Elementary-Birdwatcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$91

Unrealized P&L

-$91

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

176

176 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.28K

$2.28K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$161

17 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 23:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-91

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	+93	$31	40¢	$37	+$6	05-05 22:40
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	+24	$14	99¢	$24	+$10	05-05 22:20
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	+21	$10	99¢	$21	+$11	05-05 22:45
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	+20	$11	99¢	$20	+$9	05-05 22:15
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	+22	$14	88¢	$20	+$6	05-05 22:25
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	+15	$7	74¢	$11	+$4	05-05 22:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	+7	$3	99¢	$7	+$4	05-05 22:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	+5	$2	99¢	$5	+$3	05-05 22:35
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	+7	$4	56¢	$4	+$0	05-05 22:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	+6	$4	62¢	$4	$-0	05-05 22:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	+5	$2	68¢	$3	+$2	05-05 22:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	+6	$4	48¢	$3	$-1	05-05 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	+131	$71	1¢	$1	$-70	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	+128	$64	1¢	$1	$-63	05-05 22:05
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	+20	$10	1¢	$0	$-9	05-05 22:45
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	+0	$0	48¢	$0	+$0	05-05 23:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	+5	$2	1¢	$0	$-2	05-05 22:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$132	174	+174	open	—	05-05 20:54
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$124	140	+140	open	—	05-05 07:01
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$119	170	+170	open	—	05-05 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$80	123	+123	open	—	05-05 21:10
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$79	110	+110	Down	$-79	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$71	131	+131	open	—	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$69	115	+115	open	—	05-05 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$69	115	+115	open	—	05-05 21:50
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$68	100	+100	open	—	05-05 18:51
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$66	113	+113	Up	+$47	05-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$64	128	+128	open	—	05-05 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$63	140	+140	open	—	05-05 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$62	117	+117	open	—	05-05 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$58	112	+112	open	—	05-05 21:30
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$54	64	+64	open	—	05-05 19:57
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$50	59	+59	Up	+$9	05-05 03:22
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$45	102	+102	open	—	05-05 12:47
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$39	69	+69	open	—	05-05 09:21
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$37	72	+72	open	—	05-05 08:55
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	5	$37	164	+164	open	—	05-05 13:25
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$36	50	+50	open	—	05-05 10:20
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$34	39	+39	Down	+$5	05-04 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$31	93	+93	open	—	05-05 22:40
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$27	102	+102	open	—	05-05 14:37
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$23	36	+36	open	—	05-05 06:40
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$20	50	+50	open	—	05-05 08:01
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$18	65	+65	open	—	05-05 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$18	20	+20	open	—	05-05 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$17	20	+20	open	—	05-05 15:52
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$17	34	+34	Down	$-17	05-05 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:05:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xebf68a…
05-05 22:55:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x6c856e…
05-05 22:55:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xcbd255…
05-05 22:45:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x39a532…
05-05 22:45:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3a62d7…
05-05 22:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2455a4…
05-05 22:45:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xb8c277…
05-05 22:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	74	33¢	$24	0xcc3a1e…
05-05 22:40:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc0742d…
05-05 22:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x4a25ca…
05-05 22:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x37c953…
05-05 22:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x321b08…
05-05 22:25:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0x839e87…
05-05 22:20:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x19b21b…
05-05 22:20:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x02f8f2…
05-05 22:15:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0xe11b34…
05-05 22:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	131	54¢	$71	0x18fc33…
05-05 22:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xe43437…
05-05 22:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	128	50¢	$64	0x9b5bf8…
05-05 21:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	115	60¢	$69	0x99892a…
05-05 21:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	140	45¢	$63	0xf3b32c…
05-05 21:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x40ae2a…
05-05 21:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x297379…
05-05 21:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	117	53¢	$62	0x951c75…
05-05 21:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x1d8c19…
05-05 21:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x315d68…
05-05 21:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	112	52¢	$58	0xbbca03…
05-05 21:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x64cff5…
05-05 21:25:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xd31712…
05-05 21:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	115	60¢	$69	0x616ae0…
05-05 21:15:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xad1398…
05-05 21:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x432a74…
05-05 21:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	123	65¢	$80	0x3d1c4e…
05-05 21:10:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xbfa401…
05-05 21:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa98902…
05-05 20:54:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	67	64¢	$43	0xd6790d…
05-05 20:54:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x9ed53a…
05-05 20:54:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb01a79…
05-05 20:11:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8ab9d1…
05-05 20:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x66a906…
05-05 19:57:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	64	84¢	$54	0x7628df…
05-05 19:41:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x6b4780…
05-05 19:08:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x0bc07d…
05-05 18:51:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x09a072…
05-05 18:47:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	65	28¢	$18	0x1cc2c0…
05-05 18:47:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x52972f…
05-05 17:29:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x073a16…
05-05 17:29:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x690ef5…
05-05 16:17:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xee53ec…
05-05 16:09:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xe5bdca…
05-05 15:57:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xee8148…
05-05 15:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xe128ca…
05-05 15:47:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb0d699…
05-05 15:34:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x12bdde…
05-05 15:27:36	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa67017…
05-05 15:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa1c22b…
05-05 15:22:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc52fa3…
05-05 15:12:20	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x3fb146…
05-05 15:07:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x9fd955…
05-05 15:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xebe4f7…
05-05 14:59:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x41b2c6…
05-05 14:44:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6953aa…
05-05 14:37:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	102	26¢	$27	0x95d035…
05-05 14:27:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x08fa3e…
05-05 14:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x3a7f85…
05-05 14:24:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x58951b…
05-05 14:24:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9e8cb5…
05-05 14:24:38	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x467096…
05-05 14:22:20	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa24b89…
05-05 14:22:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x595e0b…
05-05 13:52:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x41cdc8…
05-05 13:42:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xff64eb…
05-05 13:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xa6f66b…
05-05 13:37:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x84e0f3…
05-05 13:35:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe37de4…
05-05 13:35:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc30750…
05-05 13:35:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xafd53f…
05-05 13:35:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x875433…
05-05 13:32:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4db097…
05-05 13:32:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xb04b06…
05-05 13:32:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x6a9205…
05-05 13:32:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc0298b…
05-05 13:32:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x434f13…
05-05 13:32:06	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xdbfaf7…
05-05 13:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb565ff…
05-05 13:25:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x0bc0f7…
05-05 13:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x646138…
05-05 13:25:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xa605cc…
05-05 13:25:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xee2464…
05-05 13:25:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x4f2d9c…
05-05 13:25:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	25¢	$11	0x733fd8…
05-05 13:25:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0xaf872c…
05-05 13:25:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x1feace…
05-05 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x6f0b66…
05-05 12:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x3f0100…
05-05 12:47:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0xf737a3…
05-05 12:25:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa7f161…
05-05 12:25:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdfb7f9…
05-05 12:15:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	170	70¢	$119	0x18bd0b…
05-05 11:51:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	118	10¢	$12	0x33d35c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	75	$6.11K	368	05-05 22:45
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	75	$805	144	05-05 22:45
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	73	$863	235	05-05 22:45
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	58	$1.67K	120	05-05 23:05
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	56	$6.42K	223	05-05 22:45
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	48	$3.13K	144	05-05 22:55
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	39	$3.16K	119	05-05 23:05
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	34	$2.61K	165	05-05 22:40