Grandiose-Making — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,756

lifetime

Volume

$7.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-06 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% $-1

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 257 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773845100	50	$222	175	137	+38	open	—	03-18 14:57
eth updown 15m 1774419300	2	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	03-25 06:20
eth updown 15m 1774666800	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	03-28 03:15
btc updown 15m 1774447200	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	03-25 14:11
btc updown 15m 1774424700	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	03-25 07:47
btc updown 5m 1774580100	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	03-27 02:58
btc updown 15m 1774366200	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	03-24 15:39
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	7	$20	29	19	+10	open	—	01-09 14:44
btc updown 15m 1774456200	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	03-25 16:42
eth updown 15m 1774546200	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	03-26 17:42
eth updown 15m 1774466100	2	$19	16	16	+0	open	—	03-25 19:27
sea udi pis 2026 01 10 udi	9	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	01-10 14:38
eth updown 15m 1774427400	3	$18	32	16	+16	open	—	03-25 08:35
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 215 239	7	$18	18	15	+3	open	—	01-10 14:37
eth updown 15m 1774438200	2	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	03-25 11:42
btc updown 15m 1774623600	2	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	03-27 15:13
eth updown 15m 1774528200	2	$17	16	15	+0	open	—	03-26 12:39
btc updown 5m 1774579200	2	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	03-27 02:43
btc updown 15m 1774042200	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	03-20 21:40
btc updown 5m 1774804500	1	$15	100	0	+100	open	—	03-29 17:18
eth updown 15m 1774665000	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	03-28 02:42
eth updown 15m 1774661400	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	03-28 01:42
btc updown 15m 1774454400	2	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	03-25 16:07
btc updown 15m 1774485000	3	$14	31	15	+16	open	—	03-26 00:31
btc updown 15m 1774676700	1	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	03-28 05:57
eth updown 15m 1774670400	2	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	03-28 04:05
eth updown 15m 1774604700	2	$13	18	18	+0	open	—	03-27 09:56
btc updown 15m 1773840600	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	03-18 13:42
xrp updown 15m 1768061700	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	01-10 16:24
eth updown 15m 1774038600	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-20 20:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 13:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4eab1b…
05-06 13:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xa5da7c…
05-06 13:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xa5bde5…
05-06 08:50:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xa608ab…
05-05 20:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xb60a63…
05-05 20:08:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x14a2d0…
05-04 13:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd71c93…
05-04 13:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x8be276…
05-04 13:00:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x38d20e…
05-01 21:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xd9db7a…
05-01 21:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x451631…
05-01 21:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x6ef5bc…
05-01 21:32:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x33ad19…
05-01 12:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x9d5873…
05-01 12:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xf68503…
05-01 12:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xef1c63…
04-30 16:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xabeea1…
04-30 16:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xe9bfec…
04-30 16:19:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xba6301…
04-29 18:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2c2c9f…
04-29 18:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xd32b44…
04-29 18:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x19f00d…
04-28 00:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xd2810d…
04-28 00:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x7754cb…
04-28 00:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xacab61…
04-28 00:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x220a88…
04-27 22:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x52687c…
04-27 22:09:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x92ad17…
04-27 22:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xe3dfdc…
04-27 22:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xb16145…
04-27 21:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x41ad35…
04-27 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x05dfee…
04-27 21:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xd4b31b…
04-27 21:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xc012de…
04-27 19:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xbfa352…
04-27 19:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x848855…
04-27 19:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x6bd61e…
04-27 19:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xafd192…
04-27 19:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcf6907…
04-27 19:53:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xacac85…
04-27 18:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xf72bca…
04-27 18:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x16e68a…
04-27 17:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xc1fae7…
04-27 17:44:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x3bde41…
04-27 17:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa4c0ad…
04-27 17:41:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x17c5e5…
04-27 17:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x4d7fa0…
04-27 17:23:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x988571…
04-27 17:23:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcab77b…
04-27 17:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xea1354…
04-27 17:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd59bad…
04-27 17:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xa2a0af…
04-27 17:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb024bd…
04-27 16:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xa1e819…
04-27 16:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x2fe9c7…
04-27 16:47:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xdca9ee…
04-27 16:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xcadaa4…
04-27 16:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x67d31c…
04-27 16:38:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x0f8f1f…
04-27 16:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0xc93316…
04-27 16:24:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xea5cc5…
04-27 16:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xa488eb…
04-27 16:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x8f3d65…
04-27 16:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x508509…
04-27 16:08:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x2eb32e…
04-27 14:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x80aba1…
04-27 14:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xd47ec6…
04-27 14:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x55e15a…
04-27 14:06:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xb44318…
04-27 14:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x6b9301…
04-27 13:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x4b3360…
04-27 13:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xb94302…
04-27 13:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x5112d1…
04-27 13:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x188f96…
04-27 13:27:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xe59430…
04-27 13:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x48afb4…
04-27 12:55:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x9049d2…
04-27 12:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x517f83…
04-27 12:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xbbb5cc…
04-27 12:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x8d1163…
04-27 11:25:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xaafcbf…
04-27 11:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x92e43d…
04-27 11:21:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd7a384…
04-27 11:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x4b4ed8…
04-27 11:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xacd44a…
04-27 11:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x0b9c22…
04-27 10:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x7d6866…
04-27 10:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x3966aa…
04-27 09:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x4d506a…
04-27 09:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xa4e900…
04-27 09:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x818c3d…
04-27 09:08:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xf586cd…
04-27 09:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x867a63…
04-27 08:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xb61066…
04-27 08:22:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5df267…
04-27 07:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x886502…
04-27 07:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x215a56…
04-27 07:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xc02190…
04-27 07:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xf10411…
04-27 07:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x89d5d8…