Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$191

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

274

Trades

556

lifetime

Volume

$2.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-26 23:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 57% -$84

Tech

24% 43% -$46

Other

5% 27% -$62

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	2	$268	260	260	+0	No	+$180	07-05 15:28
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	1	$216	648	0	+648	Yes	-$216	07-05 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:10 UTC	7	$61	58	56	+2	Up	+$3	04-11 12:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:25 UTC	3	$54	59	38	+21	Up	-$5	04-11 12:25
gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	2	$51	3,716	3,716	+0	Yes	-$24	07-08 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$47	30	30	+0	Down	+$7	10-26 22:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:55 UTC	2	$44	39	38	+1	Up	+$5	04-11 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:45 UTC	2	$44	39	38	+1	Down	+$4	04-11 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$43	26	26	+0	Down	+$3	10-26 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:40 UTC	8	$36	34	32	+1	Down	+$3	04-10 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	9	$35	37	27	+11	Down	+$5	10-26 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$34	22	22	+0	Down	+$4	10-26 22:04
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	2	$29	25	25	+0	Yes	-$1	07-09 16:09
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	2	$29	43	43	+0	No	+$3	07-09 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 18:40 UTC	4	$29	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	02-25 18:44
bitcoin up or down on july 1 2026	1	$27	46	0	+46	Up	+$19	07-01 11:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:45 UTC	5	$27	28	19	+9	Up	-$3	04-10 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:35 UTC	4	$23	17	16	+0	Up	+$3	04-10 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$23	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	10-26 22:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:15 UTC	2	$22	20	19	+1	Down	+$2	04-11 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 18:55 UTC	4	$22	15	15	+0	Up	+$3	02-25 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:20 UTC	2	$22	20	19	+1	Down	+$2	04-11 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	5	$21	29	7	+22	Down	-$11	10-26 23:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:50 UTC	3	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$4	03-01 18:56
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	1	$21	70	0	+70	Yes	-$21	08-25 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$21	29	10	+19	Up	-$9	10-26 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 18:35 UTC	4	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	02-25 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 13:00 UTC	1	$20	39	0	+39	Down	-$20	04-11 12:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:50 UTC	1	$20	39	0	+39	Down	-$20	04-11 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:05 UTC	4	$19	21	20	+1	Down	-$1	04-11 12:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbdc233…
10-26 23:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x54ab10…
10-26 23:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x97dc70…
10-26 23:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xad43a6…
10-26 23:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x919064…
10-26 22:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x83293e…
10-26 22:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd17ee1…
10-26 22:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0xae2bea…
10-26 22:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe2772e…
10-26 22:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x439340…
10-26 22:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf69885…
10-26 22:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x22e961…
10-26 22:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc8d791…
10-26 22:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xeba5e7…
10-26 22:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x9753f6…
10-26 22:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb7bb84…
10-26 22:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1b7e0a…
10-26 22:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf391be…
10-26 22:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x17f288…
10-26 22:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x13d407…
10-26 22:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf92dc1…
10-26 22:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa46250…
10-26 22:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x9048fa…
10-26 22:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x93ac95…
10-26 22:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x58d4b9…
10-26 22:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x146e2a…
10-26 22:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x76f216…
10-26 22:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x49a3b9…
10-26 22:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x756f78…
10-26 22:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf379ff…
10-26 22:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6e361d…
10-26 22:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x0326c2…
10-26 22:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x326e42…
10-26 22:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc638d0…
10-26 22:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	85¢	$13	0x373331…
10-26 22:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x206ab7…
10-26 22:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x68c891…
10-26 22:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xffe7a2…
10-26 22:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x80dd9c…
10-26 19:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdc5878…
10-26 19:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x627fac…
10-26 19:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0xf51008…
10-26 19:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x210922…
10-26 19:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x78ecb7…
10-26 19:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x34474a…
10-26 19:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0381c7…
10-26 19:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x741928…
10-26 19:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xb16bf3…
10-26 19:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe624f0…
10-26 19:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xff92ec…
10-26 19:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x05068c…
10-26 19:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb8c7ca…
10-26 19:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb7cc64…
10-26 19:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xab8ae6…
10-26 19:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x6e815e…
10-26 19:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf6b52f…
10-26 19:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd7a936…
10-26 19:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb86f53…
10-26 19:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x116b81…
10-26 19:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x361fa1…
10-26 19:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x9402c4…
10-26 19:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa8e6b2…
10-26 19:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x560fdd…
10-26 18:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd0a673…
10-26 18:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xad823c…
10-26 18:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x37334f…
10-26 18:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x336fda…
10-26 18:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf18de8…
08-25 13:31:52	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0xad90a7…
07-09 16:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 10?	No	BUY	36	37¢	$13	0x7034bf…
07-09 16:09:41	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0x23a73b…
07-09 13:59:38	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xfc6e37…
07-09 12:34:55	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	SELL	43	37¢	$16	0x97f0eb…
07-08 11:30:04	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	43	29¢	$13	0xafcb72…
07-08 11:28:55	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	SELL	3,716	0¢	$14	0xb3999d…
07-08 10:09:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	3,716	1¢	$38	0xe2721e…
07-05 15:29:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	648	33¢	$216	0x13c870…
07-05 15:28:44	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	260	86¢	$224	0xc7a26e…
07-03 15:02:16	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	260	17¢	$44	0x18b2d7…
07-01 11:57:32	bitcoin up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	46	59¢	$27	0xda1598…
06-29 20:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd93107…
06-29 20:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x48f430…
06-29 18:00:50	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xb3a3df…
06-29 17:56:25	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x50ca11…
06-27 10:26:10	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xaf034d…
06-25 08:25:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x054419…
06-23 07:19:20	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xabe873…
06-23 07:19:20	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x57a324…
06-15 07:30:54	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x93f6a3…
06-14 00:31:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0xe22c97…
06-13 22:40:18	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xe3489f…
06-13 22:26:16	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x161fa8…
06-13 22:22:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd6f72b…
06-13 22:19:54	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x256f6b…
06-13 22:08:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc1d373…
06-13 21:26:58	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xe87187…
06-13 14:10:33	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x73fc34…
06-13 09:19:43	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x8d4da2…
06-13 09:19:10	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x4fb9f0…
04-23 00:30:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xaaf544…