Quarterly-Variety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.95K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

1,610

Trades

27,671

lifetime

Volume

$215.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 05-31 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 72% +$297

Other

27% 25% -$4,719

Sports

3% 38% -$531

Politics

0% 27% +$12

Tech

0% 50% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	54	$2.2K	1,381	1,268	+113	Down	+$356	04-27 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	41	$2.1K	1,209	1,189	+20	Up	+$248	04-27 11:45
Wuxi: Fajing Sun vs Rio Noguchi	824	$2.1K	3,657	153	+3,503	Rio Noguchi	+$41	05-06 13:26
sea nap mil 2026 04 06 total 2pt5	48	$2.0K	4,814	0	+4,814	Under	-$1,974	04-06 18:27
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machac	289	$1.9K	1,169	1,334	-165	Cameron Norrie	+$105	04-24 19:41
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	816	$1.7K	3,322	0	+3,322	Coco Gauff	-$59	05-11 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	34	$1.6K	923	877	+46	Up	+$206	04-27 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	48	$1.5K	796	783	+13	Up	+$60	04-27 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	254	$1.3K	2,925	0	+2,925	Up	-$39	04-30 07:14
Cordoba: Franco Roncadelli vs Nicolas Kicker	334	$1.3K	2,529	0	+2,529	Franco Roncadelli	+$110	05-14 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	25	$1.2K	648	645	+3	Down	+$32	04-27 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	14	$1.2K	633	630	+2	Down	+$28	04-27 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	14	$1.1K	630	623	+7	Down	+$92	04-27 11:10
lol kcb vitb 2026 04 22	29	$1.1K	918	766	+152	Karmine Corp Blue	+$515	04-22 17:44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino	509	$1.1K	2,251	0	+2,251	Andrea Pellegrino	-$5	05-11 13:15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodar	180	$1.0K	983	542	+441	Rafael Jodar	-$14	05-10 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	13	$1.0K	577	522	+55	Down	+$36	04-27 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	49	$943	520	514	+6	Down	+$71	04-27 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	23	$867	483	477	+6	Down	+$74	04-27 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	17	$865	443	442	+1	Up	+$11	04-27 12:15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	326	$849	1,695	0	+1,695	San Francisco Giants	+$85	05-10 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	10	$822	438	435	+3	Up	+$43	04-27 11:24
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Mikhail Kukushkin	102	$821	446	523	-77	Mark Lajal	+$49	05-06 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	18	$814	431	428	+3	Down	+$28	04-27 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	15	$786	421	418	+4	Down	+$45	04-27 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	19	$778	677	294	+383	Down	-$90	04-27 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	19	$768	425	420	+5	Up	+$60	04-27 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	22	$763	450	386	+65	Down	+$57	04-28 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	15	$763	396	394	+2	Up	+$20	04-27 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	162	$758	1,544	0	+1,544	Up	-$81	04-30 07:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 14:47:55	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	Nemiga	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x12816b…
05-31 14:47:53	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	Nemiga	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x65d36b…
05-31 14:47:39	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	FOKUS	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x867d8d…
05-31 14:19:16	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x3bf9aa…
05-31 14:19:13	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x212726…
05-31 14:19:11	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xe34de0…
05-31 14:19:09	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xc6261c…
05-31 14:18:47	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x1f75f2…
05-31 14:18:15	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xb0dd89…
05-31 14:18:12	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xf6df5c…
05-31 14:18:10	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x8e8c6c…
05-31 14:18:08	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xc87993…
05-31 14:17:03	Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x91f78d…
05-31 14:17:02	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?	Yes	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0xfbd23d…
05-31 14:16:58	Will Zoë Kravitz be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x2b840f…
05-31 14:16:51	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x2973a5…
05-31 14:16:48	Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$1	0xb1ea99…
05-31 14:16:46	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?	No	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0xa4244d…
05-31 14:16:41	Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0xf3f1ee…
05-31 14:16:35	Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xc236e1…
05-31 14:16:27	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	98	2¢	$2	0x9d5704…
05-31 14:16:20	Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x5128ee…
05-31 14:16:14	Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	No	SELL	61	4¢	$3	0x47e9fe…
05-31 14:16:11	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	SELL	65	7¢	$4	0xd72786…
05-31 14:16:04	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0xcf8c6f…
05-31 14:15:59	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x66429c…
05-31 14:15:53	Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	35¢	$20	0xb254e0…
05-31 14:15:52	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?	Yes	SELL	167	3¢	$5	0xe29f23…
05-31 14:15:27	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Rafael Jodar	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x1d3aac…
05-31 14:15:24	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Rafael Jodar	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xb0eea9…
