Elementary-Birdwatcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.37K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

5,007

Trades

174,320

lifetime

Volume

$4.36M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-15 04:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$3,373

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 8504 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 16 1pm et	512	$18.1K	18,927	18,768	+160	open	—	02-16 18:58
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 2am et	217	$16.8K	15,956	15,339	+617	open	—	03-22 07:15
xrp up or down march 8 9pm et	723	$13.3K	14,174	12,600	+1,574	open	—	03-09 02:00
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 10am et	393	$11.8K	12,457	11,945	+512	open	—	03-23 15:04
bitcoin up or down march 8 2am et	375	$11.3K	47,647	10,112	+37,536	open	—	03-08 07:04
bitcoin up or down march 11 9am et	73	$11.2K	10,289	5,747	+4,542	open	—	03-11 14:00
bitcoin up or down march 13 2pm et	152	$11.1K	11,044	9,742	+1,303	open	—	03-13 20:00
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7pm et	69	$9.5K	9,950	8,529	+1,421	open	—	03-26 00:01
xrp up or down march 8 10pm et	389	$8.9K	8,479	7,285	+1,194	open	—	03-09 03:00
solana up or down february 19 2am et	583	$8.4K	8,501	8,297	+204	open	—	02-19 07:59
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 12am et	182	$8.1K	7,750	7,603	+147	open	—	03-22 05:15
solana up or down february 19 4pm et	503	$7.8K	8,208	7,674	+534	open	—	02-19 21:59
bitcoin up or down march 11 4am et	76	$7.7K	6,312	5,987	+325	open	—	03-11 10:00
bitcoin up or down march 8 1pm et	94	$7.6K	6,073	4,662	+1,412	open	—	03-08 18:00
ethereum up or down march 27 2026 7am et	103	$7.5K	8,127	6,626	+1,501	open	—	03-27 12:17
solana up or down february 19 6pm et	582	$7.2K	7,905	7,299	+606	open	—	02-19 23:57
solana up or down february 19 8pm et	541	$7.2K	6,987	6,783	+204	open	—	02-20 01:59
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 2am et	40	$7.2K	6,912	6,381	+531	open	—	03-26 07:00
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 10am et	113	$7.2K	7,390	6,388	+1,002	open	—	03-20 15:17
bitcoin up or down february 26 9am et	238	$7.0K	6,979	6,822	+157	open	—	02-26 14:56
xrp up or down march 8 10am et	287	$6.7K	7,316	5,756	+1,560	open	—	03-08 16:00
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 3pm et	97	$6.5K	6,203	5,579	+624	open	—	04-04 20:15
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 5pm et	103	$6.5K	6,532	6,190	+342	open	—	03-22 22:00
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 3am et	212	$6.4K	6,361	5,947	+414	open	—	03-23 08:00
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 2am et	88	$6.4K	5,970	5,891	+79	open	—	03-17 08:01
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1am et	216	$6.3K	5,800	5,638	+162	open	—	03-23 06:01
solana up or down february 18 11pm et	362	$6.2K	7,320	6,155	+1,166	open	—	02-19 04:51
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 5pm et	168	$6.2K	6,522	6,042	+480	open	—	03-23 22:05
btc updown 15m 1767271500	81	$6.1K	6,463	5,734	+730	open	—	01-01 12:59
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12am et	66	$6.0K	6,814	5,291	+1,523	open	—	03-20 05:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 04:42:38	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcb375d…
05-15 04:35:13	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4d1b08…
05-15 04:31:21	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x355cfc…
05-15 04:30:51	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8e7a6f…
05-15 04:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x865f1e…
05-15 04:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	210	16¢	$34	0x0d1e13…
05-15 04:26:06	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfe786f…
05-15 04:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	192	28¢	$54	0xd5d6c2…
05-15 04:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x842682…
05-15 04:11:27	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe850cc…
05-15 04:10:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd4bf0e…
05-15 04:06:03	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x800408…
05-15 04:01:39	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xca25cd…
05-15 03:56:47	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2897da…
05-15 03:55:53	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xaf2ead…
05-15 03:55:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xfb1408…
05-15 03:52:24	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3894fb…
05-15 03:51:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x776090…
05-15 03:50:46	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa03f41…
05-15 03:42:19	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x2b4c90…
05-15 03:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	215	48¢	$104	0x25ed93…
05-15 03:31:10	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5df1d3…
05-15 03:30:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf95eea…
05-15 03:30:00	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x50bf1d…
05-15 03:21:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x318818…
05-15 03:17:21	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x79de2e…
05-15 03:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	209	23¢	$48	0xa80f46…
05-15 03:15:46	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xecc4de…
