179f… |
| 05-30 18:15:57 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x24179f… |
| 05-30 17:30:28 | Buoyant-Friendship 0x567e…e2d2 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x5d4946… |
| 05-30 17:30:28 | Pretty-Index 0xf25b…82d0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d4946… |
| 05-30 13:18:37 | Buoyant-Friendship 0x567e…e2d2 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x25f268… |
| 05-30 13:18:37 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25f268… |
| 05-29 08:57:34 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x98c81b… |
| 05-29 08:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x2846…ab38 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x98c81b… |
| 05-28 10:06:17 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfb420e… |
| 05-28 10:06:17 | (anonymous) 0x6610…e922 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xfb420e… |
| 05-28 08:26:48 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5d4451… |
| 05-28 08:26:48 | (anonymous) 0xaa35…82a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5d4451… |
| 05-28 08:26:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d4451… |
| 05-28 08:26:48 | Jam-Packed-Goal 0xf7c1…32e5 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x5d4451… |
| 05-20 09:24:58 | New-Debtor 0xd56d…12a9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xf63a53… |
| 05-20 09:24:58 | Numb-Wood 0x3cc7…3976 | No | BUY | 83 | 97¢ | $81 | 0xf63a53… |
| 05-20 09:24:58 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf63a53… |
| 05-20 01:58:51 | Quarterly-Variety 0x5b45…db25 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x214ce0… |
| 05-20 01:58:51 | New-Debtor 0xd56d…12a9 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x214ce0… |
| 05-20 00:56:56 | Demanding-Steel 0x89d9…5136 | No | BUY | 152 | 94¢ | $143 | 0x51c308… |
| 05-20 00:56:56 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x51c308… |
| 05-20 00:56:56 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x51c308… |
| 05-20 00:56:56 | Daring-Polyp-Radar 0x5141…7346 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x51c308… |
| 05-20 00:49:35 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xe44abf… |
| 05-20 00:49:35 | Daring-Polyp-Radar 0x5141…7346 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xe44abf… |
| 05-20 00:49:35 | Demanding-Steel 0x89d9…5136 | No | BUY | 210 | 93¢ | $195 | 0xe44abf… |
| 05-20 00:49:35 | Quarterly-Variety 0x5b45…db25 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xe44abf… |
| 05-20 00:49:35 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe44abf… |
| 05-19 02:28:04 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1d8510… |
| 05-19 02:28:04 | Demanding-Steel 0x89d9…5136 | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x1d8510… |
| 05-19 02:19:42 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x76f88c… |
| 05-19 02:19:42 | Demanding-Steel 0x89d9…5136 | No | BUY | 24 | 92¢ | $22 | 0x76f88c… |
| 05-19 02:18:51 | Demanding-Steel 0x89d9…5136 | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x45318a… |
| 05-19 02:18:51 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x45318a… |
| 05-19 02:16:24 | Demanding-Steel 0x89d9…5136 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x095e10… |
| 05-19 02:16:24 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x095e10… |
| 05-19 02:14:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x4cc40d… |
| 05-19 02:14:06 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x4cc40d… |
| 05-19 02:14:06 | Demanding-Steel 0x89d9…5136 | No | BUY | 25 | 81¢ | $20 | 0x4cc40d… |
| 05-17 22:03:20 | Grateful-Modem 0x87fb…048c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 39¢ | $19 | 0xa5fed2… |
| 05-17 22:03:20 | Political-Criterion-Subprime 0x9827…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $19 | 0xa5fed2… |
| 05-17 22:02:41 | Grateful-Modem 0x87fb…048c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0xf860f4… |
| 05-17 22:02:41 | Political-Criterion-Subprime 0x9827…7ff5 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0xf860f4… |
| 05-17 21:03:24 | Grateful-Modem 0x87fb…048c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0xb4fb95… |
| 05-17 21:03:24 | Political-Criterion-Subprime 0x9827…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0xb4fb95… |
| 05-17 20:56:45 | Grateful-Modem 0x87fb…048c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0xce8688… |
| 05-17 20:56:45 | Political-Criterion-Subprime 0x9827…7ff5 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0xce8688… |
| 05-17 20:54:18 | Political-Criterion-Subprime 0x9827…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xc531b4… |
| 05-17 20:54:18 | Grateful-Modem 0x87fb…048c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xc531b4… |
| 05-17 20:54:09 | Grateful-Modem 0x87fb…048c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x658caa… |
| 05-17 20:54:09 | Political-Criterion-Subprime 0x9827…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x658caa… |
| 05-17 20:52:29 | Grateful-Modem 0x87fb…048c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x4376c2… |
| 05-17 20:52:29 | Political-Criterion-Subprime 0x9827…7ff5 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x4376c2… |
| 05-17 20:52:22 | Political-Criterion-Subprime 0x9827…7ff5 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x1adcd7… |
| 05-17 20:52:22 | Grateful-Modem 0x87fb…048c | Yes | BUY | 31 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x1adcd7… |
| 05-17 20:49:41 | Political-Criterion-Subprime 0x9827…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x6fde83… |
| 05-17 20:49:41 | New-Debtor 0xd56d…12a9 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x6fde83… |