Early-Twister — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$335

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-08 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-08 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-08 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-08 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-07 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-07 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-08 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-08 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-08 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-07 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-08 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-08 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-07 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	$-5	05-07 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-08 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-08 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-08 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-08 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	$-5	05-07 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-08 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-08 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-08 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-08 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-08 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-08 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-08 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-08 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-08 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-08 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-08 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-08 09:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 15:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbe3270…
05-08 15:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0fb98b…
05-08 14:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe9740a…
05-08 14:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x77c088…
05-08 14:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdfeeeb…
05-08 10:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x47df61…
05-08 09:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc9de27…
05-08 09:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x3fd5a6…
05-08 09:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcc7d50…
05-08 09:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6a6b9d…
05-08 09:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x17bb53…
05-08 09:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1f1b32…
05-08 09:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeec9ac…
05-08 08:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xda0a5f…
05-08 08:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x586b50…
05-08 08:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf2408f…
05-08 08:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc700cd…
05-08 08:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8fdcc7…
05-08 08:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xaae694…
05-08 08:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdd3221…
05-08 07:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xff2c2d…
05-08 07:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1b8f65…
05-08 07:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfe60dc…
05-08 07:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x64c242…
05-08 07:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6c53bd…
05-08 07:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x604564…
05-08 07:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa4152e…
05-08 07:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb753a4…
05-08 07:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x95ab33…
05-08 07:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2297d1…
05-08 06:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x72105b…
05-08 06:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x50ab0e…
05-08 06:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6d8acd…
05-08 06:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0b7a97…
05-08 06:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x545bc7…
05-08 06:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x22fc79…
05-08 06:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x75b319…
05-08 06:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x28daa2…
05-08 06:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd8d2ed…
05-08 06:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7f63a6…
05-08 05:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5312fc…
05-08 05:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfab416…
05-08 05:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x70106c…
05-08 05:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8fd2e9…
05-08 05:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xeb35d0…
05-08 05:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdb68d2…
05-08 05:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd380b3…
05-08 03:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x109c51…
05-08 03:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd3b794…
05-08 00:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xedb309…
05-08 00:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe359ae…
05-08 00:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x01d098…
05-07 17:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x8b87d9…
05-07 16:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x413693…
05-07 16:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1b78e9…
05-07 15:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xe10e6a…
05-07 15:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x19f1be…
05-07 15:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfc7032…
05-07 15:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x21d828…
05-07 15:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1d4371…
05-07 14:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbd7f36…
05-07 14:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1f0c50…
05-07 12:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xec9093…
05-07 12:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x451788…
05-07 12:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x555b7c…
05-07 12:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xdecbd3…
05-07 11:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x52e338…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	63	$28.1K	961	05-08 16:32
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	61	$8.39K	777	05-08 16:27
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	61	$2.97K	311	05-08 16:27
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	61	$2.41K	273	05-08 16:32
Questionable-Miter 0x7b55…8f95	60	$3.18K	479	05-08 15:17
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	60	$2.87K	154	05-08 15:22
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	60	$2.33K	282	05-08 16:32
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	60	$2.27K	554	05-08 16:27