05-15 03:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	23¢	$11	0x7dad8b…
05-15 03:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	153	24¢	$37	0x93249c…
05-15 03:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	122	16¢	$20	0xab7841…
05-15 03:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	78	16¢	$12	0x7d061a…
05-15 03:06:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xab4f43…
05-15 03:05:09	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x79ea3d…
05-15 03:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x32d2ca…
05-15 03:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	159	26¢	$41	0x4d31bd…
05-15 03:00:52	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x18f1e0…
05-15 02:57:22	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe24f8a…
05-15 02:57:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xffd30e…
05-15 02:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xb7f763…
05-15 02:55:25	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9a9710…
05-15 02:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	203	13¢	$26	0xa0c071…
05-15 02:50:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe3c1fa…
05-15 02:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xe5b3ca…
05-15 02:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x763496…
05-15 02:36:36	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf0a96b…
05-15 02:36:05	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x88982c…
05-15 02:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x40c052…
05-15 02:35:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x845b8b…
05-15 02:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	260	9¢	$24	0xe247fc…
05-15 02:32:28	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5e044c…
05-15 02:31:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x84222c…
05-15 02:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0726d6…
05-15 02:25:54	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf6e334…
05-15 02:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0x1fb67e…
05-15 02:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xfe3e37…
05-15 02:21:42	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x76bc28…
05-15 02:21:38	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaa8e8a…
05-15 02:20:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc20ecd…
05-15 02:17:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xd0542e…
05-15 02:17:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcfeb0a…
05-15 02:17:09	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x98d599…
05-15 02:16:34	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb3a2d3…
05-15 02:16:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x5c15a1…
05-15 02:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4847d7…
05-15 02:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x63680c…
05-15 02:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x1f5254…
05-15 02:13:39	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$0	0x6ab192…
05-15 02:13:23	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1f4c33…
05-15 02:10:56	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x64b53c…
05-15 02:10:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xff66c7…
05-15 02:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xe19205…
05-15 02:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	217	12¢	$26	0xfece4f…
05-15 02:06:32	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x9c81c9…
05-15 02:05:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x93c67d…
05-15 02:04:43	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd5d374…
05-15 02:02:22	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe294d0…
05-15 02:02:18	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa59977…
05-15 02:02:09	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0xe48660…
05-15 02:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	128	19¢	$24	0xf88b39…
05-15 02:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	78	50¢	$39	0x91654f…
05-15 02:00:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xbc16f8…
05-15 01:56:04	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x298192…
05-15 01:55:11	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xe761ee…
05-15 01:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xa74f28…
05-15 01:50:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6d7fe9…
05-15 01:50:12	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf3f18d…
05-15 01:45:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4b4fe4…
05-15 01:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	155	20¢	$31	0xa049d1…
05-15 01:41:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6f5609…
05-15 01:35:37	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xa4f98c…
05-15 01:35:37	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1674e2…
05-15 01:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xd0bc95…
05-15 01:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xadf1ff…
05-15 01:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x73f90d…
05-15 01:30:45	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x61875d…
05-15 01:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	218	78¢	$170	0x36ee92…
05-15 01:27:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdd58f8…
05-15 01:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xf43172…
05-15 01:25:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x822e8b…