05-31 14:15:18	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Rafael Jodar	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x0cba5c…
05-31 14:14:49	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x2485d2…
05-31 14:14:43	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x272b48…
05-24 19:36:16	Will Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	SELL	64	33¢	$21	0xc6f01e…
05-22 05:54:21	Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by 10-15%?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xdb4683…
05-22 03:56:28	Citrea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe05ecd…
05-22 03:56:19	Citrea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	34	10¢	$3	0x0f35ba…
05-21 16:50:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x51195e…
05-21 16:21:20	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0xcc70b3…
05-21 16:10:32	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x1d60a8…
05-21 16:06:48	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x9f6e85…
05-21 15:05:39	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x79a132…
05-21 10:03:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xd9f1ec…
05-21 09:17:45	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 300.0k by May 31?	Yes	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0x5add77…
05-21 07:39:52	Will Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xefdd75…
05-21 05:15:36	Will Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x607e95…
05-21 04:28:56	Will Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x61d31c…
05-21 04:28:56	Will Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x4a8384…
05-21 04:28:39	Will Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0xc37978…
05-21 04:23:25	Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x321b0d…
05-21 04:16:22	Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x7c22ac…
05-21 02:20:27	Will Seoul have between 100-110mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$4	0x6294e5…
05-21 00:55:19	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xc9f1e4…
05-20 22:22:12	Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0xa7301f…
05-20 22:06:44	Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0x2ce93d…
05-20 21:56:19	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	21¢	$5	0x8bddf0…
05-20 21:05:13	Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa2bae0…
05-20 21:00:11	Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x047df2…
05-20 20:55:53	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xb668de…
05-20 20:05:24	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x579cfd…
05-20 20:04:54	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xb8b3d8…
05-20 17:12:42	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?	Yes	BUY	88	5¢	$5	0x04379e…
05-20 17:12:41	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0xc35d99…
05-20 16:24:07	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?	No	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x3edbeb…
05-20 16:07:45	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xdb4e7f…
05-20 16:00:59	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	No	BUY	13	34¢	$5	0x15ed66…
05-20 14:33:41	Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?	Yes	SELL	64	12¢	$8	0xf9c038…
05-20 14:02:41	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x9708cf…
05-20 13:48:17	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?	No	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0x533e9e…
05-20 13:46:18	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x6445e5…
05-20 13:23:31	Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	No	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0xce3f1b…
05-20 10:59:21	Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0x643c3c…
05-20 10:35:20	Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x420309…
05-20 09:40:34	Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4cbcce…
05-20 09:06:30	Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$4	0x66b20b…
05-20 09:01:24	Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$4	0x3b9e10…
05-20 08:57:03	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x5266f9…
05-20 06:26:00	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	No	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0x8e307e…
05-20 06:15:52	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	Yes	SELL	21	13¢	$3	0xee67ae…
05-20 06:15:07	Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in the US in May?	Yes	SELL	48	9¢	$5	0x1db9e2…
05-20 04:41:28	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	51	9¢	$4	0x4b63ef…
05-20 04:41:12	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	48	9¢	$4	0x7362ee…
05-20 04:38:31	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x283c59…
05-20 04:38:12	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x11f1c0…
05-20 04:37:16	Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	64	7¢	$5	0x50455f…
05-20 04:23:49	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0xe9c5ce…
05-20 04:20:24	Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x6f8946…
05-20 04:17:26	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x5ee819…
05-20 04:06:10	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	No	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0x99296c…
05-20 03:40:48	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xf4d982…
05-20 03:04:59	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?	No	BUY	41	11¢	$4	0x550c37…
05-20 02:52:37	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	51	11¢	$6	0x5414ea…
05-20 02:47:13	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x393fca…
05-20 02:39:27	Will Zoë Kravitz be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xcf053c…
05-20 01:58:51	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	64	9¢	$6	0x214ce0…
05-20 01:16:36	Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	Yes	BUY	13	34¢	$5	0xd39f35…
05-20 00:49:35	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	64	7¢	$5	0xe44abf…
05-20 00:08:12	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	Yes	BUY	43	10¢	$5	0x94d295…
05-19 21:08:16	Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x96748a…
05-19 20:07:17	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0x2e891e…